SharpCircle

🍏 #ATPBasel 🇨🇭 x 🍓 #ATPVienna 🇦🇹 | Wednesday Recap: +1.86U 💰 Too greedy: 🍓 2U 🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti ML (+113/2.13) ✅ 🍓 1U 🇳🇱 Griekspoor ML (+194/2.94) ✅ 🍓 1U 🇫🇷 Mannarino ML (+355/4.55) ✅ 🍓 2U 🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur ML (-104/1.96) ✅ 🍏 1U 🇫🇷 Ugo Humbert ML (+233/3.33) ❌ 🍏 3U 🇵🇱 Hubert Hurkacz ML (-163/1.61) ❌ 🍓 1U 🇪🇸 Daniel Merida ML (+335/4.35) ❌ 🍓 1U 🇪🇸 Merida +1.5 Sets (+122/2.22) ❌ Very, very, very, VERY happy to see Holger Rune play at that level. We'll be right back at it, Super Team. 🍏 Tailgate keeps giving me the best numbers I can find, withdrawals that move right away, and rewards that land back with the users. Code SMOOTH gets you in and keeps this going. 🍓 And every Official Play, the wins and the losses, is independently tracked and verified on @SharpCircleBet, so the receipts are always there to check. Trust the system; cash the slips. 🍏🍓🍏🍓🍏🍓

🍏 #ATPBasel 🇨🇭 x 🍓 #ATPVienna 🇦🇹 | Thursday ADDS 🎾 The latest line movement demands more action : 🍏 3U 🇵🇱 Hubert Hurkacz ML (-163/1.61) 🍓 2U 🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur ML (-104/1.96) Big action. Methinks the market is getting way too cute. Best of luck, Super Team. 🍏 Tailgate is where I'm getting the sharpest prices around, with withdrawals that land the same day and rewards that come back to the people actually betting. Code SMOOTH gets you in and backs the work here. 🍓 And every Official Play is independently tracked and verified on @SharpCircleBet, so you can follow the card, check the record, and hold me to every result. Trust the system; cash the slips. 🍏🍓🍏🍓🍏🍓

I mean, just LOOK how easy it is to get your Official Plays independently tracked and verified on @SharpCircleBet. Let’s do the math… Easiest way to post and track your plays. Premium cappers keep MORE of what they earn (literally takes the lowest cut on the market). So if you’re still charging people for plays elsewhere, I guess my only question is… why? I suspect it has something to do with what happens when someone independent starts keeping and publishing your score. But we all knew that already. PS - one of the best indoor players in the world is +233 indoors against a 40 year old.

🚨 EVERY CAPPER IN THE WORLD IS ON NOTICE. @SharpCircleBet just launched its Slip Reader, making it easier than ever to track your Official Record. Simply screenshot your slip, upload it to the Slip Reader, set your Unit stake, and poof: your plays are now logged automatically. Game changing. No more excuses. As the Super Team knows, I've spent over a year helping build Sharp Circle, recruiting tipsters who we believe share our mission to rid this industry of fraud. And by far—BY FAR—the biggest holdup has always been the same: It's just too much work to log every play. Even from people who I know are well-intending. And, truthfully, I understood. Building a record that people can actually trust is hard. When you're a content creator firing off plays all day, stopping to manually enter every bet is a pain. Well, @itsrhyseddy and the @SharpCircleBet team understood, too. They listened, and instead of asking you to work around the platform--which is a reasonable position given the aims of the product--they instead did the work to build the platform around you. And the result? It's never been easier for a capper with an edge to track their Official Record at the only place in the entire universe that tracks plays with 100% reliability. We'll see what excuses the scammers come up with next, but let me mince no words: anyone hiding from @SharpCircleBet is hiding something. Officially.

🍌 @NFL | Week 7 Sunday Slate 🏈 Well, judging by the line movement, mistakes have been made: 🍌 2U ⚙️⚜️ Steelers-Saints O44.5 (-104/1.96) 🍌 2U ⛏️ San Francisco 49ers -2.5 (-108/1.93) 🍌 2U 🐅 Cincinnati Bengals ML (-133/1.75) 🍌 2U 🐶 Cleveland Browns ML (-122/1.82) 🍌 2U 🧀 Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-108/1.93) 🍌 1U 🧀 Green Bay Packers ML (+170/2.70) 🍌 2U ☠️ Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (+104/2.04) 🍌 2U 🏹 Kansas City Chiefs ML (+138/2.38) But it’s better to be lucky than good. Best of luck, Super Team. 🍌 You can tail every play on @thetailgateapp, where I'm getting the best pricing I can find, withdrawals that hit right away, and rewards that flow back to the users. Code SMOOTH gets you in and supports what I'm building here. 🍌 And if you want the receipts, every Official Play is independently tracked and verified on @SharpCircleBet, so you can follow the card and hold me to every result. Trust the system; cash the slips. 🍌🍌🍌🍌🍌

