Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua) header
Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua) profile picture

Follow me if you want to be a better investor! ๐Ÿง ASX & US Stocks | ๐ŸŒŽ Macro | Commodities: Silver, Lithium & Uranium | Learn to Trade | Charts ๐Ÿ“ˆ & Analysis ๐Ÿ”ฌ

Perth, Western Australia
Joined July 2011
Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)Photo by Carl Capolingua (@CarlCapolingua)
Why do I cover #LITHIUM so closely? ๐Ÿค” Because back in 2022, I saw an opportunity for an important teaching moment. Here, and across numerous Australian media outlets, I flagged the end of bull market, and then the beginning of the bear market. Lithium had one of the most compelling investment narratives imaginable โ€“ the global energy transition, booming EV adoption, and seemingly insatiable demand for batteries. ๐Ÿ”‹ And that was precisely the problem! โš ๏ธ I knew many investors would become so attached to that narrative that they would ignore what price was telling them. ๐Ÿ™‰ They would hold. And hold. And hold some more. ๐Ÿ™ˆ All the way down. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ’ฅ For me, lithium became the perfect real-world case study in why price action must take precedence over narratives. ๐Ÿ”ฆ My method is 100% technical, 100% trend following, 100% probabilities based, and 100% risk focussed. There is a better way to invest. ๐Ÿ’ฏ And I'm on a mission to show as many people as I can. ๐Ÿง I have nothing to sell. No courses. No books. No long/short positions to ramp. Just a desire to prevent others from making the same dumb mistakes I've made over the years. ๐Ÿคฆ Narratives imprison you. Price sets you free. ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ
Replying to @CarlCapolingua
Carl, I only see analysis from you on the lithium market. Intrigued as to why that is. Why no other commodities? A genuine question. No malice intended.
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Today's ChartWatch Short: Only 2 Japanese Candlestick Patterns Matter! โœŒ๏ธ ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ Don't waste $$$ on textbooks! ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ All patterns "blend" to just 2 patterns ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ Shadows + Body + SIZE MATTERS! #asx #trading #Investing #technicalanalysis youtube.com/shorts/33aYIk9ksโ€ฆ
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#Lithium Minerals Update 30-Oct ๐Ÿ”‹ >Carbonate 99.5% RMB/t GFEX Futures 88.5k +0.2% ๐Ÿ‘Ž SMM Spot 93.6k -2.6% ๐Ÿ‘Ž >Spodumene US$/t SMM Conc. Index 1290 0% SMM Aus Spot Conc. 1320 0% >Hydroxide 56.5% RMB/t SMM Spot 83.75k -2.9% ๐Ÿ‘Ž $MIN $PLS $LTR $ELV $ALB $LAC $LIT $SQM
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Technical Analysis 101 ๐Ÿ“ˆ D > S = Pโฌ†๏ธ manifests as: โœ… BTD = buy the dip โœ… FOMO = fear of missing out (=new hi's) โœ… HOFU = holding on for upside (=new hi's) โŒ STR = sell the rally โŒ NUTE = no urgency to enter (=new lows) โŒ FOHO = fear of holding on (=new lows) #LITHIUM? ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿค”
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#ASX200 surrenders early gains as gold, rare earths, copper & lithium stocks slump on AI trade woes โœ… Broker Moves, Biggest #ASX Movers, Data & More ๐Ÿš€ โœ… PLUS: My latest #NASDAQ & $XJO analysis ๐Ÿง Click to read ๐Ÿ‘‡ marketindex.com.au/news/evenโ€ฆ
