Bill Radjewski (aka BlueSCar) | Software guy who dabbles in analytics | https://xitter.cf/t.co/O5HOuJVFO6
Cincinnati, OH
Joined August 2019
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The 2026 Preseason Edition: all the data, all 14 notebooks, both PDF guides.
$49 → buff.ly/mzK6vQW
Already own the 2025 pack? Check your email for a $25 returning-buyer upgrade.
Special teams don't always get the spotlight, but these kickers are making a difference. 🦵🏈
Clemson's Nolan Hauser leads the nation with 15.00 Points Added Above Replacement (PAAR). UAB's Jonah Delange (11.87) and Texas A&M's David Olano (10.37) round out the top 3.
📊 Top 15
Who’s making the most of their carries? 🏈
Cincinnati’s Cole Tabb leads all RBs in weighted EPA/rush (0.49) through Week 8.
UCLA’s Wayne Knight (0.42) and North Texas’ Jahiem White (0.38) stand out for combining efficiency with 100+ carries.
📊 Top 15:
Seven games of Beck's offense, one chart each.
The defense held all 7 opponents to 20 points or fewer. Michigan was favored in the second half of all three losses.
Iowa was bad luck. Minnesota and Indiana were on the offense: 7 and 6 points. Game by game 🧵
ALT Seven small line charts of Michigan's win probability in each 2026 game, regulation only. W 13-12 vs. WMU; W 17-10 vs. Oklahoma; W 52-17 vs. UTEP; L 19-20 vs. Iowa; L 14-20 @ Minnesota; W 21-18 vs. Penn State; L 6-13 vs. Indiana. In the three losses Michigan's second-half peak was 90% vs. Iowa, 75% vs. Minnesota, 62% vs. Indiana.
How to read it:
🚩 = bottom quarter of FBS (#104 or worse)
The top section is opponent-adjusted, so the schedule can't explain it. 3 of the red flags are up there.
P4 column = rank among 68 Power 4 teams.
Which red flag bugs you most? 👇
Mine: points per trip inside the 40. #125 in FBS. Michigan gets close and doesn't finish.