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The Strive merch store is almost here.
First access goes to the list.
Subscribe here → strive.com/merch/
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
Replying to @TheSamsPodcast
Our capital markets decisions are driven by what we believe will maximize our *long-run* total returns. We have been consistent that we believe the most powerful and sustainable engine to power total returns in excess of Bitcoin is our amplification ratio.
We've built a leading amplification ratio today at over 60%, but maximizing our amplification ratio over the long-run requires continuing to support our Digital Credit products. Demonstrating continued access to capital markets during drawdowns and slower periods has been provably helpful in building a track record of success for the credit strength embedded in those instruments. I expect the importance of this track record, specifically how Strive executed during this bear market, to increase in the coming years.
I respectfully disagree that a "honeymoon" period is over for Strive as I believe we've only now built an amplification engine that has a durable moat along with no PIPE warrants remaining. I don't think most investors even understand the value of our amplification engine yet, which makes sense as amplification is designed to generate returns when Bitcoin moves up, and its been largely flat this year.
When Bitcoin slows down, our base case is patience, and we've demonstrated that several times during this past year, but we've also demonstrated we're always ready to take bold actions on a moments notice.
Less macro than the above, but we think $SATA has continued to trade very strong with strong demand. Even with the significant spike in $SATA short interest reported on 10/15, which was shortly after the announcement of $SATS, $SATA remains not much below $99, without a single dollar of buybacks. There are index rebalances coming up which should put in some decent size orders for $SATA. We've generally leaned towards increasing the interest rate over buybacks, but have also demonstrated multiple times that patience (doing nothing) can do the trick as well, as these are very attractive products.
Lastly, there is an interesting, but large divergence in the viewpoint among many retail investors vs institutional shareholders in terms of common equity ATM usage. The institutions overwhelmingly want more common equity ATM usage with any premium, many retail investors want less or none.
Our view has consistenly been in the middle, and I believe taking the extreme on either side would raise our overall cost of capital. We recently explained this to several of our large institutional shareholders asking for more common equity ATM usage during the $SATS IPO, and I want to offer the same to the retail investors asking for the opposite.
During the last bull market, the vast majority of excess returns for MSTR over Bitcoin were driven by accretive common equity issuance. We've been consistent in our belief that it wasn't a sustainable model because there was no amplification engine, but also believe it was the rational decision at the time, as a high mNAV without amplification wouldn't have been sustainable either.
The ideal scenario has always been having an amplification engine that has scarcity and sustainable growth while also being able to issue common equity accretively. Importantly, accretive common equity issuance isn't a requirement, as the amplification drives the majority of returns, unlike the last bull market, but it's a potential return amplifier.
What this means in practice is likely less relative common equity ATM issuance than what investors saw MSTR do during the last bull market. That said, it will probably be more common equity issuance than some retail investors would want, and less than many institutional investors want, driven by what we believe will maximize total returns based on all of the data and information we have access to.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
Abundance from Super Intelligence will create exponential value for scarce assets.
Bitcoin will be the most valuable scarce asset.
The optimal play: learn & use Super Intelligence & buy Bitcoin.
Ignore FUD from those who've been consistenly wrong.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
99 in a row for $SATA.
Tomorrow, triple digits.
A standard quarterly payer (99% of S&P 500 dividend payers) would need 24.75 years to reach 99 dividends.
The Daily Dividend compresses the horizon.
Skate to where the puck is going.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strive’s biggest buy ever, 6,182 BTC to reach 43,000, plus the new $1B $SATS ATM and hitting 61% amplification on $ASST. They also discuss SpaceX’s $SPCX $40B GPU deal, why perpetual Digital Credit beats time-bound chip financing, and whether capital is the last moat.
Here’s the latest with @PunterJeff, @Werkman, @IIICapital, @AdamBLiv, and @TimKotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:39 - 43,000 BTC And The SATS ATM
04:41 - Our Largest Bitcoin Buy Ever
10:35 - Engineering Amplified $BTC
14:25 - Is The Bear Market Over?
