Web3 Research / AI fintech / Sports and more

Bimbadao
Joined December 2024
Bimba retweeted
someone knows when predict.fun launches checked every holder on the 'predict fun token by Oct 31' market on poly 32 of them looked like one bundle to me 25 of 32 wallets were created this month 15 of them traded only this one market 67.9k Yes Shares bought in total, avg entry 18c, ~12k$ spent November 30 Yes trades at 96c, so the market is sure it launches, the only question is timing price now 27c, even below what some of them paid. Retail is dumping it If it hits: 68.000$ payout on 12k$ NFA, but im in market: polymarket.com/event/will-pr…
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Bimba retweeted
THIS WALLET MADE $420,300 ON BITCOIN 5-MINUTE MARKETS AND HIS BIGGEST WIN WAS ONLY $2,140 Meet almach. Joined Polymarket in May 2026. 99,359 markets traded. $25.9M volume. +$420.3K profit. That's about $4.23 per market and a 1.6% margin. His best trade: "Down" at 28.7¢ on a 5-minute BTC window, Oct 7. +$2,140. His most typical trade: Oct 3, "Down" at 9.2¢. +$1,590, +860%. Now the weird part. Yesterday I posted bosona. Joined May 2026. 103,424 markets. $25.4M volume. +$436.4K. Biggest win $2,109. Two wallets. Almost the same numbers to the dollar. Same 5-minute windows at the top of both closed lists. One operator or two people running the same code, I can't tell. But it's the cleanest proof of what I wrote in this article: nobody here is predicting Bitcoin. They just keep buying the side that's priced too cheap. polymarket.com/@almach NFA. Stats as of Oct 28, prices move daily.
Most Polymarket traders pick the right side. They still lose. I read three studies covering 2.5M wallets. The crowd was right more often than the bots. The bots took the money anyway. Here's why:
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CHINESE TRADER STARTED BY BETTING $0.18 ON SHANGHAI'S WEATHER. SIX MONTHS LATER HE'S UP $500,000 Meet aHjCz. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x2b5… His very first trades on April 8th were tiny bets on what the highest temperature in Shanghai would be that day. One of them was literally $0.18 He only trades between noon and 10pm Beijing time. Not a single trade at night in China His edge is simple and brutal: buy outcomes that are already 97-99.9% decided, across every market he can find. Shanghai weather, Bank of Japan decisions, Australia's central bank, elections around the world His biggest wins: -> "No" on Democrats controlling the House at 8¢: $6.4K turned into $71.5K -> "No" on Democrats controlling the Senate at 34¢: $33.5K turned into $87.5K -> "No" on Democrats winning the Texas Senate race at 33¢: $25K turned into $68K For six months his curve barely moved, sitting around $77K. Then in the last week it exploded: +$420K in 6 days 111,000+ markets, $18.5M in volume, and he's still placing trades every day From $0.18 on Shanghai's weather to half a million dollars I'll be tracking his next moves to see if the run continues
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CHINESE TRADER STARTED WITH $2.50 BETS AND TURNED THEM INTO $266,000 BY BUYING “SURE THINGS” AT 99¢ Meet BoneOhio In March he was placing $2.50-2.75 bets on Bitcoin 5-minute markets, and seven months later he’s up $266K with a profit curve that barely ever dips Profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x48a… His edge is simple and brutal: he waits until the 5-minute candle is basically decided, then buys the winning side at 99¢ seconds before it closes His average trade right now: $376 in, $1.95 profit His biggest wins: -> Bitcoin Up, July 13, at 13.2¢: $225 turned into $1.7K -> Bitcoin Up, July 24, at 43.2¢: $996 turned into $2.3K -> Bitcoin Up, July 2, at 62.8¢: $2.2K turned into $3.6K -> Bitcoin Up, July 7, at 74.2¢: $3.6K turned into $4.9K He only trades between 10am and 10pm Beijing time, and he hasn’t placed a single trade during Chinese night hours 185,000+ markets, $72.7M in volume, and he’s still sniping Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Hyperliquid every day Tiny edges, hundreds of times a day, and it adds up to over a quarter of a million I’ll be tracking his next moves to see if he keeps compounding
