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ALPHA
Joined September 2018
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BLADE retweeted
🚨JUST IN:
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The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market.
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Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts.
Think about what that opens up.
An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues.
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The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
Good things come to those who held through two 6M red candles... $BTC
Looking at the range objectively... $BTC
Still no bullish MSB, so one more sweep of the 77K lows would not surprise me
Lose the range clean and the draw opens even lower, but we’re more likely sweep that level with a structure shift and it’s up only
Be careful chasing next move
Looking at the range objectively... $BTC
Still no bullish MSB, so one more sweep of the 77K lows would not surprise me
Lose the range clean and the draw opens even lower, but we’re more likely sweep that level with a structure shift and it’s up only
Be careful chasing next move
Classic Livermore speculative cycle on $ETH
We’ve closed out the first 7 phases, swept each low, which means the aggressive markup is what comes next
Just remember who told you first
BLADE retweeted
🚨WARNING: GREAT 2008 & 2020 RECESSION MIGHT COMING AGAIN!
Pending home sales just hit all time lows, lower even than 2008 crush and 2020 COVID times
That will result in huge sell pressure for crypto
Let me explain why and what awaits us
The latest US Pending Home Sales Index collapsed 7.3% to 66.0, the lowest reading since records began in 2001
That's a serious warning for the US economy
A recession happens when economic activity contracts broadly, businesses cut spending and unemployment starts rising
And when investors panic, they usually dump risk assets first
Remember March 2020?
Bitcoin crashed almost 60% in just days as stocks collapsed and investors rushed for liquidity
Now we have record-low housing demand, mortgage rates around 7.4% and more uncertainty ahead of the US midterms
Kalshi is pricing roughly 22% odds of a US recession in 2027, but I think the risks could be higher
That doesn't mean another 2020 crash is guaranteed
But it makes another major correction in $BTC very realistic
I still expect the $70K area to get tested, even if the macro bottom is already in
And if the economy weakens further, the sell-off could become much more aggressive
Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
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Clean setup on $ETH
Sitting mid-range, so I'd expect one more flush into the 2,2K lows before the break
Reclaim the range high after that and the green zone opens toward 3K
Keep it simple
Same base as the 2025 bottom, and that one swept the low before running straight up
So naturally I'd expect the same run over the months ahead once 2,510 is back
My target sits well above here... $ETH
BLADE retweeted
WARNING: WE ARE APROACHING US MIDTERMS ELECTIONS IN 9 DAYS!
Historical each time after midterms $BTC is dumping ~50%
This would mean a huge correction soon, and even that I don't think it would be to the new cycle lows but definitely to 60K range lows
Which would be the ideal setup before going to 90K highs
Recently we already got a small correction and now everyone either waits for small correction to 74K or straight to 87K highs
But what majority waits usually can't happen
Midterms are only 9 days away and in my view the maximum pain scenario would be moving to 60K range lows and that's exactly why it must happen
3/4 midterms were followed by huge bearish price corrections
So I am nearly sure that we will get bigger correction then just dropping to 80K right now and even not only to 75K
This would liquidate later longs, keep more sideliners, creating more FOMO and perfect moment for a huge move to 90K
Then I'd say we will not return to 60K anytime soon
Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
🤝 Paid partnership
Keep an eye on the $ETH 4H here
I'm not shorting these sweeps, I'd rather build my swing long into the re-accumulation range
Entry's around 2,3-2,4K, right where the SSL got taken three times
No point waiting for the perfect bottom
We've got a huge liquidity cluster sitting right above at ~2.6K
And price won't leave a magnet like that untouched... $ETH
Here is how $ETH plays out:
2,8K -> 2,4K -> 3,4K distribution
Simple as that
This is the pivot... $BTC
Price made the bullish MSB at 82K but hasn't followed through yet
Now it's all about this pivot, lose 80K and the draw opens down to value, hold and we push toward 90K
Working from the reaction here
BLADE retweeted
🚨NOBODY IS TALKING THAT WE ACCEPTED BACK IN THE RANGE HERE!
That means this pump was just a simple BULL TRAP
Now we have a great chance dump to retest lows of the range, maybe we won't sweep new lows but 100% retest 70K
Breakout above $82K trapped late buyers who thought $BTC was ready for another massive expansion
Now price is back inside the range with huge liquidity still sitting around $70K-$66K
And that's exactly where I expect the next major reaction
Such a correction would flush overleveraged longs and turn sentiment bearish again
Most traders will start waiting for $50K while the market prepares for its next move higher
That's the perfect setup to leave everyone sidelined before the real breakout
I still think the macro bottom could already be in
We just need one final shakeout before BTC starts its next major expansion
And once we reclaim $82K, I expect the bullish momentum to return aggressively
Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
🤝 Paid partnership
