Adrian S (@Adrian_Simpson) profile picture

Kayaks, nature, weather. Occasionally politics. Focus on the argument, not the person.

Joined December 2010
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Adrian S retweeted
Since the date that Britain left the European Union (the single market and the customs union), the economies in the United States and the United Kingdom have grown by 19.2% and 15.7% respectively. The two biggest EU economies — Germany and France — have grown by 4.5% and 10.5%. Why would the Burnham Labour government want to tie us more closely again to the single market and the customs union? Britain’s exports to non-EU countries have risen to almost 60% of the total in the same period. Before they crow about today’s growth figures, they might want to consider the utter stupidity of their own EU policy.
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Before you give permission for new housing developments, please remember Epping’s train service is broken. I also had to jump out the way of a car mounting the kerb on the narrow road getting here. We don’t have the infrastructure. @DrNeilHudson @Essex_CC @eppingforestdc
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For the many UK politicians @UKLabour and journalists @BBC who don't know anything about UK trade, here are the highlights: 1. The UK is now predominantly a service exporter. 57% of UK exports are services, which are not affected by EU 'red tape'. 2. UK goods exports have dropped from almost 70% of our total exports in 1997 to just 43% in 2025. This trend began long before Brexit and is tied to Net Zero mandates, high UK energy prices, and EV mandates. 3. Machinery and transport goods, such as cars and aircraft parts, are 42% of all UK goods exports. This is by far the UK's largest export sector, although it is also falling. It was 50% of UK exports in 2000. But if the UK joins the EU's CBAM, companies in this sector will see their imported material costs rise, making their exports even less competitive. 4. Chemicals are the UK's second-largest export sector. They account for 19% of UK goods exports, but this share is shrinking due to UK and EU energy costs and Net Zero regulations. These will increase if the UK joins the EU ETS. 5. Miscellaneous Manufactures account for 11% of UK goods exports. This is still the UK's third-largest export sector, even though it includes many goods the UK no longer makes because of our high Carbon taxes, which will increase if the UK signs up to the EU's even higher ETS on November 20th. 6. Fuels account for 9% of UK exports. This is still the UK's 4th largest goods export sector, even though the current and previous governments are/were trying to destroy it with bans on new exploration and ultra-high taxes. 7. Material Manufactures account for 8% of UK goods exports. This sector includes iron, steel, aluminium, ceramics, and glass manufacturing - industries that have gone, or are going, out of business in the UK because of high UK energy costs, which will rise if the UK joins the EU ETS. 8. These five sectors make up almost 90% of UK exports. The other 5 industry sectors are insignificant. But the government and our journalists think the UK is New Zealand and that the only goods we export are food and live animals to the EU. We don't! UK food and live animal exports to the EU were just 1.3% of the UK's total exports. 9. The government is about to sacrifice all of the export industries listed above to slightly reduce the IMPORT costs of a handful of Supermarkets, at least two of which are privately owned German companies. These savings will not be passed on to UK shoppers because the government has also increased wages again, and supermarket energy costs will increase if we join the EU's ETS. 10. UK exports of food and live animals will not increase because we are paying farmers to not produce them, this has nothing to do with EU red tape. Instead we are paying farmers to plant trees and wildflowers or plaster their farmland with solar panels. (54% of UK electricity is coming from gas today, 12% from solar and 3% from wind.) 11. Write to your MP and tell him to #StoptheReset. If you don't stop this, don't complain when all of our goods export industries have closed because of EU higher carbon taxes, EU higher carbon import tariffs, and the cost of complying with the EU's new packaging and process regulations.
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The EU wants all EU students to be able to study at UK universities for subsidised fees. So who will be paying for this? The EU Reset also doesn't mention any limit on how many EU youths can come to the UK for 3 years under the EU's Youth Experience Scheme. What could possibly go wrong?
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Another misleading story from BBC today, linking the value of the pound with Burnham’s EU surrender. Interest rates drive currency values. GBP fell vs EUR post Brexit because the Euro was emerging from 0% interest. Today’s likely BofE hike is about containing inflation.
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The new UK minimum wage for workers over 21 will be £13.20 an hour, about £2,288 per month. In contrast, the minimum monthly wage in Bulgaria is €620 (£530) per month. While EU member states Austria, Denmark, Finland, Italy, and Sweden do not have a statutory minimum wage.