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Bimba retweeted
I GAVE MY BOT $60 AND ONE RULE: EVERY TIME IT DOUBLES, THAT LEVEL BECOMES THE FLOOR. 24 HOURS LATER: $4,624 by the last hour, the worst this day could end at was $3,840 most people think the hard part is making the money. it isn't. the hard part is not giving it back on the way up my bot trades fresh Solana memecoins, puts about 30% of the balance into each entry, sets the take-profit before it buys and cuts anything at -25%. every time the balance doubles, that number turns into a floor. touch the floor and it closes everything and stops for the day the big closes: - 01:12, WOBBL +180%, +$32 - 02:40, FLINT +240%, +$66, floor $120 - 08:31, GRUBB +410%, +$180, floor $240 - 12:47, ZEPHY +520%, +$509, floor $480 - 21:05, KRILL +690%, +$1,598, floor $1,920 - 23:18, OPALZ +300%, +$2,133, floor $3,840 now the red side. 23 losing trades all day, $214 combined, less than ZEPHY paid on its own. every one of them hit while the balance sat way above the floor, so the bot never came close to stopping and the size did the rest. OPALZ did less than half of what KRILL did, +300% against +690%, and still paid more, $2,133 against $1,598, because the balance under it was 3x bigger the small wins in between added another $260 paper run on live prices. memecoins go to zero all the time, this is how my test is set, not a plan for your rent hour 24. $4,624 on the account, and the floor under it is already $3,840
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Bimba retweeted
THIS TRADER ONLY BETS BETWEEN 4PM AND 10PM BEIJING TIME. IN 9 MONTHS HE MADE $839,000 Meet Countrysid. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x161… Not one trade outside that window, ever. It looks like someone who comes home from work, opens the LPL and the NBA, and goes to sleep with more money His best calls: -> Knicks vs Spurs at 50¢: $359K turned into $637K -> Bilibili Gaming over JD Gaming, Game 4, at 50¢: $136K turned into $272K -> Anyone's Legend over Top Esports in the LPL at 54.1¢: $37.6K turned into $68.5K -> Invictus Gaming over T1 at 2¢: $1.6K turned into $29.3K -> Timberwolves over the Nuggets at 1.1¢: $913 turned into $37.7K $96.7M in volume, 1,576 markets, Chinese esports and US basketball, and nothing else Same edge as the rest of this group: he knows the Chinese scene better than the English-speaking book that prices it
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It is becoming f*cking systematic A Chinese desk just showed Claude Duet copytrading the exact edge from the Polymarket analysis. Claude A proposes. Claude B challenges. Nothing fills without the check. What the vortex shows: - China Desk Vortex live: 跟单漩涡 spinning Chinese wallets, 5-min signals, and position sizes - Steps locked: DETECT → PROPOSE → CHALLENGE → CHECK → ORDER - PnL climbing in the demo from +$3,169 to +$48,712 across BTC, ETH, SOL and the thin books - Duet flow: A propose side/fill → B challenge gap/late → code.check before any limit - Verdicts stay green only after both sides pass - Markets scanned while the English book is still slow The article went through ~100 Chinese-speaking accounts and found the same pattern: medium size, multi-market, low emotion, automation on the boring edges. Most people are still hand-trading 5-minute BTC. This setup runs the scan, the propose, and the challenge while the laptop is shut. Anthropic’s Duet is still a research preview. The same shape (one folder of rules + two agents that argue before anything moves) is buildable tonight in Claude Code. The Chinese edge was never just luck. It was process. Now the process has a dashboard.
