Author/Lecturer-Award winning book Target Tehran sold over 40,000 books Jerusalem Post Snr. Military Analyst Upcoming book: In The War Room, Wrote 2 other books
Israel
Joined March 2012
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EXCLUSIVE REVELATIONS about the exploding beepers, attacks on Iran, Gaza dilemmas, INSIDER debates between Bibi, cabinet, IDF, Mossad, Biden and Trump administrations in my new book IN THE WAR ROOM with @ElliotKaufman6: jpost.com/israel-news/defens… buy it here: amazon.com/dp/B0G2JWY3TG?lv=…
ISRAEL ELECTION: But once again, remember that they will only soon/tomorrow start counting mail in and military ballots which could still shift things. Predictions are Haredi and Israeli-Arab parties will lose some ground since they mostly don't serve in IDF.
ISRAE ELECTION: With nearly all voting booths in, the picture is somewhat stabilized. 53 Bibi bloc, 48 Eisenkot bloc, 19 Israeli-Arabs (Joint List 12). Bibi bests Eisenkot 26 to 21 head to head. There are 5 parties with 7 seats covering both blocs. Bennett-Lapid eviscerated at 12
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: Close to 90% of votes counted: Netanyahu bloc 53, Eisenkot bloc 48, Israeli-Arabs 19. There are still mail in votes and IDF votes even after 100%, which will take the counting into at least late Thursday from predictions.
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: Eisenkot bloc negotiating over taking over Knesset. Yashar MK Elazar Stern and Yisrael Beytenu MK Oded Forer being discussed as next Knesset speaker. In weird Israeli system,a bloc can take over Knesset w/o replacing govt.The cost would be voting w/Israeli-Arabs
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: Today's 2 trends: 1)Morning votes switched Bibi bloc into lead over Eisenkot bloc 2)Israeli-Arabs continue to grow and take votes from both blocs (in terms of percentage of total country vote.)Pre election polled 14, now at 19! Still smaller than % of population
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: If wondering how Bibi did as well as he did (losing 10-14 seats, but seeming to beat the Eisenkot bloc handily if Israel-Arabs are not included),main answer is 10.7. Sderot/Kiryat Shmonah voted Bibi bloc.Either they blame him less or more scared under another PM
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: With 66% vote counted- story of elections is Israeli-Arab parties now at 18 seats! Bibi bloc 54, Eisenkot bloc 48. How does it end? Same as last night. Liberman decides to cut deal with Israeli-Arabs or 2nd round of elections,w/tiny chance Bibi-Eisenkot govt.
ISRAEL ELECTIONS 2/2: With asterisk that if somehow Eisenkot-Netanyahu reach a deal, all bets are off, but that is the least likely scenario.
ISRAEL ELECTIONS: Post speeches, this election result is actually clearer than expected. Avigdor Liberman will decide fate of country this weekend next week. If he agrees to cut a govt/minority govt deal with Israeli-Arab parties, Eisenkot is next PM. If not, 2nd election 1/2
EISENKOT HQ: Some commentators believe Liberman may compromise about a deal with Israeli-Arab parties in govt or in minority b/c of the large voter turnout giving a definitive Jewish majority to Eisenkot bloc, but Liberman himself has not spoken. He is likely KING-MAKER.
EISENKOT HQ: Playing "Golani Sheli" - the song of the golani Brigade which has been 1 of Eisenkot's jingles since he served there in the IDF.
EISENKOT HQ: Its early, but the victory in the air is that they believe they will get the 1st chance to firm a govt and at least take control of Knesset. Whether they can form a govt with Israeli-Arab parties or Bibi deserters is HUGE QUESTION - but not for tonight.
EISENKOT HQ: ERUPTS with 52-50 bloc edge over Netanyahu edge according to Chn. 12. Ch. 13 says 53-50. Ch. 11 53-50. Singing Eisenkot is next PM, though PM has more direct seats 22-20.
ISRAEL ELECTION: 10 minutes out. Former Israeli hostages and Knesset members and activists starting to fill the room. Anticipatory energy in the air.
30 MINUTES TO ISRAELI ELECTION RESULTS - follow here for real-time build-up and reactions from Gadi Eisenkot HQ.