CryptoHabibi retweeted
BREAKING: $3 BILLION STRIVE JUST ANNOUNCED THEY BOUGHT 1,223 #BITCOIN FOR $100,000,000
THEY HAVE NOW BOUGHT OVER 9,000 BTC THIS MONTH
THIS IS ABSOLUTELY INSANE 🚀
Strive is upsizing their SATS preferred offering to 7 million shares at $90.
I have updated my table to show the impact to the $ASST balance sheet.
Around 7,500 Bitcoin added.
Bitcoin held will cross 43,000.
Amplification goes up to around 59%.
The bears are screwed.
🚨 Strive is now at the number 4 spot!! 🚨
At this rate, by Q1 2027 or maybe as early as end of year they would be at the number 2 spot!! @ColeMacro you guyz are incredible... im speechless.. 🚀
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CryptoHabibi retweeted
Strive is offering $SATS through an IPO available to select investors.
- 15% fixed-rate perpetual preferred stock
- Cumulative dividends paid every business day
- Junior to SATA
INVESTOR PRESENTATION TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - Introducing SATS
01:46 - Executive Summary
18:50 - SATS Improves SATA
21:06 - Dividend and Balance Sheet Strength
27:33 - Performance and Liquidity
30:48 - Bitcoin Thesis
40:26 - Amplification and Risk
$SATS $ASST $SATA
CryptoHabibi retweeted
Let's talk about what a post warrant $ASST looks like.
WARNING: This is weapons grade bull fuel, hang on tight.
Historically accretive exercises and the aftermath:
July 2024 $MSTR Convertible Notes:
The notes were converted at ~$39.80 well above the Bitcoin per share value wiping out $650 million in debt and boosting $BTC per share.
$MSTR was pinned around $130-$148 right up to the conversion cutoff. The aftermath? Up 25% within 10 days and 3x over the next 4 months.
Fall 2024 Metaplanet 11th series warrants:
Holders exercised warrants at ¥555 per share while the underlying $BTC NAV was a fraction of that, injecting ~$66M (¥10B) directly into spot Bitcoin and spiking $BTC Yield.
2-6 weeks prior to the exercise being finished the stock was pinned to ¥900–¥1,100 (starting to sound familiar?). It doubled in 2 weeks to ¥2,000 and doubled again in another 2 months to ¥4,000.
Similar thing happened with DraftKings in 2020, up 110% in 10 weeks.
Same thing with MP Materials in 2021: Pinned to $25-$27 then up 45% over 8 weeks and doubled over 5 months.
There's a pin in the price because it's a FN hand grenade, buy accordingly. 4 more trading days left.
CryptoHabibi retweeted
Strive $ASST posted a 99% total return over nine months while Bitcoin fell about 5%.
@ColeMacro says the real objective is longer term: outperform $BTC over three years, the same horizon used in the team’s incentives.
“You kind of have to zoom out.”
🚀🚀🚀
IMPORTANT POST
Our industry became too focused on protecting downside risk and inadequately focused on maximizing Total Returns to the upside.
In my view, the entire purpose of our structured finance business model must be to maximize Total Returns for common equity shareholders. Our industry needs more amplification. Even at Strive, where we have the highest Amplification Ratio among Digital Credit issuers, when I look at the risk embedded in our capital structure relative to our amplification, I believe we have room to take it up another notch or two.
Building a rocket ship is extraordinarily difficult and requires underwriting and taking real risk. The mission requires not blowing up, but you need an engine powerful enough to reach the moon. Based on Amplification Ratio alone, I view the risk of true issuer failure from over-amplification as very low across our industry today. Amplification Ratio obviously cannot capture every risk, including debt terms, covenants, maturity walls, liquidity constraints, and other structural risks. But controlling for those risks should give issuers significant confidence to take amplification materially higher. That is exactly what we have done at Strive, and I hope others increasingly copy it.
I’ve written extensively about why Amplification Ratio will be the single most important driver of outright and relative Total Returns in a Bitcoin bull market. However, I believe incentives naturally push toward under-amplification, modest Bitcoin outperformance, and the safest possible path. My goal with this post is to light a fire and push our industry to think bigger, focus more aggressively on growth and Total Returns, and push the frontier of what our business models can achieve.