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We replied to that question in the 1960s. EU Law primes over domestic law. That’s the precondition to operate as a community based on the rule of law
“The drama in Warsaw is symptomatic of a much larger conflict brewing across Europe: a clash between two concepts of legitimate authority. Is a country’s constitution national, to be interpreted by domestic authorities, or is it subordinate to EU rules, to be interpreted by higher European institutions?” Worth reading by @j_grygiel wsj.com/opinion/polands-cons…
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Adrian S retweeted
THE FRENCH SAY NON TO BREXIT HARM TO UK ECONOMY If you haven't read this, then you really should grab a brew and do so. Punch by punch this review of pro-EU narratives on Brexit harms are taken apart clinically and proven by facts and data to be false. ofce.fr/prev/prev2603/es/uk/…
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I am seeing multiple posts on X complaining that the Polish crisis is being ignored by the media on mainland Europe. So it is in the UK where the legacy media have abandoned the issue. I hate to dwell on conspiracy theories, but this is an issue of some considerable importance yet, outside Poland, it is being virtually ignored by the European press. The Indian media are carrying more detail. The exclusion cannot be accidental. The media cannot be unaware of what is going on, yet they deliberately choose to ignore it. What is the agenda here?
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Adrian S retweeted
Ko smo se odločali za vstop v EU, si ni nihče predstavljal, da bo v kaki njeni članici in uniji nasploh mogoče brez posledic: 1. Razveljaviti predsedniške volitve (Romunija); 2. Ukiniti informativni program na nacionalni RTV (Madžarska); 3. Poslati policijo na Ustavno sodišče (Poljska); 4. Tri tedne pred volitvami poslati v zapor predsednika stranke, ki vodi v anketah (Slovenija); 5. Zasesti nacionalno RTV s policijo in zamenjati vodstvo (Poljska); 6. Prekiniti mandate vodstvu nacionalne RTV in izvesti čistko zaposlenih (Slovenija); 7. Poslati v zapor člane prejšnje vlade brez možnosti obrambe (Madžarska); 8. Podeliti skoraj milijon državljanstev ilegalnim migrantom po hitrem postopku (Španija); 9. Zapreti novo Nuklearno elektrarno in zgraditi plinovod do Rusije (Nemčija); 10. Obdavčiti ogljične energetske vire ob hkratnem zapiranju NE ter preseliti industrijo v države z nizkimi ekološkimi standardi pod pretvezo, da tako rešujemo planet. Nastala je EU, ki se mora reševati sama pred sabo.
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Adrian S retweeted
MAKE YOURSELF HEARD The government are gearing up to yet again betray everything you've asked them to do, in the upcoming EU Reset summit on November 20th. Make sure your voice is heard, in any which way you can - even a small action is more than nothing and will help: 🇬🇧 Repost content on social media 🇬🇧 Write to your MP 🇬🇧 Write to your local newspaper 🇬🇧 Call into TV and Radio shows 🇬🇧 Help canvas in your local area 🇬🇧 Take part in online surveys 🇬🇧 Attend events and protests
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Chart of the Day 🤓 By popular demand, here's one of UK exports both of goods and of services, and to both the EU and the rest of the world... 🤔 Three quick takeaways: 1⃣ exports of services are more important than exports of goods - and have continued to grow rapidly 2⃣ exports of goods to the EU have fallen slightly in volume terms since 2019, but they had barely grown for many years - even when the UK was in the EU 3⃣ exports of goods to the rest of the world have also been relatively weak since 2019 - so any problems on the goods side cannot just be due to Brexit
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Good Morning from Germany, where one of Europe’s biggest landlords calls the country “uninvestable.” Heimstaden is withholding fresh capital over Berlin’s expropriation plans. It owns 20,000 apartments in the city worth ~€5bn and estimates a potential €1bn loss. Its hybrid bond has plunged from ~98 cents in August to 82.5. The irony: a policy meant to tackle the housing shortage risks driving away investment without building a single new home. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Here’s my ‘honest conversation’ about rejoining the EU: “No”. @andyburnham
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The UK has around 11 million citizens aged 18-30, with roughly 15% unemployed (1.6 million citizens). The EU has around 70 million citizens aged 18-30, with roughly 15% unemployed (10.5 million citizens). The UK has higher wages and working conditions than most of the EU. So our Government's solution to high youth unemployment, is to add another 10 million competitors into the job market for them.
