
Financial Services Public Policy @RSI | Former Equity Analyst | Columnist @conservateurmag | Contributor @YoungVoicesOrg
West Palm Beach, FL
Joined August 2018
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Caroline Melear retweeted
The CCCA would take away millions of Americans’ well-earned credit card rewards. Let’s hope it goes away with its sponsors.
Caroline Melear retweeted
Now with a Chair Warren, expect investigations into sports betting companies, prediction markets, credit card fees, junk fees, election-related trading, and sports "gambling."
Caroline Melear retweeted
This is an excellent post from @CarolineMelear regarding prediction markets and their utility as data sources, especially important based on the election results.
Caroline Melear retweeted
House Financial Services Committee lost eight members in the election. Replacing them will be hard, given their experience and knowledge of the issues.
Caroline Melear retweeted
Choosing to believe the results of tonight were largely because of the recent clip circulating of Trump supporting price caps on card interchange/swipe fees.
Caroline Melear retweeted
AirBnB just started offering weather Prediction Markets to it's users.
Users can hedge bad weather at their destination by betting on rain levels.
this is a trillion dollar usecase.
here is how it works:
- users choose to pay a small "insurance fee" (stake) when booking
- payout is determined automatically based on the odds of rain
- If it rains, payout is automatically credited to their account
No claim, No verification, 100% automated.
Essentially, this is a prediction market bet disguised as insurance.
This is called a "Parametric insurance".
And it's what will take prediction markets from the $600B gambling industry to the $8T insurance industry.
Right now AirBnB is settling the bet through Chubb, a legacy insurance company, but they explicitly do NOT disclose their oracle anywhere.
I wouldn't be surprised if they were already using @Kalshi behind the scenes.
It would be incredibly easy for them to use Kalshi to :
- receive accurate weather odds
- handle market resolution
- even settle payouts
All the insurer would do is charge a premium over the odds and collect the difference.
If this usecase takes on, @Kalshi & @Polymarket could become the backbone of a trillion dollars industry.
Caroline Melear retweeted
The US version of health insurance isn’t “insurance.”
It’s a prepaid health payment plan. Which simply makes it so routine care is paid for by third parties.
Imagine if you ran all your routine home maintenance through your homeowners insurance.
That leaky faucet would be five times more expensive than if you just paid cash.
Why? The plumber wouldn’t just be able to charge you at the point of sale. He’d need to employ a whole billing department. Since someone else was paying, he wouldn’t even bother showing you the price. You’d shop purely on non-price factors, like show nice his website is and how shiny his truck is. So his prices would gradually creep up. Why not? Someone else is paying.
Which means now you’d need prior authorization to get the faucet fixed. The plumber might try to say you need a fancy new faucet with touchless controls and a built in purifier. Insurance says you can only have one of those old turn handle ones where hot and cold have separate nozzles. They only care about cost and not quality (except it being good enough to avoid an other leaky faucet soon). You care about quality but not cost.
Just getting a leaky faucet repaired has now become an expensive, bureaucratic nightmare.
Of course, if you suggest people pay cash for leaky faucets there will be wailing and gnashing of teeth. “Do you even know how much a plumber is these days? A leaky faucet costs $300,000!“
And, obviously, someone would bring up the fact that you can’t negotiate with a plumber if there is a burst pipe at 2am on christmas day and your house is being flooded. So how could you ever expect people to shop for plumbers. Thats just ridiculous.
Also, if you dont make someone else pay to have that leaky faucet fixed, there might be water damage in the future and it will cost MORE to fix.
So we should just fund all plumbers through the government. Running water is a right, after all. There certainly won’t be any difficulty getting a plumber once they all have to get government approval to do anything to fix your house, right? Anyone will be able to get a plumber at any time and they’ll do all the things necessary to keep your house working perfectly.
If it sounds stupid for plumbers it sounds stupid for doctors, too.
Not to sound rude, but I don’t think people understand what insurance is. Its core purpose is to protect against financial risk.
Using it as a third party payer for every routine expense adds administration, billing costs and overhead. We still pay for all of that.
Running a bill through an insurance company does not automatically make the care cheaper.
It’s why cash will always be cheaper.
Caroline Melear retweeted
Rent freeze, we have a problem: affordable housing can’t get financing. thecityreporter.nyc/2026/11/…
Caroline Melear retweeted
Weird that governments spend so much time mandating in-car automated speed limiters and breathalyzers to deal with unsafe drivers, while they simultaneously work to slow driverless car tech that could address those and other problems much better. 🤷
wsj.com/lifestyle/cars/to-ta…
Caroline Melear retweeted
📢 R STREET IS HIRING!
How can financial regulation protect consumers while encouraging competition and innovation?
@RSI is seeking a Senior Fellow to research today's financial policy challenges and develop market-oriented solutions.
Apply here: hubs.ly/Q04CNPcw0
Caroline Melear retweeted
Federal Reserve issues #FOMC statement: federalreserve.gov/newsevent…
Caroline Melear retweeted
Great news for USAA drivers! Commissioner Mike Yaworsky approved several USAA rate decreases, impacting over 498,000 policies.
Caroline Melear retweeted
Durbin Amendment price controls have harmed millions of consumers. Forcing the Fed to substantially reduce its current 21-cent base cap on debit card interchange fees will only exacerbate these harms.
Caroline Melear retweeted
Please stop posting this take. It’s a bad take!
Bankers should be concerned about cybersecurity and AI (and trust me, they are).
People should not panic about their bank accounts being hacked by AI and zeroed out. If your bank account is hacked, and the money is taken, that is an unauthorized transfer under the Electronic Funds Transfer Act. As long as you provide timely notice to your bank, you’re not liable for the loss.
People should be concerned about being tricked into authorizing fraudulent payments, because they often have liability in those cases. And the potential for AI to supercharge scams is definitely a concern.
But if you’re going to post about those concerns, be specific and practical, not vague and ominous. Panic about the safety and soundness of the financial system serves no one.
Caroline Melear retweeted
From Capitol Hill to state capitals, sound financial policy matters.
R Street is hiring a Senior Fellow to engage with policymakers, contribute to legislative debates, and develop practical policy solutions.
Interested? Learn more: bit.ly/4B7evaX
Caroline Melear retweeted
Trump Accounts may soon be expanded even more to anyone under 40yrs old. That would be another 100 million people, on top of the 70 million kids and 3.5mil babies born each year. This according to Brad Gerstner who is the main guy spearheading efforts on this. He also said Elon is 'tip of iceberg' Nice scoop and piece on it from @LydiaMoynihan @nypost





