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A CHINESE LEAGUE OF LEGENDS TRADER WAS DOWN $16,000 IN JULY. TODAY HE'S UP $100,000, AND HALF OF IT CAME IN THE LAST 3 DAYS OF WORLDS Meet wangyou1288. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x928… He trades almost nothing but LoL: China's LPL, the Demacia Cup, and now Worlds. He places most of his trades between 3pm and 7pm Beijing time, exactly when Chinese matches are on No lottery tickets and no all-ins, just steady $7-30K positions on matches he clearly knows better than the market His best calls: -> Top Esports over G2 at 50.2¢: $20K turned into $39.7K -> HANJIN BRION over LGD, Game 3, at 50.1¢: $16.6K turned into $33.1K -> Gen.G over LYON at 66.1¢: $30K turned into $45.3K -> Anyone's Legend over Invictus Gaming in the LPL playoffs at 50.2¢: $10K turned into $20.2K His curve: -$16K in July → break-even in September → +$100K today, +$47K since Worlds group stage started He's still in. Right now he has $7.9K on T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster at Worlds While everyone else grinds 5-minute Bitcoin, he's quietly farming the one scene where Chinese-language info is miles ahead I'll be tracking his Worlds bets to see if he keeps the run going
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CHINESE TRADER BET $3,126,000 THAT RONALDO WOULD CRY AT THE WORLD CUP. HE MADE $6,252 Meet 033033033. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd1c… He doesn't predict anything. He waits until something has basically already happened, then puts millions on it at 99.7-99.9¢ His trades: -> $3.13M on MicroStrategy NOT selling Bitcoin by May 31: +$8,465 -> $2.9M on a US x Iran ceasefire by April 7: +$8,246 -> $2.33M on Trump NOT saying "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping: +$9,278 -> $3.13M on Ronaldo crying at the World Cup: +$6,252 -> $990K on Zelenskyy NOT wearing a suit before July: +$19,716, his biggest win ever His average trade: $198,870 in, $290 profit Right now he's holding: -> $120K on Bitcoin NOT hitting $1M by the end of 2026 -> $20K on Jesus Christ NOT returning before 2027, at 98.5¢ $176,500,000 in volume, $312,000 in profit, and almost two years without a single real drawdown
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THIS CHINESE TRADER RISKS $42,000 TO MAKE $6, AND HE'S DONE IT SO MANY TIMES HE'S UP $317,000 Meet zxc368. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xa16… His average trade: $42,099 in, $6.54 profit. He only buys outcomes that are already 99.9% decided He started in November 2025, and his very first trades were already at 99.9¢. He never changed the strategy Right now: -> $52,100 on Team Spirit at 99.9¢ in a Dota 2 game, for a $26 profit -> Earlier: $280,505 on a Raiders total at 99¢, for $2,805 How it adds up: -> 56,974 markets traded -> $128,600,000 in volume -> $317,600 profit, with a curve that only goes up Esports, tennis, soccer, NFL, even MrBeast views. If something is 99.9% done, he's in One bad game would wipe out thousands of these trades. So far it hasn't happened
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A TRADER STARTED WITH $0.57 BITCOIN BETS AND TURNED THEM INTO $2,050,000 BY BUYING "SURE THINGS" AT 99¢ Meet 0x8dxd. profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x63c… In December 2025 his first bets were $0.57, $1.45 and $4 on hourly Bitcoin Up or Down markets Less than four months later he was up $2,050,000, with a max drawdown of just 2% the entire way His edge: he waits until the Bitcoin candle is basically decided, then buys the winning side at 99¢ seconds before it closes. The median entry price on his last 50 trades is 99¢ 1¢ of profit per share sounds like nothing, until you do it on $200,000,000 of volume His biggest wins: -> Bitcoin Up, Feb 9, at 27.9¢: $19.8K turned into $60.8K -> Bitcoin Up, Jan 19, at 35.5¢: $15.5K turned into $43.7K -> Bitcoin Down, Feb 6, at 25.8¢: $15.1K turned into $38.5K -> Bitcoin Down, Feb 17, at 50.2¢: $32.3K turned into $64.4K 34,810 markets, $200.6M in volume, 1.4 million profile views Second most profitable crypto trader on Polymarket of all time, from bets smaller than a dollar
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It is becoming f*cking modular A solo builder just showed Claude Duet running as a chain of locked cubes with the laptop shut. Sent without yes: 0. Drafts waiting. Nothing moves alone. What the video shows: - Permission map live: ALLOW (read, edit memory) · ASK (bash, mail.send, calendar.move) · DENY (edit CLAUDE.md, payments, delete) - CLAUDE.md rules on screen: “What you never do without my yes” - send, spend money, delete - Morning brief spinning up: calendar · inbox · promises · drafts ready - Team index of subagents: inbox-triage, meeting-prep, promise-keeper, checker - Cubes chained together, each one a file, a rule, a worker - Model prepares. You decide. One word: YES Most agents either wait for you or run until they break something. This one comes to you, finishes the work, and stops at the ask. Anthropic’s version is still a research preview. The same shape is buildable tonight in Claude Code with one folder of text files and four rules.
