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Charts of the month
"2025 year end"
gregtheanalyst.com/?p=12800
$SVIX - this is your probability of Black Monday once (W)MA200 will be broken...
$INTC on (D) ... One of the top "island reversal" pattern I've ever seen...
-32% in a day.
True value is around 10$ in reality...
GregTheAnalyst retweeted
$NVDA
Two crazy levels :
1/ 212$
2/ 35$ (SPX/GOLD cyclical peak)
Watch how SPX/GOLD cyclical peak builds crossing with secular bull/bear market border blue (M)MA200
Once we finally leave 212$ level (probably once neoclouds blow up) red (M)MA50 is first stop = 113$
Me : Everything what is > 4Q21 will reverse below it = 35$ for NVDA.
Why? No idea. Pure math and pure technical analysis.
Another 1-2 days like today and Anthropic will be forced to withdraw its IPO...
Amazing how credit tells "JUNK" while retail investors say "FUTURE"
I've learned that BOND market is always right and STOCK market follows BOND market with lag and it always joins where BOND market is.
Can't still put TLT here (we need > 82.5$ to start considering TLT)
Diesel > Oil > DXY > Gold > AI/TECH/SOX
David Tepper is still alive? He's been leopolded ...
David Tepper has allocated 70% of his portfolio to just seven stocks.
Here is the legendary investor's current portfolio breakdown:
1. Amazon ($AMZN) – 15.95% of the portfolio
$SOXX on (D) and (D)MA200 ... Truly amazing last day of the month...
$SVIX - this is your probability of Black Monday once (W)MA200 will be broken...
10y/3m according to my golden rule uninverted > +60bps around April/May 2026.
THE BROAD MARKET PEAKS ONCE US03MY DROPS BELOW (M)MA50 (4Q25) AND 10Y/3M UNINVERTS PERMANENTLY > 60bps+ (2/3Q26).
Record inversion will lead to record ever 10 sigma events as new normal, so drops by 20-30% per day matches the theory and you shouldn't be surprised at all.
GregTheAnalyst retweeted
Intel $INTC stock is on pace for its worst day in more than a HALF CENTURY
$QQQ with no comment
The fact is nobody understands the market can crash (peak) when everything on the paper looks like exponential growth (at the end it turns out it wasn't).
Market knows perfectly where is the border between exponential growth and where it's the end of it.
Because 95% of current traders have not passed even 1 true technical bear market my twitter feed floats with
"How is that possible as future looks bright and those backlogs, this future"
To confirm the bear market (not bull market correction) first SPX/QQQ/DJI need to break (M)MA50 and that's a VERY long way :
SPX = 5630
QQQ = 486
DJI = 41400


