We have a shared mission across the industry to grow Digital Credit from a nascent asset class into a massive global capital market. That requires trusted issuers, deep liquidity, disciplined execution, and investor confidence. That is where we all should work together, but make no mistake about what will crown the fastest horse in a Bitcoin bull market: the engine.
Our mandate at Strive is to build the thing we actually want to own and recruit and retain exceptionally talented people who desire that risk and return opportunity and understand the business model that needs to be built. That mindset drove our execution in building a high Amplification Ratio, helped create strong liquidity, and is also why we are not satisfied with where we are. With Bitcoin under $100,000, our desire is to take Amplification Ratio higher from here.
If the Bitcoin bull thesis is right, amplification will be the most important thing. If the Bitcoin thesis is wrong, a few hundred basis points of cost of capital won’t be the difference between success and failure. The model itself will have failed.
I love capitalism. I love competition. I want more competition for the fastest horse. The next 10–15 years will be the Digital Gold Rush for Bitcoin.
Let’s act like it.
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Every once in a while, you get the opportunity to be an early investor in a special company.
$ASST is one of those for me.
This week they will grow their balance sheet by at least another 1,000 Bitcoin.
That's after growing their Bitcoin by 37% in 8 weeks with no debt.
It is one of the fastest growing companies in the world.
Incredible.
As a $MSTR shareholder, why do I also invest in $ASST?
It is estimated that $ASST acquired 1,522 Bitcoin this week via the SATA ATM.
This is a 5.77% increase to their balance sheet which currently sits at 26,355 BTC.
For $MSTR to achieve the same growth in the same week, they would need to buy 48,814 BTC to add to their 846,000 stack.
48,814 BTC = $4.1 billion.
This is one of the key reasons why I own $ASST. It is far easier for them to grow my Bitcoin per share.
Extremely important post.
The ability to maintain high amplification in a Bitcoin bull market is what will separate the good companies from the great ones.
As Bitcoin rises, amplification falls on its own. Companies have to keep issuing credit just to stand still.
The table explains it really well.
Cutting the cost of capital from 14% to 10% barely moves the result. Going from 50% to 70% amplification nearly triples it.
It matters far more than whether the credit product pays 11% or 13%.
Very exciting to see the $ASST team explicitly welcome this challenge.
70% amplification would be incredible.
This matrix explains one of the most important concepts in Bitcoin treasury strategy: amplification ratio is what drives total returns. Over 99% of the variation in modeled total returns shown here is driven by amplification ratio. Cost of capital matters far less than investors realize.
Strive’s objective is to outperform Bitcoin by maximizing total returns for common shareholders. Our base case is that Bitcoin compounds at roughly 50% annually through 2030, but the principle applies more broadly. If any Bitcoin bull thesis plays out, building and sustaining a high amplification ratio will be the most important determinant of success. That is why we spent the bear market intentionally building liquidity, earning investor trust in SATA and Strive, deepening our access to capital, and building the foundation required to support a high amplification ratio at scale.
Maintaining amplification as Bitcoin compounds will require increasingly large amounts of capital and sustained investor trust, and will be extraordinarily difficult to achieve. If possible, I would like to bring Strive’s amplification ratio above 60% later this year. If our warrants exercise over the next few weeks, getting there will require elite execution from our team. It becomes even more difficult if Bitcoin rallies further. I believe our team can achieve that goal, and that Strive is uniquely positioned to sustain a high amplification ratio at scale. The math tells you what matters, and our strategy follows the math.
If I were analyzing Strive as a Bitcoin bull seeking to amplify Bitcoin returns, these are the questions I would be asking: What is Strive’s current amplification ratio? What are our goals for amplification? And to achieve those goals, do we have the capital access, liquidity and investor trust required to maintain a high amplification ratio throughout a bull market? There is real alpha in understanding the answers to those questions. Study the matrix carefully.

























