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EVERYTHING you need to know if you are betting on Sunday's 8 NBA games🏀⬇️

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𝐍𝐁𝐀 𝐅𝐫𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐲 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲 #𝟏🏀 𝟏𝐔 - 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐚𝐬 𝐁𝐮𝐳𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐬 (𝐂𝐇𝐈) 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟒.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐬 (-𝟏𝟐𝟔 𝐃𝐊) This line should probably be 5.5, especially in this kind of matchup. Buzelis has cleared this line in 10/14 games this season, with 2 misses coming in games he played under 20 minutes due to foul trouble. He has cleared this line in 9/11 games with 20+ mins this season. Buzelis is 3rd on the Bulls in rebound chances per game at 9.9, with a 67% adjusted Reb percentage, equating to around 6.6 rebounds per game. We have a ridiculous 249.5 points O/U in this game, due to the Heat and Bulls being #1 and #3 in PACE. The Heat allow the 2nd most opponent rebounds per game in the NBA at 50.5. Miami just let 8 different Warriors grab 5+ boards. Across the whole season, Heat opponents have had 3 or more players with 5+ boards in 14/15 games, and 4 or more players with 5+ boards in 11/15 games. As I mentioned previously Buzelis is 3rd on the team in both rebound chances and rebounds per game, and for what it's worth, Jalen Smith, who is 4th in both of those things is probable with a a chest injury. #GamblingX #NBA

𝗡𝗕𝗔 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆 #𝟭🏀 𝗗𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗸 𝗪𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗲 (𝗕𝗢𝗦) 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟴.𝟱 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 (-𝟭𝟭𝟯 𝗗𝗞) I know he already burned us, but anytime a players points line is the same as their FGA, it is an auto play for me. White is averaging 18 field goal attempts and 11 3PA per game this year. He is shooting 31% from the field and 25% from 3. The shots have to start falling. The Sixers defense has been awful this year despite being 4-0. Their 119.9 DRTG is the 6th worst in basketball and D-White dropped 25 on them in the season opener on 20 field goal attempts. White leads the Celtics in possessions as a PnR ball handler this year where Philly has gotten cooked. So far this season they are allowing the 3rd highest PnR frequency, the 3rd most PPP from PnR ball handlers, on the 3rd highest score frequency and the 4th highest EFG%. Similarly, White leads the Celtics and is 5th in the entire NBA in pull-up 3 point attempts per game. So far this season Philly is allowing the 4th highest pull-up 3 point frequency. We get a 1 point spread, a great matchup, and a guy who has insane volume but has just had a poor shooting start to the year. I'm backing White again. #GamblingX #NBA

𝐍𝐁𝐀 𝐖𝐞𝐝𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐝𝐚𝐲 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲 #𝟏🏀 𝐀𝐮𝐬𝐚𝐫 𝐓𝐡𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐬𝐨𝐧 (𝐃𝐄𝐓) 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟐.𝟓 𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 (-𝟏𝟏𝟖 𝐃𝐊) The Pistons are going to rely a lot on Ausar to take on an increased scoring role this year now with the news of guard Jaden Ivey being out. Coach Bickerstaff noted the tempo Ausar plays at with the ball in his hands and said it will be something they do more of moving forward. Detroit eased Ausar back into play last season after he came back from a blood clot, and with a full offseason of preparation he should be in for real starter minutes now. Ausar hit this line in 15/22 (68%) games last year when he played at least 25 minutes. We get one of the best matchups here we could get as well. Ausar does mainly all of his scoring in the paint, where the Bulls allowed the most points per game in the NBA last year, and we saw a lot of the same in the preseason where they allowed the 7th most. Ausar vs the Bulls last year: 19 points in 28 minutes 16 points in 22 minutes 12 points in 22 minutes As I mentioned before, Ausar loves getting out in transition and playing fast, and the Bulls played at the second fastest pace in the league last season. #GamblingX #NBA

