I bet on Prediction Markets. Professional Luckmaxxer since 09'
Joined December 2024
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I FIGURED OUT THE LATEST DEMOCRAT SCAM: Are Polymarket, Kalshi and other prediction markets now as fake as polls? Dems have figured out how important and powerful these prediction markets are for convincing public of election outcomes- and therefore demoralizing GOP voters. So the Democrat (ie communist) billionaires have put up millions of dollars in bets to DISTORT the odds and make it look like Democrats winning easily- to match fake polls. Or do you really believe Talifreako is huge fav to win Texas? Or Dems are huge fav to win US Senate? Really? Prediction market odds now as fake as polls. Easily manipulated by $10,000 bets here and $10,000 bets there. Spread even $1 million around and all the odds explode in favor of Democrats- creating false impression GOP is going to lose in a blue wave landslide. Boy are Democrat voters going to be surprised on Election Day!
Breaking news for the unexpired. If you are a young sharp with motion, deposit all you'll need while you still can!
Prediction Market News
@Kalshi limits monthly deposits to $2500 for all traders under 21.
News comes one day after Kalshi and Polymarket land "preferred" PM status with the NBA.
The NBA has long lobbied for PMs to not allow those under 21 to trade.
Under federal law, those 18+ can trade on prediction platforms
Bonnet retweeted
Leftists be like: “They're using the guy beheading your brother in the street to distract you from your real enemy: Jeff Bezos delivering medicine to your front door overnight.”
After reviewing the Cenk Harem Expose I'm realizing I was bailed out bigtime on this bet. The closet was far larger than anticipated.
Kalshi app says they are paying 7% APY for cash held in your perpetual account while their website says you will only get 3.5%. Which is it?
I had the right scent
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent named Judy Shelton, a former nominee to the Federal Reserve board and a one-time gold-standard enthusiast, as an adviser to counsel him on issues including China’s financial system bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Update: Polymarket has resolved this to yes in accordance with what we thought was the truth. W Polymarket. I will be treating my family to a nice dinner!
Big argument going down on Polymarket about if Ronaldo cried. I think he did. People arguing for no claim this is likely just sweat and so it shouldnt resolve yes for crying. I stand to make over $5,000 if this resolves yes. polymarket.com/event/will-ro…
Bonnet retweeted
Did Ronaldo cry at the World Cup?
According to Polymarket traders, he didn't cry and the current odds are at 15% that he did.
The argument comes down to this rule: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Cristiano Ronaldo visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed."
But the photos below, and many others from Getty taken by professional photographers, appear to show tears. His eyes are clearly red from tearing up, and in Fox footage you can even see him moments later wiping his eyes.
Based on the spirit of a market, which is titled as "Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?", this looks like a clear YES.
All the arguments about this is being sweat and not tears, they feel really scammy because no matter how he cried, you could have this argument, which makes the market pointless.
If Polymarket clarifies this one, I think it can easily go to YES.
If it goes to UMA voting, it will probably go to NO since a few big traders with influence in UMA are on the NO side.
Personally, I have $1,500 on YES to win $11,000, because I think those pictures should be enough for the market to resolve.
Big argument going down on Polymarket about if Ronaldo cried. I think he did. People arguing for no claim this is likely just sweat and so it shouldnt resolve yes for crying. I stand to make over $5,000 if this resolves yes. polymarket.com/event/will-ro…