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Barrenjoey on #LITHIUM ๐Ÿง: "China's carbonate market has come under renewed pressure [on] slower BESS demand growth & rising raw material supply in 2027, with many expecting expecting fundamentals to shift from a tight balance / deficit in 2026 toward a surplus next year."๐Ÿคž #asx
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#Lithium Minerals Update 29-Oct ๐Ÿ”‹ >Carbonate 99.5% RMB/t GFEX Futures 88.36k -5.3% ๐Ÿคฎ SMM Spot 96.1k -3.9% ๐Ÿคฎ >Spodumene US$/t SMM Conc. Index 1290 -4.4% ๐Ÿคฎ SMM Aus Spot Conc. 1320 -5.7% ๐Ÿคฎ >Hydroxide 56.5% RMB/t SMM Spot 86.25k -3.6% ๐Ÿคฎ $MIN $PLS $LTR $ELV $ALB $LAC $LIT $SQM
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#ASX200 rises as flight to safety lifts banks & telcos โ€“ miners fall, retail slumps on rate hike fears ๐Ÿซฃ โœ… Broker Moves, Biggest #ASX Movers, Data & More ๐Ÿš€ โœ… PLUS: My latest #NASDAQ & $XJO analysis ๐Ÿง Click to read ๐Ÿ‘‡ marketindex.com.au/news/evenโ€ฆ
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#RBA set to inflict fifth interest rate hike on Cup Day, number six is now a 50-50 bet โš–๏ธ ๐Ÿ” Latest market rate path expectations ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ” UBS & Morgan stanley views ๐Ÿ”ญ ๐Ÿ” Pressure points to watch ๐Ÿง Click to read ๐Ÿ‘‡ #asx #housing #property #economy marketindex.com.au/news/rba-โ€ฆ
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investment banks: #LITHIUM carbonate 80k CNY is "THE FLOOR" ๐Ÿง market: 80k CNY here we come!!! ๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿ’ฅ $MIN $PLS $LTR $ELV $ALB $LAC $LIT $SQM
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UBS contemplates lower #LITHIUM prices for longer vs #ASX producers ๐Ÿง: ๐Ÿ‘ $IGO benefits from sector leading resilient cash ๐Ÿ‘ $MIN less exposed due to iron ore / other business ๐Ÿ‘Ž $PLS faces >$4bn of capex over next 3yrs ๐Ÿ‘Ž $LTR & $ELV also entering heavier investment phases
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Today's ChartWatch Short: Break Even is KILLING your investing! โšฐ๏ธโ˜ ๏ธ ๐Ÿชฆ Hate losing money? It's holding you back! ๐Ÿชฆ Break even = Max risk vs zero reward! ๐Ÿชฆ BUT!!! Break even zones = reliable trading points #asx #trading #Investing youtube.com/shorts/g-H-XcIcdโ€ฆ
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#Lithium Minerals Update 28-Oct ๐Ÿ”‹ >Carbonate 99.5% RMB/t GFEX Futures 93.3k -5.3% ๐Ÿ’ฅโš ๏ธ SMM Spot 100.05k +0.7% >Spodumene US$/t SMM Conc. Index 1350 +0.7% SMM Aus Spot Conc. 1400 +0.4% >Hydroxide 56.5% RMB/t SMM Spot 89.5k -1.1% $MIN $PLS $LTR $ELV $ALB $LAC $LIT $SQM
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AI-trade kicking off again beat commodity prices flat/down (pretty much) across board today...๐Ÿค– #ASX #LITHIUM stocks =โฌ†๏ธ despite GFEX =๐Ÿ’ฅ $MIN $PLS $LTR $ELV $ALB $LAC $LIT $SQM
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#ASX200 slides on inflation shocker as Cup Day RBA rate hike looms, AI trade ignites critical minerals rally ๐Ÿš€ โœ… Broker Moves, Biggest #ASX Movers, Data & More ๐Ÿš€ โœ… PLUS: My latest #NASDAQ & $XJO analysis ๐Ÿง Click to read ๐Ÿ‘‡ marketindex.com.au/news/evenโ€ฆ
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Larry says ๐Ÿ˜บ: "If you get the probability part of it right, the profitability will take care of itself. Follow the trend and manage your risk!" #asx #trading
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