Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson) header
Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson) profile picture
Tucson, AZ
Joined April 2013
Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)Photo by Andy Flach 🌵 (@AndyfromTucson)
Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Democrats have created a supermajority in the Arizona Senate. An incredible wipeout for the Arizona GOP projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Katie Hobbs and the Arizona Democratic Party were rewarded for her legendary commitment to sweeping policy change, her many highly viral videos, and her outstanding rizz & mastery of attentional politics.
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Was interested in our Legislative ticket splitting for State Senate here in AZ... some interesting notes, colored text denotes incumbent Every R is overperforming Biggs, ranging from 0.3% in LD-14 (where his daughter is the nominee) to 8.9% by Gail Griffin in SE Arizona.
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When the single shot strategy bites you in the ass
Based on the returns so far, had two Democrats run in LDs 14, 16, and 27 instead of just one the party would have a super majorities in both chambers. This would have allowed them to repeal tax cuts without GOP support.
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The MAGAs are crashing out in the comments on Rachel Keshel’s Facebook page
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
"Walmart doesn't offer its employees health insurance" hasn't been true for many years. Every employee who works 30 or more hours - more than 70% of the company's store employees, and more than 80% of their distribution-center employees - qualifies for benefits.
Talarico argues pro-business really means pro-big business, socialism for the rich, rugged individualism for everyone else “I've seen that when people talk about being pro-business, what that usually means is being pro-big business, right?” “we basically subsidize Walmart through Medicaid because they don't give their employees quality healthcare.” “So again, socialism for the rich, rugged individualism for the rest of us.” “And this is not a radical vision. It's what we had before.” w/ @jamestalarico
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
One more reason to love BAAJA: The managers amendment released today includes the Wildfire Emissions Prevention Act, which makes it easier for states to exclude smoke from prescribed burns from federal emissions calculations. Under current rules, states can be penalized for smoke from these beneficial burns that help prevent catastrophic wildfires. Pass the bill!
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Stephen Miller is killing it on his first day on the job
Trump: “I am pleased to announce that the Great Dana White, a violent Fighter and Warrior, has been offered the job of Press Secretary of the United States. I have requested that he bring with him assistants, even though some are not from our Country, of Islam Makhachev, Khabib Nurmagomedov, Justin Gaethje, Daniel Cormier, Amanda Nunes, and Kayla Harris. We need these people to defend us against the Lunatic Left. Dana will be a Press Secretary like none other. Dana, please take the job! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
James Talarico has a pass to say whatever slop he wants about the gas tax - I trust his ball knowledge in terms of what you need to do to win elections, what good policy actually looks like, and how to thread the needle between the two.
“Is Talarico progressive is he moderate.” Enough. James Talarico is Online. He’s read the posts we’ve read. He’s talking about the Powell memo and the Jim Crow filibuster. He knows the lore
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I like that in the LD17 House race GOP incumbent Rachel Keshel did worse than GOP newcomer John Winchester.
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You can see every Pima precinct shaded by vote margin for any race at the PCDP election results map I made pimavote.com/results/pima_el…
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
I've seen versions of this cope and they all ignore how many seats Dems started with. The "smart take" was that it would be hard for them to crack 230 bc they had so many swing seats already - Rs entered the cycle with just two members in districts won by Kamala. The biggest GOP House majority since the New Deal was the 2014 majority of 247 seats. Dems have already zoomed past that. And their big New Deal era majorities relied on Solid South conservatives who were replaced by Rs long ago. A majority of this size, where the most conservative member is Henry Cuellar (a pro-life Hispanic who's otherwise a normal liberal), is brand new.
Clinton lost 54 seats in the 1994 midterm election. Obama lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm election. Trump just lost 41 seats in the 2026 midterm election. It’s not exactly the historic event you believe it to be.
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Replying to @AZHouseDems
@AZHouseDems, @AZSenateDems, with their new-found majority at the Capitol, eye changes in Empowerment Scholarship Accounts, with what was in thwarted initiative as the likely starting point. Oh, and let's also talk about taxes.... tucson.com/news/state-region…
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
The reason I harp on this relative performance stuff is that we have top political consultants and major journalists telling the world that we need to copy one specific candidate to learn how to persuade young men, but young men swung more in AK, IA, KS, MS, NC, OH, and TX!
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
So in a blue tsunami year, in California of all places, wealth tax can’t be passed. Who thinks the nation is clamoring for this sort of thing?
California Voters Reject Billionaire Wealth Tax Measure — DDHQ No: 5,241,341 (53.71%) ☑️ Yes: 4,516,383 (46.29%)
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Been posting this GIF a lot since Tuesday
In case you’re keeping score, Things that died this week: The Republican majority  JD Vance’s political future Election denialism A Red Texas Russell Brand’s freedom Laura Loomer’s podcast Trump on the ballot LIV golf Mike Johnson’s relevance NY 21’s dignity Katie Miller’s voting ability  The “manosphere” Cyber trucks Susie Wiles’s NDA  MAGA influencers’ Iran war support “Total immunity” Pete Hegseth’s sobriety Mid-census redistricting  Elon’s $500 million Vivek Ramaswamy’s concession call  TPUSA Susan Collins’ “concerns” But don’t worry…it’s nothing Stephen Miller can’t solve.
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
Big: Kris Kobach, the Kansas attorney general, one of the country’s most notorious far-right figures who charted the way for Trump’s election denialism well before Trump got to it, has lost his reelection bid. Democrat Chris Mann will be new Kansas attorney general, AP calls.
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Andy Flach 🌵 retweeted
It's fun to see Elon Musk waste half a billion dollars to learn a lesson the Great Slate learned for about $7 million. I'll share it again for free! 1. Elections today are highly nationalized, so even local races can absorb unlimited amounts of money without materially affecting the outcome. 2. Door knocking is not a magic strategy for boosting turnout; think about how annoyed you get when strangers come do it to you. 3. Deep conversations about political issues that take place between a community volunteer and a citizen on the latter's front porch exist only in the imagination of progressive think tanks. 4. There is no 'political dark matter' in American elections. Non-voters generally don't vote for a good reason. 5. Five minute spent talking to someone who has never voted generally leads you to the fervent hope that they will continue to never vote in the future. 6. The campaign process can absorb unlimited amounts of money with no effect on outcomes. This is against the conventional wisdom (people believe that $2,600 corporate donations somehow buy politicians) and infuriating if you're spending the money, but in fact a sign of great health and resiliency in American politics. 7. The one factor that reliably *does* get out new votes and change outcomes is a ballot initiative. If you have one of those, you can organize around it.
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