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Big Dance Calculator (not affiliated with Bart Torvik model)

March
Joined March 2024
Ohio State’s situation is the most intriguing of all bubble teams. Undoubtedly, the Buckeyes need a win vs Illinois. Here’s where it’s interesting - if OSU loses to Indiana in the semis they are OUT but if they lose to Nebraska they are IN according to the metrics.
1
5,339
The CINCINNATI BEARCATS take home a huge win over the Jayhawks last night and leave themselves a golden opportunity tonight. Current chance of at-large: 63% w/ loss to Baylor: 40.8% (OUT) w/ win over Baylor: 85.1% (9 SEED) w/ 2 Big 12 Tournament wins: 93.6% (7/8 SEED)
2
5,171
Lobos get one step closer to a tournament berth
NEW MEXICO LOBOS Current odds to make the tournament: 42.1% w/ loss to AF: 16.1% (OUT) w/ win over AF: 42.1% (OUT) w/ 2 MW Tournament wins: 54.2% (11 SEED) w/ 3 MW Tournament wins: 62.3% (11 SEED)
3,700
Big Ten metrics are the most confusing thing. Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State, Indiana all have nearly the same record and all 4 are in completely different situations to make the tournament.
1
1,505
Indiana is much better team than any metric says they are
1,237
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS Current odds to make the tournament: 36.6% w/ loss to Texas: 22.6% (OUT) w/ win over Texas: 67.3% (11 SEED) w/ 2 Big 12 Tournament wins: 81.8% (9 SEED) w/ 3 Big 12 Tournament wins: 90.8% (8 SEED)
1
1,077
COLORADO STATE RAMS Current odds to make the tournament: 63.8% w/ loss to Nevada: 40.8% (OUT) w/ win over Nevada: 78.3% (10 SEED) w/ 2 MW Tournament wins: 88.8% (9 SEED)
630
When is Juwan Howard getting fired after this game?
40%Walking off the court
20%Midnight tonight
40%Tomorrow morning
5 votes • Final results
559
NEW MEXICO LOBOS Current odds to make the tournament: 42.1% w/ loss to AF: 16.1% (OUT) w/ win over AF: 42.1% (OUT) w/ 2 MW Tournament wins: 54.2% (11 SEED) w/ 3 MW Tournament wins: 62.3% (11 SEED)
1
1
1
3,977
INDIANA HOOSIERS Current odds to make the tournament: 0.7% w/ loss to PSU: 0.1% (OUT) w/ win over PSU: 1.4% (OUT) w/ 2 B1G Tournament wins: 5.5% (OUT) w/ 3 B1G Tournament wins: 21.9% (OUT)
1
1
496
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS Current odds to make the tournament: 92.6% w/ loss to MINN: 60.0 (11 SEED) w/ win over MINN: 41.5% (8 SEED) w/ 2 B1G Tournament wins: 98.5 (5 SEED)
1
413
THE OHIO STATE BUCKEYES Current odds to make the tournament: 28.2% w/ loss to Iowa: 15.2% (OUT) w/ win over Iowa: 29.4% (OUT) w/ 2 B1G Tournament wins: 78.3% (10 SEED) w/ 3 B1G Tournament wins: 83.1% (9 SEED)
1
363
IOWA HAWKEYES Current odds to make the tournament: 20.8% w/ loss to OSU: 6.5% (OUT) w/ win over OSU: 41.5% (OUT) w/ 2 B1G Tournament wins: 63.4 (11 SEED) w/ 3 B1G Tournament wins: 75.8% (11 SEED)
3
13
2
28
9,997