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Thereās no way out of the debt cycle.
Politicians wonāt cut spending as theyāll lose votes.
The US has decided that growth through AI & tech is the solution.
Sadly the UK doesnāt have that option.
Official figures out this morning report that last month, the UK government borrowed £24.5 billion.
But the fineprint shows that almost £11 billion of that extra borrowing went on debt interest payments.
That's more than £400 per household on debt service costs, in September alone.
So far during this financial year, from April to September, the government's debt interest payments amount to £61 billion.
Now, this number will barely feature in UK newspapers and across our airwaves. It may be mentioned in passing in out-of-the-way business sections, or on the odd business bulletin.
But this huge debt interest bill won't register with the vast majority of our political and media class, or impact the national debate.
Let me explain why that's so wrong and so dangerous ...
Ā£61 billion is a massive amount of money.
It's equivalent to the UK's entire annual defence budget ā the money we're paying, increasingly to foreign creditors, simply to service our national debt for six months, not to pay any of it back.
Ā£61 billion is equivalent to the money you'd raise over a year from adding a whopping 7 pence to the basic rate of income tax.
For £61 billion, you could build around 40 large, state-of-the-art hospitals, or employ more than 100 thousand extra nurses for ten years.
Ā£61 billion would pay for free-at-the-point of use social care for everyone who needs it in the UK, for an entire year āĀ three times over.
Again, this is the debt interest bill on Britain's spiralling national debt āĀ now more than 3 trillion pounds āĀ over the last six months alone.
The UK's public finances are close to meltdown ā yet so many MPs and journalists continue blithely to view ever more public spending and borrowing as the answer to every problem.
Those who highlight the dangers post by our hugely precarious national accounts are dismissed as cranks, ideologues or worse.
But basic arithmetic has no ideology.
And there is nothing "progressive" or "kind" or "right-on" about driving the UK ever closer to the fiscal cliff edge, provoking a crisis that will make the "austerity" years of the 2010s feel like a picnic, a crisis in which poorer households will suffer the most.
Yes, Britain's national debt is lower than that of France. But because our borrowing has been rising so sharply, and because we're so prone to inflation, our debt service costs are much higher.
The UK is spending a disgraceful 3.6pc of GDP on public debt interest, while France spends less than 2.5pc.
Endless airtime and column inches are devoted to spurious conversations about a billion or two of additional "fiscal headroom" we may or may not have in three years' time.
And, of course, any "extra headroom" is immediately pledged in new spending ā which means yet more borrowing.
These conversations are a waste of time āĀ and, in fact, are deeply counterproductive. Three-year fiscal forecasts, even one- and two-year forecasts, routinely turn out to be askew by tens of billions of pounds.
I'm not saying we don't need fiscal rules - we do, but we need more immediate rules, which actually bite, acting as a meaningful constraint on out-of-control borrowing and spending.
Instead, political and media sages present the nation with spuriously precise discussions about fictional fiscal outcomes way into the future ā using rules which are deliberately designed to kick arithmetic realities into the long grass ....
An increasingly expensive, over-bearing, out of control state is not the answer to Britain problems.
But unless we change course, it will certainly be our downfall.
Please like/share if you think what I'm saying is important ā and if fiscal realities should feature more prominently in our national debate.
And for more sharp, plain-speaking economic analysis subscribe to:
"When The Facts Change - economic and politics in a fast-moving world, with Liam Halligan"
We definitely donāt want wealthy people coming to the UK, investing a minimum of Ā£5 million in British companies, paying taxes and building businesses.
Crazy idea.
One of the more unusual risk warnings Iāve seen.
From Anthropicās pre-IPO submission.
āWidespread destruction, human extinction and time travel.ā
Fun times ahead š
Starbucks UK did £556m in sales last year⦠and paid no corporation tax.
Yes they paid NICs and collected VAT - but so does every company.
Maybe instead of crushing the life out of UK SMEs, the government should focus on large multi nationals.
If you tax people who work - and pay people who donāt work - youāre going to get less people working. Itās just common senseā
Arthur Laffer
Crazy that Amazon wonāt allow any of the AI agents to make purchases.
I wonder how this is going to work out ā either they create their own, relent and provide access - or lose an increasing slice of business.
So many sectors are going through huge transformation now.
Wait, what?
This canāt be serious.
Theyāve already hammered family businesses with Inheritance tax.
And now this?
I donāt want to feel compelled to move to Dubai or Malta or Cyprus.
The UK can be a great country again and London can reclaim its position as the worldās greatest city.
I havenāt given up yet.
(Regents Park Sunday morning)
The challenge many people have with AI agents is not knowing what to ask them to actually do for you.
They set up Instinct, Dot, Grokbot, or Muse - and then don't know what to do next.
So here's a starter list of the life-admin tasks I've used over the past couple of weeks that you might want your personal AI agent to do for you.
- Research and book flights and accommodation.
- Research and book a hard-to-get-into restaurant
- Find better value car insurance.