21:49 - Inside SpaceX’s $40B GPU Deal
26:57 - GPUs Vs. Bitcoin As Collateral
31:29 - Why Perpetual Beats Time Bound
39:08 - Is Capital The Last Moat?
51:25 - Will AI Labs Hold Bitcoin?
56:05 - The Future Of Income
01:00:27 - Risk Is Mispriced
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
The problem with gold is that once a supply vulnerability is discovered, you can’t patch the bug.
Some see quantum as a threat to Bitcoin, but Bitcoin can upgrade before or even after that threat materializes.
Last month, we demonstrated high-rate alchemy: turning mercury into real, stable gold, beating CERN’s record by a factor of 10.
Last week, we enriched isotopes in the world’s most powerful plasma centrifuge, beating the Soviet record that stood for 40 years.
Now, we’re building a fusion reactor in San Francisco to achieve record power density.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
True North Episode 83: The Frontier of Credit xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1aJbdEawo…
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
135 Digital Credit dividends have come due since March 2025.
135 have been paid.
STRK: 7/7
STRF: 6/6
STRD: 5/5
STRE: 4/4
STRC: 18/18
SATA: 95/95
SATS: first payment Nov 9
Quarterly. Monthly. Semi-monthly. Every business day.
Zero missed.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
Joined RE: Bitcoin with @chasepalmieri. He asked several excellent in-depth questions about Strive I've never been asked publicly before. Hope you enjoy the conversation.
TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - Strive and Bitcoin Amplification
01:50 - Amplification Risk and Reward
04:04 - Market Demand and Institutions
06:57 - Outperforming Bitcoin
10:06 - Growth and Capital Strategy
13:00 - Bitcoin Balance Sheet and Digital Credit
18:01 - Daily Dividends and Market Impact
21:04 - Collaboration and Competition
24:50 - Digital Credit Yields and Risks
29:59 - Bitcoin Loans and Collateral
39:48 - Long-Term Strategy and Outlook
$ASST $SATA $SATS
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
Joined @watchbmtv today to discuss our new product $SATS, which launched on Nasdaq today, along with other perspectives on the Bitcoin capital markets.
Full clip below w/ timestamps ICYMI
Timestamps:
00:00 Strive’s SATS IPO
00:31 Bitcoin Buying And Warrant Capital
01:38 Why The SATS Deal Was Upsized
04:48 Amplification And SATS As A Capital Tool
08:23 Dividend Coverage And The 18-Month Reserve
10:41 Balancing Cash And Bitcoin
13:41 Strategy’s Daily Dividend Vote
15:17 Competing Demand For Bitcoin
18:27 Credit Market Stress And Rated Capital
21:58 MSCI Index Exclusion
$ASST $SATA $SATS
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s base case projects Bitcoin to outperform U.S. stocks, bonds and gold over the next decade. Wall Street is doing the math.
Arshia Sarkhani retweeted
Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate
Episode 78: Bitcoin Fell, We Grew 6x
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down the $700M SATS IPO, Strive’s first year as a public company, and growing from 5,886 to 36,818 $BTC through a bear market. They also discuss why $SATS is a 15% fixed rate preferred junior to $SATA, how the $ASST amplification engine was built, and what TradFi investors asked during a high yield selloff.
Here’s the latest with @ColeMacro, @PunterJeff, @Werkman, @IIICapital, and @AdamBLiv.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:54 - Strive’s First Year
06:58 - 6x the Bitcoin in a Bear Market
14:40 - The Amplification Engine
22:18 - The Dream Bear Market
25:22 - Why SATS Is 15% Fixed
34:32 - Designing SATS
42:27 - Treasury Breakeven ARR
46:40 - The Digital Credit Bubble
55:54 - Pricing Through a High Yield Selloff
01:01:13 - What’s Your LTV?
01:06:30 - The 18-Month Dividend Reserve






