Claude Code + Opus 5.5 is godmode for building your own Claude Duet it reads your inbox and calendar before you wake up. drafts every reply. sends nothing without your yes it keeps working while you sleep full course, step by step:
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Bimba retweeted
Sam Altman: raising a baby without ChatGPT? I can’t f#cking imagine it. You ask AI to write emails. The guy selling it asks about his own child. On Jimmy Fallon, Altman said he couldn’t imagine figuring out newborn parenting without ChatGPT. He acknowledged people managed perfectly well before it. Then came the example: another parent’s baby was crawling at six months. His wasn’t. He went to ChatGPT for reassurance. A worried parent asks. The machine answers. He feels better. Huang discussed when a lab should lose access to chips. Altman shows how personal the technology already gets. Where’s your line between asking AI for help and letting its answer settle a decision about your f#cking kid?
Jensen Huang: dangerous AI? No f#cking chips for you. You trust AI with your business. Its builders depend on someone else to keep selling them the hardware. And that someone has conditions. Bloomberg asked Huang whether Nvidia would stop selling to a lab building AI he considered too dangerous. “It’s a hypothetical, but of course.” He says a conversation would come first. He also acknowledges limits to Nvidia’s judgment over other companies. No cutoff announced. But he’s willing to make that call. Altman said more AI incident disclosures were coming. Now Huang says dangerous development could cost a lab its chip supply. Who decides when AI crosses the line: its creators or the guy selling them the f#cking chips?
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Bimba retweeted
XAI JUST EXPOSED THE DEFINITIVE COMPREHENSIVE ROADMAP TO RUNNING AN UNBEATEN TEAM OF DECENTRALIZED GROK BOTS Most consumers completely miss the tactical reality of digital commerce. they do not understand how automated agent teams actually operate in the machine age this massive comprehensive release officially exposes the exact structural configurations. it details the pricing loops and workspace setup guides these steps separate high-earning tech developers from casual prompters who constantly hit resource ceilings the definitive architecture behind this multi-agent matrix completely rewrites personal productivity conventions Team Architecture: the entire framework runs on a maximum cap of six distinct automated bots. they are split by surface and overseen by a centralized chief of staff agent at the front door this specific topology forces the specialist entities to autonomously fan out tasks. it lets them manage document directories and execute background operations without turning the human operator into a manual message bus the Job Charter Parameters: successful integration requires abandoning short descriptions for full operational charters. you must implement hard constraints and blocked verbs. by blacklisting critical irreversible actions, the network runs continuous code routines safely it forces the agents to silently escalate decision gates back to the human button when background approvals expire. the Cost Expansion Loop: running recursive schedules every fifteen minutes creates massive gradient interference. this drains your weekly resource pools for absolute zero result. shifting your system setup to a single-bot layout that scales according to specific data goals is key. it drops your software overhead to a fraction of standard cursor billing matrixes the era of using artificial intelligence like a temporary digital vending machine is officially dead this structural playbook shifts the presentation into a permanent cloud ecosystem. the system gets sharper every time you drop an idea into the terminal loop stop treating autonomous software like an expensive toy read the definitive, step-by-step masterclass below to lock down your first self-serving team configuration👇