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Adrian S retweeted
England as a whole has received 52% of its long-term average rainfall for October Growing concerns that farmers may not be able to refill water storage reservoirs over the winter, acc @EnvAgency
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UK’s Labour government: “I know! Let’s build thousands more houses! That’ll sort it” What this country needs is to build more jobs in the north, not more houses in the south. #essexcountycouncil #efdc bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwm2…
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.@andyburnham, the British public does not need a lecture about global events. We can see what is happening in the world. What we need is a Prime Minister prepared to explain why Britain has been left so dangerously exposed, and what his government intends to do about it. Instead, you offer us Google Maps. Britain faces a serious energy crisis, households are watching their bills climb, businesses are struggling, and your answer is to tell motorists where they can find petrol a few pence cheaper. A price comparison feature may be useful, but it's not an energy policy. Dressing it up as meaningful government action insults the intelligence of those paying the bills. You say global events are pushing up prices. Of course they are. But they do not explain every decision taken in Westminster over the past two decades, nor excuse the choices made by your party. Britain sits on substantial oil and gas resources in the North Sea. Yet we have pursued policies that discourage domestic investment, create uncertainty and increase our dependence on international markets. We impose punitive taxes on producers while relying on their energy. We have allowed domestic capacity to decline without ensuring reliable, affordable alternatives are ready. And then ministers express astonishment when international disruption sends prices soaring. Ed Miliband has repeatedly reminded Parliament that Britain is a price taker in global fossil fuel markets. He is correct. But if your government understands that vulnerability, why pursue policies that discourage domestic production and leave us increasingly dependent on imports? Nobody sensible claims another North Sea well would determine the world oil price. But domestic production matters for security of supply, jobs, tax revenues, investment and reducing dependence on foreign producers. Those benefits do not disappear because oil is traded internationally. Energy security also requires adequate storage, dependable generating capacity, a functioning electricity grid, nuclear investment and an honest assessment of what the transition to renewables will cost. Energy is the foundation of a modern industrial economy, not merely another opportunity to announce a target. Your government inherited serious failures from its predecessors. But Labour was elected to govern, not to spend its time explaining why everything is somebody else's fault. Your party has made its own choices. It has defended restrictions on North Sea exploration, maintained a hostile investment environment for domestic oil and gas, and placed extraordinary faith in a rapid energy transition without adequately answering questions of affordability, reliability and security. Those are political decisions, Mr Burnham. They have consequences. What makes your message particularly galling is the contrast between the scale of the problem and the triviality of the remedy. People are not worried because they cannot find the cheapest petrol station. They are worried because getting to work, heating their homes, running businesses and buying essentials keeps getting more expensive. They were promised Labour's energy policies would bring bills down. They were told Britain would become an energy superpower. Yet when another severe price shock arrives, your answer is to shop around. A serious government would review barriers to domestic production, accelerate dependable energy infrastructure, address storage vulnerabilities and publish a credible plan to protect households and industry from prolonged disruption. So yes, Mr Burnham, global events are driving prices higher. But Britain's vulnerability is not simply an act of God. It reflects years of political choices, including those your party continues to defend. The British people understand the difference between saving a few pence at the pump and securing the energy future of an entire nation. The question is whether their Prime Minister does.
I know people are worried about fuel prices. And I get it. You get to the pump, watch the numbers climb, and wonder why it's costing so much more than it used to.   The reality is that global events are pushing up costs, and families here at home are feeling the impact.   But I won't accept that there's nothing I can do to help.   That's why from today, you'll be able to see petrol and diesel prices on Google Maps, compare nearby stations and find the cheapest option before you fill up.   It's a small change, but if there's a practical way to help people keep more money in their pocket, I'll do it.
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Hi @AffinityWater - Thanks for your note about the continuing hosepipe ban for Central area, in which you state that we need 120% of average rainfall for 7 months to make up reserves. What’s your plan for supplying the 1600+ new build homes planned for Epping? #essexcountycouncil
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Replying to @Lord_Sugar
Are you trolling us now? I am a barrister. Every single barrister, judge, senior doctor, nurse, local business owner I know voted Leave. Leave voters took the time and effort to consider their vote. To listen to the various groups (fishermen being the most obvious) it was clear that the EU was heading towards a Federal Project via the extension of remit of the ECJ. Set up as a Commercial Court to prevent anti-competition behaviour, the Maastricht and Lisbon Treaties widened the scope to Immigration, Matrimonial, Social care, Employment and Human Rights. What’s the problem with that? You wail. The problem is this: the laws being enforced by the ECJ are not from a democratically elected parliament, but from a body called the EU Commission. This is an appointed body, not elected. Before you ask: No, unlike our parliament, the EU Parliament does not originate law. It rubber stamps them from the Commission. Feel free to ask me any questions you may have on any of the EU treaties, I know them inside out. Before I go. Remain voters voted for the SQ. A lazy vote, just like the entire machine of the state: lazy. Don’t you dare call me stupid for my vote.
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