BIG POST I've gained a lot of new followers over the past couple weeks. I'm guessing you're here because I’m obsessed with and competitive within @Fantasy_top. I’ve written out a guide of sorts below, as a gift to anyone reading this and playing Fantasy Top. 🎁 Shares are appreciated, as I’d like this to get in front of every single Fantasy Top player. 📈 A rising tide raises all ships.🛳️ First, I’m a full-time founder and CEO, trying to do my part in making the world a better place through building a technology company that helps people eat better. 🥗 You can learn more about me at ClaytonMooney.com ---------- First, here are must-follows for the game of Fantasy Top 1. The absolute best data wrangler in the game is @0xthemolt. The work he puts in is probably 10x more than we’re all aware of. Check out FantasySheets.xyz if you haven’t already. The Molt’s sheets were a point of inspiration for @FantasyTopHUDs.📊 2. The absolute best lineup strategist in the game is @Khallid4397. His weekly lineup is the perfect primer for anyone wanting better results across Bronze and Silver. His updates on which heroes are AFK/Suspended/Private were an inspiration for the filter features we have in @FantasyTopHUDs.🏆 3. I run A LOT of miles every week. Over the past month, I’ve been running a little happier while catching @fantasy_hour_ & @Metaverse_HQ X spaces. Shoutout to the hosts @thecarpenter, @aibra, @esren0x and @Silvaserger. There’s dozens of snippets of alpha in each episode.🎯 4. If you enjoy nonstop Fantasy Top strategy, the best hive mind in all of the game lives within the @NewBlastCity Discord (we’re chatting 7 days a week). This is not just my opinion. There are 100+ members who have collectively won 300k+ gold, 11000+ packs, and 50+ ETH since TGE. Just in the past 2 weeks, NBC members took 8 1st places in Reverse, 2 1st places in Bronze, a 1st in Silver, and 5 other top 10s.💰🧠 PS if you own an NBC NFT and play FT, @thegolden_eel is a boss and community leader who pays out gold matches each month. Don’t miss the free gold.🪙 ---------- Next, here's the state of the game 1. One of the games’ greatest innovations is the introduction of fragments🃏 I wrote my original thoughts on the fragments launch, here: xitter.cf/FantasyTopHuds/status/…. It has outperformed my expectations. Kudos to the team of @travisbickle0x, @0xmikado, @0xKipit 👏 PS I’m sure you’re already in the @Fantasy_Top Discord. If you're not, you’re missing out. The mods have patience of saints, from all of us asking wen tactics rewards about 15,000 times per day.📿 PPS You should share this post by @710_eth so the compounding can max out for the FT community this year: xitter.cf/710_eth/status/1875352… 2. League Difficulty a. I measure the difficulty of a league by the ability to make it ITM (In The Money) to win at least 100 fragments. I think this is the best strategy, because you want your cards won to compound into more decks and more cards won. b. That means that making it ITM is Elite (~55%) > Gold (~30%) > Silver (~12%) > Reverse (~6%) > Bronze (~2%). c. I have PRINTED in Elite. First with 5 common decks. Then 1 rare and 4 common decks. Now I continue to print with 1 rare 4 strong common decks. My biggest advantage in playing Elite is that there are no caps on stars. Y’all are trying to play chess each week in Silver and Gold. I’m fine with playing checkers in Elite.♟️ I only enter Bronze when the HUD shows me solid 18 star lineups. I only enter Reverse when the HUD shows me solid AFKs/Privates/Suspended lineups. Speaking of suspended...👀 3. Hero Prices a. Mitch and Franklin still held their value when they were suspended, because of Reverse League. I personally thought Mitch would be gone forever and was originally excited by the swap for another 8 star hero. But with each week, he has lost value (stars) in Reverse. If you’re still holding him, you’re no longer compounding with a top cost common. 📉 I sold my Mitch, because it allowed me to pick up another @icobeast 🐺 IcoBeast is working NOW. Mitch is on a to-do list of priorities. As a startup founder, I can tell you that it wasn’t going to be a fast fix, as Mitch complaints from holders are minimal. The team has bigger baguettes to bake.🥖 For Franklin, I thought he’d be back, but as soon as his stars bottomed out, it was time to sell.💲 b. Why have I started sweeping heroes and gaining large % ownership positions in their supply? Put simply, many heroes are MAJORLY MISPRICED.🧐 How did I arrive at this conclusion, and why @TheFlowHorse, @icobeast, and @frankdegods as first 3? As we’ve started working on the @FantasyTopHuds 2nd product, a Trader/Marketplace tool, I dove into data differently than almost everyone else. Step 1⃣ I find the most consistent heroes within the Fantasy Top HUD. The most consistent heroes are those with similar True and Trending EVs. Step 2⃣ I determine how often their stars have changed, and then look at their current supply as a market cap, and current inflation degree. Step 3⃣ I add ratios and current floor prices between their rarities. By step 3, I see arbitrage opportunities. This is fun if you’re flipping/trading, but I’m thinking long-term, so I move to Step 4. Step 4⃣ I build the algo that sorts the most consistent heroes by market cap, % available in marketplace, their tag within the HUD (i.e. politics tag isn’t exciting right now, but News/Content is), and their current price discrepancy between peers. Step 5⃣ I build out their EV of scores over the next 4 weeks. If it hits above a certain threshold of points, I then see if their price trend matches it. If it already does, they’re likely priced in. If it doesn’t, then the hero is mispriced. If the hero is mispriced by > 100% according to my math, that’s when I’m sweeping and taking a position. While they hopefully appreciate toward that 100% gain this year, they’re also put to work in printing fragments for me every week.