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A 25-DAY-OLD WALLET HAS ALREADY MOVED $116,000,000 ON POLYMARKET, AND TONIGHT IT'S BETTING $64,000 ON UFC 333 Profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x1f3… He created his account on September 29th. Less than a month later he's up $1.45M, and his swings are measured in millions His biggest hits so far: -> $500K on the Ravens at 30¢: +$1.15M -> $1M on the Panthers: +$1.08M -> $969K on the 76ers: +$760K -> $345K on Como to win: +$454K His PnL in 25 days: -$261K → +$2,000,000 → +$193K → +$1,700,000. This guy doesn't take small risks Tonight at UFC 333: -> $64,094 on Rizvan Kuniev to beat Alexander Volkov at 44.4¢, the biggest bet from any new wallet on the entire card He's also sitting on $284K on Indiana vs Michigan right now A month-old wallet throwing six figures around like it's nothing. Either he's the sharpest new money on Polymarket or the most reckless I'll be watching the Kuniev fight live to see which one
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It is becoming f*cking independent Andrej Karpathy’s Claude Code setup just showed Duet running a full field with the laptop shut. Operator asleep. Claude keeps working. Nothing gets sent. The field in the video: - Market field live across crypto and weather books (sol perp, eth perp, doge spot, rain london, heat phoenix, wind north sea, frost calgary) - Equity from seed $50 to held $5,273 - Laptop shut · Claude keeps working - allow: read · sort · own notes - ask: send · invite · move - deny: pay · delete · secrets - “nothing sent without your yes” - Field live · asks before it acts - Positions open, floors watched, kill switch ready, human approvals at zero Most agents either stop when you close the lid or keep trading until something breaks. This one runs the book and waits for yes. Anthropic’s version is still a research preview. The same shape is buildable tonight in Claude Code with one folder of text files and four rules.
Claude Code + Opus 5.5 is godmode for building your own Claude Duet it reads your inbox and calendar before you wake up. drafts every reply. sends nothing without your yes it keeps working while you sleep full course, step by step:
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Bimba retweeted
THIS IS F*CKING INSANE Claude Duet does the job of an $8,000/month chief of staff. Anthropic put it behind a waitlist of 300,000+ people GitHub didn't wait. 140+ open versions dropped in 72 hours. the code is FREE and they run on a $20 Claude plan. 400x cheaper every night these agents read 200 emails, draft every reply in your voice and prep tomorrow's meetings. you wake up and press yes 20 GitHub projects to open first: 01 Open Duet → the biggest one, 6,000+ stars. build a roster of named AI coworkers with their own memory and approvals. a lead agent hands work to specialists github.com/Anil-matcha/open-… 02 OpenDuet → bots brief you every morning, watch your apps and wait for your OK before they send, post or pay. try the whole thing with zero keys github.com/Studio1-OSS/OpenD… 03 Tandem → the Duet experience on a $5 server. morning brief, check-ins that stay silent unless something matters, and every byte of your data in one file github.com/arjunkshah12345-h… 04 Covo → runs jobs end to end on your server, your PC or your phone. plug in your own Claude key or a local model and it does the rest github.com/hmody1m/covo 05 openduet → an always-on work partner that learns the routines you teach it once and keeps running them long after you close the browser github.com/ychampion/opendue… 06 hermes-duet → the same idea on the Hermes agent: one thread, a morning brief at the hour you pick and check-ins 3 times a day github.com/DevvGwardo/hermes… 07 claude-chief-of-staff → the exact setup the CEO of Ada runs on Claude Code. it took his morning inbox from 90 minutes to about 5 github.com/mimurchison/claud… 08 Claudia → remembers people, not just tasks. say "I'll send that by Friday" once and on Friday morning she's already reminding you github.com/kbanc85/claudia 09 Chief of Staff plugin → one install, one /chief-of-staff:setup, and Claude Code interviews you and builds your memory and daily brief by itself github.com/loganhc-09/claude… 10 claude-code-cos → the blueprint for people who never wrote code: what connects to what, what each agent owns and where you keep the final word github.com/jimprosser/claude… 11 chief-of-staff-2 → a full chief of staff living in plain markdown inside