Probable Causation (@ProbCausation) header
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A podcast about law, economics, and crime.

Austin, TX
Joined January 2019
Episode 13 of Probable Causation featured professor Ariel White. She talked about the effects of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior. Originally published: October 1, 2019.
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Episode 25 of Probable Causation featured professor Sara Heller. She talked about summer youth employment programs as a violence-reduction strategy. Originally published: March 17, 2020.
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Episode 26 of Probable Causation featured professor Kirabo Jackson. He talked about the effects of making schools single-sex, on student outcomes like arrests and teen motherhood. Originally published: March 31, 2020.
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Episode 89 of Probable Causation featured professor Graeme Blair. He talked about a multi-country randomized trial of community policing. Originally published: March 14, 2023.
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Episode 122 of Probable Causation featured professor Vijetha Koppa. She talked about the effects of Lethality Assessment Programs used by police in domestic violence incidents. Originally published: December 16, 2025.
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Episode 127 of Probable Causation featured professor Manisha Shah. She talked about reducing intimate partner violence among young people in Tanzania. Originally published: June 30, 2026.
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Episode 42 of Probable Causation featured professor Andrea Velásquez. She talked about how exposure to violent crime affects risk preferences. Originally published: December 8, 2020.
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Episode 51 of Probable Causation featured professors Amanda Agan and Anna Harvey. They talked with me about our coauthored research on the effect of prosecution for non-violent misdemeanors. Originally published: June 8, 2021.
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Episode 12 of Probable Causation featured professor Mike Lovenheim. He talked about how being held back in school affects future criminal justice involvement. Originally published: September 17, 2019.
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Episode 52 of Probable Causation featured professor Katherine Eriksson. She talked about how access to education affected incarceration in the early 20th century. Originally published: June 22, 2021.
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Episode 119 of Probable Causation featured economist Elin Colmsjö. She talked about how health shocks affect criminal behavior. Originally published: August 26, 2025.
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Episode 14 of Probable Causation featured professor Aaron Chalfin. He talked about a randomized trial of street lighting in New York City. Originally published: October 15, 2019.
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Episode 45 of Probable Causation featured professor Conrad Miller. He talked about how local racial composition affects punishment severity. Originally published: February 16, 2021.
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Episode 34 of Probable Causation featured economist David Phillips. He talked about how emergency financial assistance affects crime. Originally published: August 18, 2020.
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Episode 14 of Probable Causation featured professor Aaron Chalfin. He talked about a randomized trial of street lighting in New York City. Originally published: October 15, 2019.
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Episode 1 of Probable Causation featured economist Chloe Gibbs. She talked about the intergenerational effects of Head Start programs. Originally published: April 16, 2019.
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Episode 84 of Probable Causation featured economist Alex Albright. She talked about an automatic pretrial release program for low-risk defendants in Kentucky. Originally published: December 6, 2022.
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Episode 99 of Probable Causation featured professor Ben Feigenberg. He talked about socioeconomic disparities in traffic stops. Originally published: November 21, 2023.
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