Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap) header
Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap) profile picture

Investing and markets. Gambling is illegal and I never slice!

Joined February 2017
Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)Photo by Carl Spackler (@BushwoodCap)
Data center commentary from Constellation CEO: "Bit of an overreaction in the market to the election results" "With labor such a key constituent for Democrats, it's hard to imagine that we are going to halt work." $CEG +10% today
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I'm not an expert because I read one Twitter thread. But it seems very obvious $NVDA was aware of everything happening related to China buying chips via Singapore. And this "affair" was in the wide open.
Replying to @CulperResearch
9) $NVDA CEO Huang has walked alongside Megaspeed at every step, and seems to have a close relationship with Megaspeed's Alice Huang. They partied together in June 2024 - same month as the Apex/Alibaba pledge, then dined together in May 2025 - just after U.S. trade restrictions.
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NVIDIA was trading at its lowest multiple in a decade before this news. Markets are smart. Market likely sniffed out a meaningful % of revenue was coming from China. $NVDA
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Key risk for NVIDIA = Jensen leaves the company “Jensen is not replaceable” Via @DivesTech
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Caleb Williams was ready to put together a masterpiece in 1Q then decided to throw three (3!) “fuck it let’s see what happens” interceptions in 2Q.
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Officiating in Mizzou/Texas game will be studied by scholars 100s of years from now. Mickey Mouse wants Texas in the playoffs. Unfair and I hate it! #mad
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DraftKings stock down 30% today... Business was inflecting to profitability few years ago. Today? Biggest net loss in at least 3 years. Kalshi/Polymarket have their feet to fire investing into predictions business. $DKNG
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“We got regime change in Texas before we got regime change in Tehran.” What a quote
You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet 🚨 On episode 267 of The Compound and Friends, @Downtown and @michaelbatnick are joined by Dan Clifton of @BairdStrategas to break down the post-midterm market chaos, the AI stock selloff, growing backlash against data centers, and why stocks could be setting up for a rally. Plus, the future of the Fed, oil prices, healthcare stocks, and what Washington's political shakeup means for investors.🎙️
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VIX +65% Free financial advice: buy something.
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S&P down 3% ... would be worst single trading day of 2026.
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Mercadolibre: we’re growing really fast. we’re going to invest in our business to continue growing. Stock market: WRONG ANSWER! $MELI
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Power and chips the most attractive AI investment opportunities because of capital imbalances. Power = underinvested in energy for decades in the US. Chips = GPUs + TPUs will be in short supply w/ visibility several years out. Via Apollo $APO:
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Gas turbines sold out through 2031. And 2032 will likely be sold out in next few quarters. Via Howmet Aerospace $HWM:
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Dan Ives (@DivesTech) on where we are in the AI buildout: Think we’re in year 3 of a 10-12 year buildout.
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On ServiceNow: Has phenomenal customer base. Sales people believe in strategy they’re selling. When stock sells off way it does, you own it. $NOW
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On Cybersecurity: Budgets are going to double (at least) in the next few years. Every big hack creates more awareness on the need to spend. Big tailwind for CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. $CRWD $PANW
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Amazon: more conviction than ever on the future return of their AI spending. $AMZN CEO:
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