BuddyTheProto retweeted
what about red?? ✨
opening some new slots for this ych over at FurAffinity! more info here:
furaffinity.net/view/6676394…
#paws #furry #furryart
fortnite players when Probability:
Fortnite finally posted the odds, so I did the math. Now I get to ruin everyone’s fun with numbers.
Pirate Shop Access: 1 in 137,500 per chest
Weekly Gold Outfit: 1 in 1,562,500 per chest
The following are more likely than you getting the Pirate Shop in one chest:
• Dying in a car crash in your lifetime (1 in 101)
• Getting robbed in a given year, 2024 US rate (~1 in 455)
• A randomly selected Chicago citizen having been shot in 2025 (~1 in 1,500)
• A full-odds shiny Pokémon (1 in 4,096)
• Winning $50K on a $1 Maryland Pick 5 ticket (1 in 100,000)
• Flipping 17 heads in a row (1 in 131,072)
More likely than the gold skin in one chest:
• Being dealt a royal flush (1 in 649,740)
• Naturally conceiving quadruplets (~1 in 700,000)
• Winning $50K on one Powerball ticket (1 in 913,129)
• Flipping 20 heads in a row (1 in 1,048,576)
• Getting struck by lightning THIS YEAR (~1 in 1,222,000)
The gold skin barely beats:
• Catching a blue lobster (~1 in 2 million)
• Flipping 21 heads in a row (1 in 2,097,152)
"Just play squads during Treasure Hours." Okay. Treasure rewards are shared with your whole squad. With Nov 7's 2x boost, every time all 4 of you open a chest, that's about a 1 in 17,188 shot at the Pirate Shop.
Still more likely:
• Finding a pearl in your restaurant oyster (~1 in 10,000)
• A hole-in-one on a par 3 (1 in 12,500)
• Dying in a cataclysmic storm (hurricane, tornado, blizzard, etc.) in your lifetime (1 in 14,115)
• Getting struck by lightning in your lifetime (1 in 15,300)
• Flipping 14 heads in a row (1 in 16,384)
FINALLY less likely (was more likely than base odds):
• Finding a five-leaf clover (1 in 24,400)
• Being killed by a dog in your lifetime (1 in 33,899)
• Matching 4 Powerball numbers for $100 (1 in 36,525)
Same squad odd for the gold skin: with the 7.5x Treasure Hours boost, every time all 4 of you open a chest, that's about a 1 in 52,084 shot.
Still more likely:
• Flipping 15 heads in a row (1 in 32,768)
• Dying from a bee, wasp or hornet sting in your lifetime (1 in 42,626)
FINALLY less likely:
• Flipping 16 heads in a row (1 in 65,536)
• Being dealt a straight flush (1 in 72,193)
And the gold skin changes every week. A coin-flip chance at one takes ~1.08 million chests, which is nearly 2 chests every second for 7 days straight.
Want EVERY gold skin? Getting all 5 weekly ones from one chest each is 1 in 9.3 nonillion (9.3 × 10^30). That's ~373,000x rarer than winning the Powerball jackpot 3 times in a row.
For a 50/50 shot at all 5, you'd need ~3.2 million chests every week. Even with a full squad splitting it, that's 800,000 chests a week, about 1.3 every second, nonstop, for 5 weeks.
(Different events, same math. Death odds are US lifetime odds; crime odds are per year; Fortnite odds are per chest at normal rates unless noted. Sources below.)
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BuddyTheProto retweeted
how it feels to be overstimulated and u start being cruel to people for no reason
BuddyTheProto retweeted
Some nice beautiful paws for: @Javithegat































