September 2021 - STNL building transacts in Wildomar, CA:
- Price: $8,400,000
- Cap: 6.20%
- Address: 32450 Clinton Keith Rd
Constantly growing trade area with affluent demographics.
Asset is purchased under a Trust. Implicitly, the Buyer thought they were purchasing a cornerstone coupon-clipper asset.
Asset hit the market for sale recently:
- Price: $5,900,000 ($342/SF)
- Occupancy: 0%
These vacant drug stores often hit the market at a high price - desperate sellers attempting to salvage their massive losses. This price, however, felt more aggressive than normal.
Looked up the transaction details - asset was acquired 65% LTV ($5,500,000 loan balance).
Owner is attempting to walk away with 'just' a 100% loss in equity. Realistically, their losses will be more as they continue carrying the asset - at a minimum:
- Mortgage Payments: ~$27,500 (monthly)
- Property Taxes: ~$7,500 (monthly)
- Insurance: ~$1,000 (monthly)
- Maintenance/Other: ~$1,000 (monthly)
Total minimum carrying costs: $37,000/month.
That's a burning hole in their pocket, and it hurts.
The reality is - their losses could have been entirely mitigated by doing a simple calculation before they purchased the property:
'If Rite Aid were to vacate tomorrow, then how much can I rent the space for?'
The answer - by all means - would have disqualified the purchase from ever happening.
This is a question you need to ask yourself any time you are pursuing a development or investment.
Assume the entire property is vacant, and you have to re-lease the building at normal market rates - will you be in a position where you can (at least) breakeven or, better yet, make a substantial profit?
CRE Development can be a tough world.
- Developer builds a ground-up retail strip in Lafayette
- Endcap drive-thru with a cafe tenant
- 2020 construction
- Decent aesthetics
Developer loses the asset to the lender:
- As-is NOI: $12k
- Vacancy: 71%
- REO Sale
Taking a step back - this asset was delivered into one of the best retail leasing markets ever, yet it still failed miserably.
CRE Development is a graveyard of failed hopes and dreams. Be wary of those who pound their chest on it being 'easy'.
Congratulations to @renatolorja for setting a new record in the market.
Lowest cap rate sale on a STNL Goodwill nationally. It's quite the achievement in the current economic environment.
I have said this before, and will say it again:
If you want to make real money in CRE, then you need to give Renato a call.
(And, no, I was not paid a promotion fee here 馃槀)
These bot strategies are getting wild.
'Crazy ex-gf vibe' was not in my bingo card for 2025 馃槄馃ぃ
@elonmusk please fix the spam issue going on. My DMs are clogged with scammers and grifters.
Replying to @bethanyjbabcock
Had to try it too - I guess this is who I am now 馃榿
$10,000,000.
20 days to close.
I鈥檓 hunting for a retail project - mismanaged, messy, and broken.
Let's pop our social-media-deal-sourcing cherry together 馃コ馃コ馃コ
Deal Criteria
Detailed deal criteria can be seen below, but it's fairly simple:
- Mismanaged retail center
- Path towards substantial increase in NOI
- Retail only
- High traffic signalized corners
- SoCal focused
I am not seeking a 5% discount against FMV.
I am seeking a transaction in which immediate liquidity (my cash) is worth more to a Seller than the asset's fully-marketed value.
Typical Seller Profile
What types of deals fall into this situation?
A few factors can contribute:
- Financially distressed sellers (loan tied to the asset or personal/health-related distress)
- Operationally inept owner (heirs who inherited the asset and severely mismanaged it)
- Divided ownership interests (too many owners of an asset with no one taking a leadership role)
Dumb sellers do not exist.
Distress/mismanagement does.
Broker Policy
Here is my promise to anyone who presents a deal:
- If you are the listing broker, then you will dual rep me as well.
- If you are the first to present it to me, then your commission is fully protected; if I have seen the deal before, then I will let you know it has already been pitched.
- You will get the disposition listing when the asset is stabilized and ready for sale.
If the deal is on the market, please don't pitch it to me unless you have information I don't have (e.g. tenant-in-tow, seller's real pricing expectation, etc.).
Misc.
Absolute minimum deal size is $5M.
Sweet spot is in the $10M - $15M range.
Absolute max deal size is $30M.
Next Steps
Have a deal I need to look at? DM me.
71950 Highway 111, Rancho Mirage, CA
- Acquired in 2013 for $6,000,000
- REO Sale
- Union Bank was occupying 7,096 SF
- NOI at time of purchase: $360,000 ($4.25/SF)
- Incredible location
This deal sounded, by all means, like it should have been a great deal:
- REO Sale
- Investment Grade tenant
I guess not.
Union Bank vacated in +- Q3 2023.
Brokers are marketing this for $2.15/SF + NNN.
If they achieve their rent (maybe, maybe not), then the asset will generate $183,100/year.
What's their cost to achieve this?
If they're lucky - not too much.
If they need to rework the facade, then it'll a lot more.
We're going to assume a 2-tenant lineup, which is their best case scenario given the building's layout.
Let's assume the re-tenanting requires the absolute bare minimum:
- Demolition of previous improvements
- New roof
- HVAC & ducting
- Rezoning/retrofitting sprinkler system
- Dedicated utilities, meters, and fees
- Demising walls
- Misc. Landlord workletter items (e.g. signage)
- Architect, MEP engineer, and City fees
- Tenant Improvement Allowances
- Commissions
- Building-related costs + architect/engineers/fees: ~$365,000
- TIAs will cost ~$30/SF: $213,000
- Commissions will cost between $55,000 - $95,000 (depending on lease term); let's assume $75,000
- Property Taxes (2 years since vacant): $181,500
- Insurance (estimated for 2 years): $20,000
Re-tenanting costs: $854,500.
Keep 2 things in mind:
- We're completing excluding cost of funds
- The true costs will easily exceed this figure if any type of facade work is mandated by tenants
- Owner acquired the building for $6,000,000
- Re-tenanting costs are $854,500
- All-in basis: $6,854,500
Owner is trying to generate $183,100 on this asset now.
This translates into a 2.67% cashflow return.
3-Month TBills will pay you 4.4% to literally do nothing and collect your interest.
What is the asset worth today?
Objectively speaking - it is a good location, and I can see this trading for a 5.5% cap rate once stabilized.
Gross Value = $183,100 / 5.5% cap = $3,329,090
Less Sales Commissions (4%): ($133,163)
Net Value: $3,196,000
The owner lost only $3,658,600.
Nice 馃コ馃コ馃コ
This is one of many, many examples.
Bank deals are among the most common ways 1031 buyers still get their retirement savings obliterated.
Don't get tricked into paying a 4.5% cap rate for one.
Just walk away.
You're better off paying your capital gains tax.
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If the owner of the property ever reads this post:
I think it is worth your time to:
- Create a project vision
- Prepare renderings/elevations and a floor plan for a 3-5 unit mix
- Hire a boutique retail leasing team to curate a lineup of nationals to pay $4/SF+
This is one of those situations where you can invest a few thousand dollars (elevations/renderings) to test if you can reduce your losses by a few million dollars.
Wish you the best of luck.
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