- Organise and sorted 6,000 documents sitting in my Google Drive š«£
- Cancel and refund unused subscriptions.
- Clean up your email inbox and unsubscribe from newsletters you never read.
- Find recurring subscriptions in your bank statement and credit cards, check with you, and agree to cancel unused software and apps.
- Find a better value mobile phone plan.
- Monitor social media and highlight posts and comments worth answering.
- Review your past emails for positive comments and testimonials that had been lost to history
- Got me a refund of £336 from something I forgot to claim.
- Analyse the multiple emails I receive every week from my children's schools and tell me if I need to pay attention or take action!
- Send an end-of-week summary of meetings and emails, aiming to close out any open loops or unfinished tasks
I've now set up my own Grokbot team for business - Chief of Staff, head of marketing, podcast production, a personal assistant, a researcher, a strategic business adviser - and I'll probably have several more working for me full-time in the next few days.
I think the first Ā£10 million one-person company isnāt far away now.
If you want to see what others are using their agents for, click the link below.
Some of the results are amazing.
agentusecases.ai/
One question for government ministers who are taking decisions that affect millions of businesses in the UK:
āSo what have you built?ā
Alan Smith retweeted
Message for the West: wake up.
Last night in Texas, at a SpaceX facility, Elon Musk made a car fly. The new Tesla Roadster drove up a ramp, went upside down, fired ultra-high-pressure air thrusters, rolled in mid-air and landed back on its wheels. His words: "Flying cars are real." Production planned for 2028.
This isn't a gimmick. It's an answer.
Last November on Joe Rogan, asked why Tesla would build a flying car, Musk's answer was simple: his friend Peter Thiel once observed that the future was supposed to have flying cars, and we never got them. "If Peter wants a flying car, we should be able to buy one."
Everyone knows Thiel's line: "We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters." The 2026 version: we got TikTok. For fifty years, the West stopped building in the world of atoms and retreated into the world of bits. Apps, infinite scroll, targeted ads. And we called it progress.
Yesterday, someone closed the loop. Not a ministry. Not a five-year plan. Not an ethics committee. A car company and a rocket company that decided to work together.
And this is only the beginning.
We are living through the most extraordinary revolution in human history. AI, robotics, energy, space, biology: everything is converging at once. For the first time, we can reinvent everything. All of our systems. Education, healthcare, government, production, distribution. We can dream of systems more efficient than any generation before us could imagine. Solve access to food. Make extremely high-quality goods and services available to everyone, at a cost trending toward zero. Abundance is no longer a utopia. It's an engineering problem.
But at some point, we have to open our eyes.
The West is dysfunctional. And Europe is the most advanced stage of that dysfunction.
The current technocracy, the project championed by Macron and the globalist elites, is driving us straight into a wall. It is opening a chasm between what the United States and China are capable of creating and what we are still capable of creating. They understood where value comes from. It comes from freedom. The freedom to start, to build, to try, to fail, to start again. We built a continent where, before a car could take off, you'd need three years of impact assessments, a citizens' assembly and a GDPR review.
And above all, let's not fall for the trap of the moment: believing that "sovereign AI" will save us.
Sovereign AI in a country that's no longer allowed to build is a Ferrari locked in a garage.
Europe's problem isn't technological. It's mental. We're running an ideological software that looks more and more like neo-communism: the precautionary principle as state religion, "impact" as the only moral compass, degrowth as the horizon, social justice as a pretext to redistribute before anything has even been produced. We replaced the question "what are we building?" with "what are we banning?"
As long as we run that software, we can pour all the billions we want into AI plans and nothing will happen. We'll regulate what others invent. We'll tax what others produce. And we'll watch, on our phones, other countries make cars fly.
The future is coming. It's coming fast. The only question is whether Europe wants to be an actor in it, or a museum.
Wake up.
Just answered an unsolicited call from IPSOS asking if I would be happy to participate in their survey ā āonly takes approximately 30 minutes.ā
Whoās got the time for that?
Make me think about the sort of people who actually answer these surveys.
Met a fintech founder for drinks last night.
Heās leading the business, hiring people, driving the marketing - and fundraising at the same time.
Itās relentless - and the anti business/anti growth agenda isnāt helping.
Massive respect for the British entrepreneurs giving it a go regardless of the headwinds. š¬š§š
Napoleon described Britain as āa nation of shopkeepersā (une nation de boutiquiers).
He was referring to Britain's commercial character: a country of merchants, traders, retailers and entrepreneurs.
But the irony is that our commercial strength was one of the reasons Napoleon couldn't defeat us.
Our businesses, trading networks and financial institutions helped make Britain an economic powerhouse.
Now, more than 200 years later, we're still a nation of entrepreneurs.
Unfortunately, our government seems determined to crush that entrepreneurial spirit.
The impact of Rachel Reevesā IHT rules is now being felt across the economy.
Less investment, fewer jobs created, businesses sold to overseas private equity.
And the downstream impact will now mean less tax revenue for HMRC not more.
Another insane policy decision.