💵 ---- I hold 12 copies of Horse (6% of total supply), with a cost basis of .04 per card. Floor is now .049. +22.5% in 14 days.💰💰 ---- I hold 12 copies of IcoBeast (6.5% of total supply), with a cost basis of .112 per card. Floor is now .155. +38% in 7 days.💰💰💰💰 ---- I hold 12 copies of Frank (2% of total supply), with a cost basis of .035 per card. Floor is now .11. +214% in 1 day.💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰 ---- I posted all of these trades in the past: xitter.cf/MooneyMillions/status/… I'll be on the search for hero #4 later in January. 4. ELO a. If you checked out ClaytonMooney.com, you know I’m uber competitive. It’s because if I enjoy something, I’m going to obsess over it. If someone has created an incredible product, or in this case a game, I want to show the team I care, by providing feedback as a customer. I expect the same from my thousands of customers and partners. I also learn 10x more from negative feedback than I do with positive feedback.❌ b. When the FT team introduced ELO, I wasn’t sure how it’d fit, and how quickly they can prove its worth. c. In the short term, it’s great to have the claimable rewards baked in, and to ease into the top % of a league a player must reach, to gain ELO points. d. In the long term, I’m hoping for a “tournament of champions” or exclusive tournaments for top ranked players in each tier. I also think it’d be incredible to create tactics hero positions of top players from each tier who opt in.🙋‍♂️ e. I didn’t think there’d be a mid term solution, but the WL/AL/Airdrop for top players or volume players is amazing. I expect these opportunities to be worth 5 figures to players throughout the next year.🪂 5. The Company Trajectory a. I am not an investor and have no inside info on the company’s recent raise or cap table. I wrote about my thoughts on their recent seed round and V2 launch here: xitter.cf/MooneyMillions/status/… b. If the team has 12 months of expenses after Blast Phase 2 wraps up (when we should assume gold is gone), here are some things I’d be curious to see executed upon, to ensure profitability is met. 💡If you reach profitability as a company, you have the leverage. Venture capital is rocket fuel. Rocket fuel can and often will accelerate a company toward blowing up on launch pad, blowing up before escaping the atmosphere, or running out when you end up in space and off course. A well executed TGE could give the FT team (and cap table) maximum leverage in this market. 💡The team being able to airdrop fragments is big. The platform’s deposit from exchange or other wallet feature is big. So when someone shows up via one of these functions, where should they start? Currently any gamer with a league mindset should naturally lean toward Bronze league. But look above at its ITM %. It’s the hardest league to win more cards from. The team needs to define what their top of funnel game is, and then accept what their current CAC (customer acquisition cost) is for it. Then try to make the CAC = 1 player as consistently as possible. 💡I think on demand tactics is a great step for the game. I think payout should be closer to only top 30%, and there should be $5 through $20 tactics, just like there are for poker sit-and-goes. While I think the team intended tactics to be for beginning players, it’s the highest variance game (1 day to guess a hero score) and should be positioned for whale and grinder players. How can you make that clear? Implement a rakeback program. This post is a little outdated, but a rakeback program similar to Pokerstars’ Supernova program from many years back would be awesome. I’ve played 300+ tactics. If the rake were clear and the rakeback program existed, I’m playing 3000+ tactics this year. I think I would overall be a winner in the 10%-15% ROI range, and the rakeback is a nice sized bonus for anyone who thinks in terms of farming for airdrops. xitter.cf/MooneyMillions/status/… 💡Ending on a selfish note. When @socialsin & I had the opportunity to launch @FantasyTopHUDs, we had an incredible community (NBC!) ready to test and help us evolve it into a tool that helps any player find the right hero for any deck and any league. 🔭 Now it’s out there and into the world, used by almost 200 players as of posting this. 🙏 I think that the Player HUD ultimately should live within Fantasy Top. SocialSin is a rare combination of artist and dev. He could contribute A LOT to the functionality and UX. 🎨 For me, I want on the cap table. If the Player HUD lived within the game, it’s instantly a new revenue stream for FT. Charge players a scaling cost of 100-1000 fragments per month as a subscription. Scale the accessibility/features like we have between the Free Player HUD and Pro Player HUD. Phew. If you read all of this, I salute you. Good Luck. Have Fun. Keep Practicin’.🤠