Long Term Bitcoin Technical Analyst || Creator of the Halving Cycles Theory Free Telegram alerts: https://xitter.cf/t.co/E1IfpIgDLT

Joined September 2018
CryptoCon retweeted
I'll throw my 2 cents in on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin sale... The amount sold compared to what Strategy holds is extremely small; most people know this. The more interesting implication is the psychological shift from "I will never sell" to "I will sell just a little bit." And why? To pay the bills (dividends), which Michael has a lot of. Religion has always been a big driver of crypto prices. The "Never sell your bitcoin, always buy, escape the financial system, supercycle, world adoption." And cracks are forming in it even from the most fervent believers. There have been quite a few prolific people announcing being "done" with Bitcoin recently as well. So then, reverse psychology, "This is a buy signal, right?" That's what most people are led to think. Instead, I think it shows true weakness. Investors are jumping ship. Other things have become much more attractive (AI-related stocks). Crypto has been the #1 money maker for a decade, and that's being challenged. There are cycles even in what makes the most money. What comes of this? Potentially a failed Bitcoin cycle (no new ATHs), or lower cycle bottom prices than most people expect. Some people project that a supercycle will end diminishing returns; I believe it will be a failed cycle instead. Not death... just a rebalancing. Crypto/Bitcoin influencers won't say these things because it hurts the business. You get attention by telling people that a supercycle is coming and that prices will go up. I'd prefer to share my honest thoughts. I'm an investor, and I want to put my money where it will work the best, wherever that is. Nothing's looking interesting at the moment.
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CryptoCon retweeted
Every Bitcoin bull market year begins with a rough start of some sort... For the past 2 cycles, there have been rises in the first week of the new year followed by downside. Seem familiar? It should! Our current cycle has done nearly the exact same thing. Other cycles also tell us that the corrections are typically short-lived and conclude within the month. We have seen strong rises into March after the fact and the same should be true this cycle.
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It's time to break this gem back out. What's next for #Bitcoin after new ATHs? $118,928 according to the Pi Cycle Top 350 DMA*2. This moving average is usually hit in December or January of Red Year which are just around the corner. The retest from the mid-top at the Gaussian support went perfectly. Don't feel guilty for these gains, we earned them after 7 months of sideways price action!
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CryptoCon retweeted
Phase 4 of the incredibly accurate RSI Bollinger Band % phases complete... the ATH Break. #Bitcoin has once more cross left to go, phase 5, the cycle top which this metric has been able to pick out better than almost any other. The bull market is peaking in, I hope you've prepared!
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People are in disbelief that a #Bitcoin bull market is possible after 7 months of sideways price action. The Halving Cycles Theory has had November 28th, 2024 written down as the start of the true bull market year since Janaury 2023, almost 2 years ago. Price now inching closer to ATHs, exactly one month to go.
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A Super Signal on the Monthly Volume Oscillator comes when #Bitcoin volume gets extremely low in a bull market. Here's the last times we've seen this: - December 2012 before the +10,610% rise - October 2016 before the 3,461% rise - September 2023 before the +200% rise The 2019 - 2022 cycle saw no super signal. This would be the first cycle to see two of them. We can weed out bearish low volume by checking if there was extremely high volume beforehand, which isn't the case here. Extremely low volume in a bull market is extremely bullish!
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CryptoCon retweeted
I think we'd all like to know... What is taking #Bitcoin so long to do something?! When you look at previous cycles, it all makes sense. 2012, 2016, and 2020 were all miles away from ATHs on October 8th, but 2024 is just an inch. We are ahead still of all other cycles. 2012 and 2016 wouldn't see new ATHs for another 5 - 6 months. Perspective is key; Bitcoin is doing great.
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CryptoCon retweeted
The real #Bitcoin bull market begins in 2 months. November 28th, 2024.
