Adjunct Professor at @IBEI and @PolitiquesUPF. Analyzing European politics by going up and down the ladder of multi-level governance.

Barcelona, Spain
Joined October 2015
BBC cerrando la Copa del Mundo como hay que cerrar una Copa del Mundo. Enhorabuena a Alex Ewing por el montaje. xitter.cf/alexewing_/status/2078…
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El padrino de la inteligencia artificial: "Si duermes bien esta noche, puede que no hayas entendido esta conferencia". Esta conferencia de 47 minutos es lo mejor que he visto sobre inteligencia artificial en los últimos meses. Definitivamente te ayudará a entender cómo funciona realmente y hacia dónde se dirige. Geoffrey Hinton construyó las redes neuronales que hay detrás de cada inteligencia artificial actual y luego dejó Google para advertir al mundo sobre ello. La parte que nadie quería escuchar: La inteligencia artificial ya está desarrollando habilidades que sus creadores no tenían previstas. En la mayoría de las tareas cognitivas ya está por delante de nosotros. La pregunta ya no es si nos superará, sino cuándo. La única decisión que queda es de qué lado de esa línea te encuentras. Ahora mismo, la persona promedio abre Claude, escribe algo, obtiene una respuesta y cierra la pestaña. Creen que están utilizando inteligencia artificial. Quizás estén usando un 10% de ella. Repasé toda su conferencia y construí conceptos prácticos a partir de lo que estaba describiendo. La brecha no estará entre las personas que usan inteligencia artificial y las que no. Estará entre las personas que la entienden y las que no. Empieza hoy con estos 20 conceptos de inteligencia artificial.
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Is European support for Ukraine running out of steam? As costs mount, a major question arises: are we facing "war fatigue"? 🤔 @AdamHolesch & Benjamin Martill analyze this shifting landscape in their new article. Read it here: t.ly/gFhsH
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the engineer who built Claude Code just dropped a 28-minute video on how to write prompts that actually work I've seen $300 courses that don't cover what he shows in the first 10 minutes CLAUDE.md files, memory shortcuts, parallel sessions, prompting patterns all in one video and completely free works whether you're a developer, a beginner, or someone who's been using Claude for months based on this, I put together 18 things you can copy and use in Claude today full guide in the article below
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Each time I write about the breathtaking Polish economic wonder, someone tries to argue that it is all driven by EU subsidies. It’s not. Many EU countries benefit more from EU subsidies yet have much lower growth rates than Poland, the growth champion in Europe.
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Today in Madrid, CIDOB brought together expert voices from Latin America and Ukraine to revitalise dialogue and analyse the conflict after four years of war in a seminar organised with @MAECgob, represented by Secretary of State for Foreign and Global Affairs Diego Martínez Belío
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The war in Ukraine marks four years this Tuesday since Russia launched its full-scale invasion. In this intermezzo between invasion and peace, Ben. Martill and I have co-edited the special issue “War Fatigue: The Re-Politicization of the Ukraine War.” 👉 tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4…
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It looks like Victor Orban will not only be sent into retirement soon, but that Hungarian opposition will get constitutional majority. Anyone surprised? Hungary under Orban became one of the poorest countries in the EU, at some point enough is enough.
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Very happy to have participated in the event “Democracies under Threat: Decentralised Solutions”, organised by @Katalonien_DE hosted by the @dgapev Besides presenting @EUValuesNetwork and research, we wrapped up with an brainstorming session among scholars practitioners @IBEI
Heute fand in der @DGAP_ev in Berlin die Tagung „Bedrohte Demokratien: Dezentrale Ansätze zur demokratischen Stärkung in der EU“ statt, organisiert in Zusammenarbeit mit @Katalonien_DE. 👉Ein wichtiger Austausch mit Expert:innen über Wege zur Stärkung der Demokratie in Europa
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🇵🇱🤝🇭🇺Hungarian opposition leader Péter Magyar, whose TISZA party leads Viktor Orbán's ruling Fidesz by 15–18 points in independent polls, vowed to prioritize a close alliance with Poland over Orbán’s axis with Moscow and Beijing, citing centuries of Polish–Hungarian friendship.
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What is the upshot of the recent presidential #elections in #Poland? Karol Nawrocki’s victory has shattered the optimism of liberal and pro-EU voters in #Poland, writes @AdamHolesch @IBEI for @LSEEuroppblog blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2…
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Three weeks after Poland’s presidential election, the political waters have settled — but what lies beneath? In my new piece for the LSE blog, I ask whether the victory of Karol Nawrocki signals a halt to Poland’s re-democratisation: bit.ly/3I9GQX5
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Under socialism (1952-90), the position of all poorer republics deteriorated while the relative positions of Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia remained the same. With independence & capitalism all poorer republics/province (except Macedonia) improved their relative position.
GDPs per capita of former Yugoslav republics/province in 1952, 1990 and 2023 (Slovenia=100)
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Some initial thoughts on the 2025 Polish Presidential Election. It is rather continuity, not change. The result resembles that of the 2020 election: Law and Justice (PiS) wins by a narrow margin. However, there was a notable shift in the candidate profile.
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However, the Tusk government must start delivering tangible results to win the parliamentary 2027 elections with a majority, which allows to overthrow the presidential veto. The dissatisfaction of centrist swing voters from 2023 likely played a key role in the 2025 elections.
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Presidential powers matter, but we should not exaggerate them. Poland’s system is best described as parliamentary-presidential. The president can obstruct certain legislative initiatives, but Nawrocki can never turn into a Polish Le Pen or Bardella.
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Therefore, it is not the end of the re-democratisation process. The 2023 parliamentary elections were a turning point, removing PiS from power. While this presidential result may appear as a setback, it doesn’t mark the end of re-democratisation process — maybe of the momentum.
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