Founder of https://xitter.gq/t.co/KuN5X0b1UB, and https://xitter.gq/t.co/ahIeuy0uhU. Co-host of the Market Huddle podcast, Daily Youtube market updates @Patrick_Ceresna
Joined November 2012
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Why Did the Pelosi Trades Use Options?
Free live Options Masterclass Series, starting Tuesday, Nov 10, 4 p.m. ET.
bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
The AI Sell-Off Is Worse Than the S&P Makes It Look youtube.com/shorts/ghEVLgYmK… via @YouTube
I’m geeking out on the Pelosi trades this Tuesday, Nov 10.
Not what they bought. How they built it, and why they used options when they could easily afford the shares.
If you want to see how pros structure a trade, join me live. Free, 4 p.m. ET.
bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
-Iodine Tablets Being Distributed in Iran
-Iranian Video Tells Citizens How To Survive Nuke
-Trump Says US 'Locked And Loaded' For Renewed Strikes Against Iran
and oil? ..... pulling $18.00 of the risk premium out because of election results. hmmmmm
thetimes.com/world/middle-ea…
Copper large specs cut 9,080 net contracts this week and more than 20,000 in two weeks—yet price barely moved.
Positioning is deteriorating faster than price.
read the chart for yourself: cotsignal.com/#card=net&mark…
EMERGENCY UPDATE: The Market is CRASHING - What You Need To Know xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/2dKLqNkqQ…
Yesterday was the biggest market selloff since Liberation Day.
The Nasdaq was hammered, semiconductors collapsed, and the S&P 500 fell more than 4%.
But was this just an AI/tech liquidation — or the start of a much broader unwind?
We’re breaking down whether the market has finally hit a washout point, or if there’s more downside ahead 👇
Free live options masterclass, Tue Nov 10, 4 p.m. ET: bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
Large specs are at 78 on the US Dollar, 79 on the Yen, and 82 on Bitcoin — while the Euro and Aussie are both sitting at 0.
That’s an unusually polarized FX setup.
Some of the biggest macro trades are getting very crowded at the same time.
read the chart for yourself: cotsignal.com/#card=heatmap&…
Patrick Ceresna📈📉 retweeted
MacroVoices @ErikSTownsend & @PatrickCeresna welcome @TheMichaelEvery. They discuss how the Democrats’ congressional sweep could constrain U.S. foreign policy and reshape global markets, with Michael Every warning that a weaker or more inward-looking U.S. could create power vacuums and raise the risk of escalation in the Middle East and Ukraine. bit.ly/4zoAjxy
Patrick Ceresna📈📉 retweeted
IT'S SPICY OUT THERE AIN'T IT?!
Don't miss out on a special talking charts with @kevinmuir and @PatrickCeresna , recorded today!
youtu.be/cOK_7L89YbE
Free live options masterclass!
Join me Tue Nov 10, 4 p.m. ET:
Register: bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
Yen large specs added 31,713 net contracts, pushing COTSignal’s one-year score to 93.
Strong conviction. Divergent from the other cross currencies washed out against dollar. Very little price reward for the positioning so far.
read the chart for yourself: cotsignal.com/#card=net&mark…
Tuesday I'll rebuild the trades live in the simulator, and we'll see what happens if the stock goes up, down or sideways. Free: bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
Oil Just CRASHED! What you need to know xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/2NgmKnNYB…
Oil has just suffered one of its most violent three-day sell-offs in years.
The market is betting that the midterm result could push the U.S. toward a resolution with Iran and remove the geopolitical risk premium from crude.
But what if oil has just overshot badly to the downside?
Corn large specs dumped 85,417 contracts of net exposure in one week—and roughly 251,000 in three.
Meanwhile, small specs reached their most bullish relative position of the past year.
read the chart for yourself: cotsignal.com/#card=net&mark…
The Election Is Over... Now What? xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/2BlMAjJWe…
The election is over and markets are already moving.
Stocks, bonds, the dollar and gold are all sending different signals.
We’re breaking down what changed overnight, what the market is actually pricing now, and whether this is the start of a much bigger shift.
Free live options masterclass, Tue Nov 10, 4 p.m. ET: bigpicturetrading.com/?utm_s…
Large specs are sitting at 92 in Nasdaq and 92 in the 5Y… while the 10Y Treasury is down at 19.
That’s a huge split in positioning across both equities and bonds.
The interesting question now:
Which side of these crowded trades gets forced to move first?
read the chart for yourself: cotsignal.com/#card=heatmap&…
Gold large-spec longs fell 13,418 contracts before Friday’s metals rout.
Silver and platinum positioning already sit at 0 on COTSignal’s one-year score. The next report could reveal a much deeper washout.
read the chart for yourself:cotsignal.com/#card=net&mark…
