Professor of Economics, Imperial College Business School. Past external member, @BankofEngland Monetary Policy Committee. Views own, RTs not endorsements.
Imperial College Business School, Imperi…
Joined September 2010
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AI as an Innovation in the Method of Innovation: Implications for Productivity Growth - American Economic Association aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.12…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
We have now published the supporting documents for our latest Economic and fiscal outlook on our website.
Read the full report: obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fisc…
ALT Hero graphic reading 'Rising energy prices and interest rates drive higher government borrowing Energy prices have risen sharply this year, pushing up inflation, lowering real incomes, and reducing GDP growth next year. Higher inflation and interest rates drive up the forecast for government borrowing. Budget decisions further increase borrowing in the near term and reduce it in the medium term. As a result, borrowing is forecast to fall to around 2% of GDP in the medium term, but at a slower near-term pace than previous plans. This would stabilise debt though at an elevated level. The fiscal mandate is met with a reduced margin which is small relative to risks around the forecast.'
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
We’ve just published our October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook 📘
Read the full report: assets.publishing.service.go…
Thanks to all the speakers and great organisation by @NIESRorg and @santanderuk
It's wrap-up time at the #LMPF2026
An important and timely panel to conclude the conference on the Macroeconomics of #AI, including @KanishkaNarayan, @DianeCoyle1859, chaired by @haskelecon.
Thanks to all the speakers, panellists and delegates that have engaged with this year's #LondonMacroPolicyForum!
And most of all to our partners @santanderuk and @ImperialBiz
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
Finally, it’s all things AI related here at the @NIESRorg #LMPF2026. Great panel including @KanishkaNarayan, @DianeCoyle1859 and chaired by @haskelecon. Mostly focused on growth potential rather than the end of humanity. Mostly…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
The Chancellor has commissioned the OBR to produce our next forecast on Wednesday 28 October 2026.
We will publish an updated Economic and fiscal outlook on that day 📘
ALT Economic and fiscal outlook Due 28 October 2026 Calendar icon
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
We've just published our latest OBR article which outlines the OBR's updated small macroeconomic model, describing its structure, methodological changes we have made, and how we use it to complement our forecasts: articles.obr.uk/an-update-to…
Releasing more information on our economic models is part of our response to our third external review published in February 2025: obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Exte…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
How do the National Accounts need to adapt in the age of AI?
In her keynote interview at ESCoE's 2026 Conference, @carolcorrado shares her reflections on the challenges and opportunities AI presents for economic measurement.
Full video: tinyurl.com/yc48t2nm
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
RT welcome
Je recrute plusieurs assistants de recherche "predoc" pour nous accompagner à HEC sur le projet du LIFT. Nous allons lancer de nombreux projets sur l'IA, l'emploi, les compétences, la réorganisation des entreprises et la croissance. Si vous êtes intéressés et excité à l'idée de rejoindre une équipe scientifique qui veut changer la manière de travailler sur ces quesitons, n'hésitez pas à nous contacter. Plus de détails : dropbox.com/scl/fi/uy1evxfc8…
V interesting evidence and just what Kevin’s brilliant “all day TA” program does.
Yes. I get asked this sometimes about @alldaytahelps. Our design decisions are: how do we pull students away from using raw LLMs toward AI tools that are 1) course-specific, 2) proactive on learning gaps rather than reactive to student requests, 3) using good pedagogical practice
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
Is AI killing jobs?
New data shows that, more than three years after the release of ChatGPT, there is no evidence for a significant impact of AI on overall employment in the UK.
In our new report, we break down the labour force into different occupations and use four measures of AI exposure to determine how likely they are to be affected by the technology.
Surprisingly, occupations with higher exposure to AI have grown faster than least-exposed ones, not slower. This holds across all four measures, and across two different data sources.
The wage picture is different. Pay in AI-exposed occupations has lagged the rest of the labour market since 2019.
But that gap opened three years before ChatGPT, which makes AI an unlikely candidate for the observed wage compression.
This flattening of the wage structure is visible across the within-occupation distribution and strongest at the top quartile, which is consistent with labour market dynamics that predate generative AI.
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
My Sunday Times piece: The Bank of England’s next forecast, later this month, will have much higher inflation and lower growth than its last in February. But it should not rush rate hikes:
Interest rate cuts are off the menu, but it’s too soon for rises
thetimes.com/article/caf16dc…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
Can we estimate labour productivity at a more detailed industry level?
Catch up on the ESCoE webinar with @JoshMartin_econ (ESCoE, @KingsCollegeLon, @TPIProductivity): youtu.be/M5SwEl8jPr0?si=3oWy…
ALT Screenshot shows the speakers during the webinar
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
Great piece of work this from @BoE_Research 👏👏👏
🧵 New @BoE_Research Macro Technical Paper: UK-HANK - a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model built for the UK, for scenario analysis of household sector dynamics and monetary policy counterfactuals. bankofengland.co.uk/macro-te… [1/8]
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
An experiment in #Ethiopia set out to measure the management traits of young professionals by setting them challenges in a video studio: it uncovered valuable & surprising information about the type of manager that employees & employers prefer, @voxeu
cepr.org/multimedia/manageme…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
Join ONS’s Mike Hardie and Professor Jonathan Haskel to hear about the data revolution that’s set to benefit economists, policy makers – and the rest of us who worry about the cost of living – in the latest episode of Statistically Speaking 🎙️
🔗 directory.libsyn.com/episode…
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
The next ESCoE webinar with @JoshMartin_econ will present productivity estimates for 184 UK industries - more than double the detail in official datasets: tinyurl.com/yj8atwyj
ALT Graphic says: Labour productivity estimates for detailed industries in the UK Josh Martin (ESCoE, King's College London, The Productivity Institute) 12.00 - 13.00 PM, Thursday 26 March ESCoE economic measurement webinars
Jonathan Haskel retweeted
MNI INTERVIEW: AI Boom Doesn't Justify Lower Rates - Haskel
mnimarkets.com/articles/mni-…