Obsidian. paste one file into your AI and it walks you through everything github.com/jdpolasky/chief-o… 12 Morning Brief Kit → wake up to the 3 things that need you, the next step already prepared and what can wait. it never sends a thing on its own github.com/onittindwani-ai/c… 13 Tacitus → reads your mail at 4 AM while you sleep. by breakfast every routine reply is written and waiting on a card with Send, Edit and Cancel github.com/arpg/tacitus 14 Zyggy → lives on a tiny Linux server around the clock. every night it "dreams", cleaning and merging its memory so tomorrow it knows you better github.com/zyggy-org/zyggy 15 Scout → cross-checks Slack, Gmail, Calendar, Linear and GitHub on a schedule, so nothing slips between your tools before your morning brief github.com/Raven-Scout/Scout 16 NachtSchicht → queue tasks in the day, agents work them all night in isolated worktrees, and you merge what's ready over coffee github.com/FlorianRiquelme/n… 17 agent-brief-me → your agents drop every question into one inbox instead of stopping. you answer them all in one sitting and they finish the job github.com/RyanLeeYi/agent-b… 18 owl → approve or block Claude Code actions straight from Telegram while you're away, and let safe commands pass on their own github.com/pkronstrom/owl-af… 19 claude-interact → lets Claude Duet itself start and steer Claude Code sessions on your own machines. no open ports, nothing exposed github.com/ebarr24/claude-in… 20 Inbox → pulls only the invoices, letters and confirmations you care about, files them and asks before anything goes on your calendar github.com/googlarz/personal… start with one. give it a job with an obvious finish line: tomorrow's brief, 10 drafted replies or one prepped meeting then check what you actually accepted. 3 agents you trust beat 20 you have to babysit 300,000 people will spend the next month on a waitlist for something GitHub already built for free the full build, every file explained ↓
Claude Code + Opus 5.5 is godmode for building your own Claude Duet it reads your inbox and calendar before you wake up. drafts every reply. sends nothing without your yes it keeps working while you sleep full course, step by step:
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Bimba retweeted
making a prediction on today's UFC 333 card with zero commission and better odds @MagicMarkets and @tebrabbit built a chrome extension called thumper that helps you find better odds across prediction markets it's simple: 1. install the extension 2. open any event on polymarket 3. click the thumper icon to instantly compare odds and see where you can get a better price for example, i checked today's main event: Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev the odds on magic markets are slightly better because polymarket also charges a small fee on trades, which cuts into your potential profit 1.97 vs 1.91 even a small difference like this can matter over time
1/ i built a chrome extension for @magicmarkets that shows you when polymarket isn't the cheapest place to take a sports position it's called thumper. Free to use, no account required 🧵
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CHINESE TRADER STARTED WITH $2.65 BETS AND TURNED THEM INTO $433,000 BY BUYING "SURE THINGS" AT 99¢ Meet 0xB595…5922 In February he was placing $3-5 bets on Bitcoin 15 minute markets, and eight months later he's up $433K without a single big losing streak Profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb59… His edge is simple and brutal: he waits until a match is basically over, then buys the winner at 88-99¢ seconds before it settles His biggest wins: -> ITF Wuning (China): Charlton at 47.4¢, $5.6K turned into $11.9K -> Targu Mures: Ristic at 79.3¢, $23K turned into $29K -> ITF Maanshan (China): Jiayu Xu at 88.4¢, $25.6K turned into $29K -> ITF Porto: Rocha at 88.9¢, $25.8K turned into $29K Right now he's sniping Korean baseball (KBO), Japan's J-League and Korea's K-League, all bought at 98-99¢ 77,400+ markets, $39M in volume, and a profit curve that only goes one way Tiny edges, thousands of times a day, and it adds up to almost half a million I'll be tracking his next moves to see if he keeps compounding
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