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🏀𝗡𝗕𝗔 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 #𝟮 𝗕𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗻 𝗖𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗶𝗰𝘀 𝗨𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝟰𝟮.𝟱 𝗧𝗲𝗮𝗺 𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝘀 (-𝟭𝟭𝟴 𝗙𝗗) Check out the interesting angle I am taking on Boston to go under their win total this season 👇 Drop a❤️for another play tomorrow

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⚾️Opening Day Prop #4 Jesus Luzardo (MIA) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120 @ DK) The hometown kid is set to make is 1st opening day start against a Pirates team that had the 8th highest K% to left handed pitchers last season. Most of their lineup stayed the same, but I'll break down the individual projected starters later in this post. Before we do that, I wanna talk about what Luzardo did in 2023. Outside of a shaky August, Luzardo was a reliable arm for Miami, posting a 3.58 ERA and 28.1% strikeout rate in 178.2 innings pitched. His strikeout stuff in particular was impressive. He had a 77th perctentile chase%, 86th percentile whiff%, and 82nd percentile K%. All of that was powered by is fastball that had an average MPH of 96.7, landing him in the 90th percentile. Luzardo was also a totally different pitcher at home last season. In 19 starts in Miami he posted a 2.99 ERA and struck out 29% of his batters faced. That included a 9 K start against the Pirates. Here is the Pirates projected opening day lineup, and their K% vs LHP last season: C: Henry Davis - 23.5% 1B: Tellez/Joe - 25%/20% 2B: Jared Triolo - 30% SS: Oneil Cruz - 53% (2022, played 9 games last year) 3B: Ke'Bryan Hayes - 17% LF: Jack Suwinski - 41% CF: Michael A. Taylor - 31% RF: Bryan Reynolds - 21.7% DH: Andrew McCutchen - 17% With really only 2 extremely low K rate guys, and 4 dudes with crazy high rates, I love Luzardo's chances to rack up K's on opening day. #GamblingX #MLB

⚾️Opening Day Prop #3 Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 0.5 Strikeouts (-125 @ DK) Any time you are backing this guy against a lefty, you should feel confident. In 199 plate appearances vs left handed pitching last season, Marte struck out just 24 times (12%). He is all around just a very disciplined hitter. Last season he was in the 75th percentile or above in chase%, whiff%, K% and BB%. Marte was much more comfortable at home last season as well, seeing his batting average go from .250 to .303, and striking out just 15.8% of the time at home, compared to 17.6% on the road. And he's facing a pitcher that strikes out NO ONE????? Kyle Freeland had a 13.9% strikeout rate and 17.1% whiff rate last season, landing him in the 2nd and 1st percentiles respectively. Awful. Freeland's strikeout rate dropped even more when facing righties last season, down to 12.6%. Marte has faced Freeland 50 times in his career, absolutely raking him, hitting .349 and striking out just 7 times (14%). Just an all around great matchup with a lot of things in our favor. #GamblingX #MLB

⚾️Opening Day Prop #1 Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 0.5 Strikeouts (-115 @ DK) After splitting the Korea series with the Padres, Mookie and the Dodgers open up at home against the St. Louis Cardinals. Starting on the bump for St. Louis will be 35 year old Miles Mikolas, who had an extremely poor 7th percentile 15.9% strikeout rate in his 2023 campaign. On top of that he had an awful 16.7% whiff rate, landing him in the 1st percentile among qualified arms. That's why I love Mookie to go under his K's on opening day. He's been a low strikeout guy his whole career, and last season he had a 88th percentile K rate, 92nd percentile whiff rate, and 99th percentile chase rate. Mookie has started off the season mashing as well, going 6 for 9 in the Korean series, with 0 strikeouts. In 6 career plate appearances against Mikolas he is 2 for 5, with 1 BB and 0 Ks. Mikolas, coming off a pretty bad season, is now entering his age 35 season. I don't expect him to be a much different pitcher than he was last year, and if anything just worse. Maybe a Cardinals bullpen arm gets Mookie late in the game, but I think the odds are more than in our favor here. #GamblingX #MLB

Everything you need to know for your NBA bets on March 4th, 2024⬇️

EVERYTHING you need to know for your NBA bets on February 29th, 2024 ⬇️