🍎 @ktf_kz 🇰🇿 x 🍒 @BNPPFEUOpen 🇧🇪 x 🍇 #ATPLyon 🇫🇷 | ATP 250 Tournament Preview 🎾 Pretty proud of this one, Super Team; it's all coming together: Every October the tour comes in from the weather. The Asian swing is over, Shanghai has its champion, and almost everything left between here and the end of the season will be played under a roof, with tired legs, ranking points and the last few spots at the Finals all on the line. And every year it opens with the same lazy take from people who’d rather borrow an opinion than form one. Close the roof, trust the serve, take the over. It isn’t even wrong, exactly. A roof takes away the wind, the sun, and the heat, all the things that let a returner steal a few cheap points. On the BLENDER scale, where last season’s slowest court is a 1 and its fastest is a 100, indoor courts averaged a 74, fourteen points quicker than outdoor hard. The reputation is fairly earned. But a roof only removes the weather. It doesn’t remove the altitude, the floor, or the way a player’s style holds up under it, and that’s where the attention has to go this time of year. Three distinct tournaments, let's ride. 🍎 Almaty is one of the strangest rooms on tour. On paper it projects to a 72, a point off the Shanghai court we just left, but it gets there in a way no other indoor event does. The floor itself rated a sluggish BLENDER 41 last fall, and it was 810 meters of thin air that added the other 24. The air carries the ball and the floor still grabs it, so the court gives something to almost everyone: enough pace to reward a serve, and enough grip for a patient player to work his way into points. You can see it in the results. Only about a quarter of sets across Almaty’s two editions have reached a tiebreak, against nearly four in ten in Brussels, and both champions have been Baseline players. Medvedev, a Metronome, won it last year and arrives as the top seed off a semifinal run in Shanghai, though under a roof the market has him figured: 17-12 indoors since 2023, almost exactly the 17.5 wins his prices called for. A room this open leaves more than one way to win it, and the two players I’d look to come at it from opposite ends. Bublik is a Shotmaker with a Servebot secondary, which gives him two different ways to beat you. His serve ends a big share of his points before a rally ever starts, and when one does, he’d rather reach for a drop shot, an odd angle or a ball you didn’t see coming than trade from the baseline. Thin air rewards both, and since 2023 he’s 21-12 indoors when closing prices projected about 17 wins. Khachanov is built the other way. He’s an Architect with a Metronome secondary, and his game is all about building pressure. He keeps his rally tolerance means every exchange becomes one more ball you have to handle, and each shot pushes you a little further back until you find yourself in defense. Even though he can, he doesn’t need to end the point early when he can make you feel it getting away. That takes a floor that grabs the ball and gives him time to build, and the 2024 champion here is 23-11 indoors against roughly 19. One plays the air and the other plays the floor, and in Almaty either one can be a weapon. 🍒 Brussels is where the reputation holds up. It projects to a 94, right where it sat last year as one of the fastest courts on tour, when nearly four sets in ten went to a tiebreak. The lazy take walks in looking to back the Servebot, and on a floor like this it’s easy to see why. But a big serve only wins the points that start on your own racket. Once the ball comes back, a Servebot is an ordinary player, and an ordinary player on a quick court is a coin flip waiting for a tiebreak. Lehecka shows it. He made the final here last year and his game looks built for this room, yet indoors since 2023 he’s 11-12 when his prices expected almost 14 wins. Defending well isn’t the answer either. Walls, the players who live on running everything down, have been a losing proposition under a roof, 38-64 indoors since 2023 and 2-14 against the Time Thieves who take the ball early and leave them no time to recover. The attacker who interests me most is Blockx, the home No. 4 seed, and he’s spent this season turning into a real problem. He made the semifinals in Madrid this spring, beating Auger-Aliassime and Ruud along the way, reached a final in July, and went all the way to the quarterfinals of the US Open. He’s labeled a Servebot, but there’s more rally in his game than the label suggests, with Metronome as his secondary, and his serve has only grown more dangerous as the year has gone on. Over the last six months, half the points he wins have come off quick service points, up from 41%. Now he gets the fastest floor he’ll see all year, in front of his own crowd. This is where I’ll be backing the attackers. The work is finding the ones who can still win the point after the serve comes back. 🍇 Lyon has no history at all, only a projection built from rooms that resemble it. The nearest match from last season is Marseille, where Humbert beat Medjedovic in the final, and both men are back. Humbert makes the best case this week that indoor tennis is its own game. He’s 28-9 under a roof since 2023, more than seven wins clear of what his prices implied, and 19-4 when he’s been the favorite. No one in these three draws has beaten the indoor market by more. What makes him so interesting is how much of that comes from the room. By our numbers, only Shapovalov raises his level more indoors compared with how he plays everywhere else. On paper it’s the same hard court Humbert plays all summer. In practice it’s a different surface, which is exactly why the BLENDER scale rates indoor hard on its own. Nakashima is the other side of that coin. He’s having the best year of his career, opening with a final in Brisbane and then reaching back-to-back Masters finals in Canada and Cincinnati this summer, beating Jodar, Medvedev and Fritz across those two runs. His profile might still surprise you. For all that winning, our system can’t find a style to give him. He’s a JAG, Just Another Gunner, and that’s less a knock than a description: he does a lot of things well and leans toward the First Strike side, but no single part of his game sits far enough from the tour to define him. Indoors, that has cost him. He’s 4-10 under a roof since 2023 when his prices expected about eight wins, and 3-7 as the favorite. Quick indoor courts reward a player with one weapon to lean on, and a game built on doing everything well gets fewer long points to prove it, while the market keeps pricing him off a breakout year built in the sunshine. Close the roof and give the servers their boost. Just don’t stop where the lazy take does, because everything the roof didn’t touch is where the edge lives this time of year. Best of luck, Super Team. 🍎 Every play this week goes in on @thetailgateapp, where I keep finding the best prices around, withdrawals land immediately, and the rewards actually make it back to the people using it. Code SMOOTH gets you in and keeps this work going. 🍒 And nothing here runs on the honor system. Every Official Play is independently tracked and verified on @SharpCircleBet, so the card, the record, and every result are there for you to check. Trust the system; cash the slips. 🍎🍒🍇🍎🍒🍇🍎🍒🍇