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Are new #Bitcoin ATHs coming in November? For the past two cycles, the 2-week Ichimoku Cloud has accurately called when we see new ATHs with a bullish cross after the mid-cycle red cloud. We don't have to wait for the moving averages to cross, the leading spans show us when it will happen. November 2024. Remember that our current cycle is still ahead of previous ones, no cycle had made new ATHs before November 28th in Blue Year until March 2024. All eyes on November!
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The bull market for #Bitcoin is next, plain and simple. Not a recession, not a bear market, or any other doom and gloom price action. The phases on Puell Multiple make it abundantly clear that we are in the midst of the mid-top correction which comes just before the true bull run. The same as we saw in September 2012, 2016, and 2020. Anything else is meant to distract you from being here during the best price action crypto has to offer, which is coming soon enough. The Halving Cycles Theory Red Year (Bull Market) begins after November 28th, 2024, and will last through November 28th, 2025.
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CryptoCon retweeted
We've been waiting almost 6 months for new #Bitcoin highs, but all we've seen is sideways and decline. There was a time when you would have had to wait even longer..... 3X longer. 2019. 2024 shares many similarities with that price structure, and it all leads to point 8 which was the bottom in December 2019. The more you look at it, the more commonalities you will find! Hopefully, this short-term mess will be over soon.
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The distractions are coming in one after the other to keep you from what happens next. The #Bitcoin price action we're seeing here comes at the end of every Blue Year. It's boring, but it's preparation for the year of ATHs, Red Year. It's August 2012, 2016, and 2020 all over again. My conservative range for the Bitcoin cycle top has increased from 90 - 130k to now 110k to 160k.
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It is no coincidence that this #Bitcoin correction reached the exact same Envelope Strength levels as the bottom from the same high in September 2016. The cycles are still undeniably linked when they alternate. Cycle 1 hit the same mid-cycle correction levels as Cycle 3, and now our current cycle is copying the second. What does this mean for you? Being here now is like being there in September 2016 right before the smooth crypto curve parabola. This cycle wants to trick us into thinking it's different, but the footprints it leaves behind are all the same.
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Soon, I believe that #Bitcoin cycle top callers will be left in the dust as business carries out as normal. This is the 3rd and final low volatility phase that comes mid-cycle, every cycle on Weekly Bollinger Band Width. 5 months of sideways price action is not new... Missing out on 2025 is missing out on 2021, 2017 and 2013.
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There are still 2 more phases left to go in the near-perfect #Bitcoin RSI Bollinger Band % Phases. All cycle tops have come on the 5th move over the .99% value line, and only 3 have been completed. This includes November 2021 which almost no indicator was able to call a cycle top. Next is phase 4 when the true break of ATHs comes. The cycle top is not here, and this long sideways period/correction we've seen is a product of the most powerful mid-cycle move ever.
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Leaving #Bitcoin now is leaving before everything gets exciting! The same resistance, and same support on the Puell Multiple cycle after cycle. You're in the last valley before the highest mountain. The calm before the storm, up that is!
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This one is simple #Bitcoin makes the mid-top at the Pi Cycle 350 DMA*2, and then finds support at the Weekly Gaussian Moving Average. Support made August 2024 ✅ The real bull parabola is loading...
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These #Bitcoin RSI Bollinger Band % phases are the most accurate I've seen for the true cycle top in price. It was able to weed out both first April double tops in 2013 and 2021 to only call each final top, something almost no indicator has been able to do. (purple phase 5) Where does it say we are now? After the 3rd cross of the red .99 value line in March 2024 we have completed phase 3 which is the second early top. (orange dots) These phases told us that this move wouldn't firmly move us above ATHs, which happens after phase 4. We've now reached the same critically low levels of RSI BB% that we've seen at each cycle bottom and even the 2020 black swan. (green arrows) 2 more phases and most of the best price action still left to go this cycle!
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CryptoCon retweeted
#Bitcoin created new ATHs much earlier than usual... but what if the cycle isn't as progressed as it looks?
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#Bitcoin has now closed inside the Weekly RSI Bull Market Support Zone for the first time in a year... a welcome visit! All of crypto is currently balancing on critical support, bounce back incoming?
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