Neo Tokyo Council
Neo Tokyo
Joined August 2021
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- Following2.8K
- Followers2.9K
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Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
The Fed has gone QUIET.
Kevin Warsh has dropped forward guidance and skipped his own dot twice, and the Fed held rates without committing to a December rate move.
How the Fed went from silence to signals, and back:
1. Before 1994: The Fed didn't routinely announce rate decisions, so markets guessed from its bond trades and read the minutes 6 to 8 WEEKS later.
2. Feb 4, 1994: The first post-meeting statement, just 99 words, which Greenspan privately argued shouldn't set a precedent.
3. Aug 2003: "Considerable period," the first explicit guidance on the future rate path.
4. Apr 2011: The first post-meeting press conference, which Powell made an every-meeting event from 2019.
5. Aug 2011: Low rates likely "at least through mid-2013," the first calendar-based rate guidance.
6. Jan 25, 2012: The first dot plot.
7. Jun 17, 2026: Warsh's first meeting, where he said "We've dropped forward guidance."
18 officials submitted rate forecasts in September, and the Chair submitted none.
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
The Macro Minute | Oct 28, 2026: SK Hynix’s Booming Profits Signal Medium-Term Strength & Long-Term Deflation Risk
For daily updates, follow The Macro Minute on your favorite podcast platform.
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
Just a simple chart... both for everyone to "settle down a bit," and also as a reminder of how bad it get still get.
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
Japanese doing impressions of Americans is just like us doing impressions of them. We just do ours as kids after we watch Seven Samurai and they broadcast theirs on public television in front of a crowd howling with laughter.
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
Millennials, it's time to choose your midife crisis
1. Date a 24 year old
2. Quit drinking and tell everyone you don’t drink anymore
3. Drink heavily 3-4 times a week
4. Train for a marathon and or Hyrox
5. Have a panic baby (with wife you hate)
6. "We're opening the relationship" (she bangs, guy tries too and fails?
7. Get divorced to feel something
8. Get diagnosed with adult ADHD/autism
9. Niche side quests like rock climbing, gardening, handstands
10. Get very into video games
Goooooooood. Regulatory marketing is proceeding as planned. xitter.gq/kalshi/status/21132771…
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
"Never hire an A student unless it is to take exams." - @nntaleb
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
I think about this sometimes, but the energy requirements are significant and whenever it is tried it's kind of an advertisement.
Nick D. Cryptoetheus retweeted
👀
Pou chèf gang yo ak manm gang yo k ap kenbe kat konpatriyòt nou yo an otaj ann Ayiti:
Mesye nou kidnape yo pa konbatan. Yo se teknisyen nan domèn avyasyon ki fè pati misyon nou ann Ayiti, nan kad yon misyon entènasyonal. Misyon nou an gen sèlman pilòt ak pèsonèl teknik, ki gen kòm travay prensipal fè evakyasyon medikal epi sove lavi moun, pa fè lagè.
Men, nou te kidnape yo yon fason lach pandan yo t ap retounen apre yo te fin achte manje nan yon makèt nan zòn nan.
Se poutèt sa, jodi a nou te lanse yon operasyon militè pou pote yo sekou. Nou gen yon sèl objektif: fè kat konpatriyòt nou yo retounen lakay yo vivan, san okenn mal.
Men, mwen vle pou nou menm, chèf gang yo, konprann yon bagay byen klè: atak jodi a pa anyen devan sa k ap vini si nou pa remèt toule kat otaj yo vivan.
Epi pa pran pawòl nou yo pou menas san fondman. Nou deja fini ak gang yo nan El Salvador, e nou kapab fini ak nou tou.
Nou toujou gen tan pou evite sa.
Remèt nou kat konpatriyòt nou yo vivan, san okenn mal, epi tout bagay ap retounen jan sa te ye anvan kidnaping lan.
Desizyon an nan men nou.