
John 1:5🫶I bet on sports📊Founder @MySpariEdge Building the BEST sports betting community https://xitter.cf/t.co/0VtRBgH466 👑Touchdown & Home Run King
VIP PICKS DISCORD 👉
Joined June 2009
- Tweets70.8K
- Following401
- Followers56.2K
- Likes61.9K
Pinned Tweet
We’ve spent months rebuilding, upgrading, and expanding the platform.
✅ Better tools
✅ More models
✅ New features
✅ Improved experience
✅ And we’re still building
Find Better Bets. FASTER🚀
MySpariEdge.com
Assist best bets went 10-0 last night
Last game has Deni Avdija under 5.5 assists
Moneyline model is 35-17 and the last game had the Lakers to win
Slapped in Luka to burn the boost cuz I’m bored +259 fd limited promo
NFL Week 8 Player Prop Matchups Data 📊
In my opinion, defense vs. position data is something to keep in mind for prop betting!
The DvP matchups can often give you a nice view of potential upside/downside before looking at lines/odds
Example: To start research, I can quickly see the Lions vs. tight ends have been horrific (give up the most targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns to the position)
The first thing I'd do is go check out the opposing tight end's player props.
Hope you find this helpful! I'll post the NFL Key Matchups sheet in the next day or two as well ❤️♻️
Well, I guess we are gonna let it rip then 🤣
🏀DET +4.5
🏀SAC +18.5
🏀BOS -12.5
🏀LAL ML
Subject to change based on the next several hours of NBA info/vegas/etc. But it is better than nothing, I suppose!
NBA Key Matchups 10/27 🏀
A glance at the best/worst DvP Matchups (defense vs. position) for prop betting 📈📉
If you like all the different betting sheets on my feed today you gotta bring some energy 🔋
Defense vs Position Matchup Info for TNF 📊
NFL DvP for Packers vs. Panthers shows the top 5 and bottom 5 ranks for each category
Examples:
✅Packers allow the 2nd most WR receptions (advantage McMillan/Coker)
✅Panthers allow the 2nd most rushing touchdowns (advantage Josh Jacobs)
A ton of NFL betting content gets posted on my feed all week. Follow with notifications on 🔨🛎️
Packers vs Panthers Betting Primer 📊
The game lines are currently GB ML -192 / -3.5 / over 47.5, widely available across all books. My betting models support those as well.
🔹The Packers red zone offense is scoring just 46.2% of the trips inside the opponents 20 yard line
🔹The Panthers are much better in the red zone and have scored a touchdown on 65.2% of all trips
🔹CAR early down EPA: 6th
🔹Josh Jacobs 91 yards from scrimmage in his first game back
Lots of interesting angles to be aware of before betting on Thursday Night Football 🧠
Thursday Night Football first look picks 🎦
Full video with all player props, touchdown picks, an SGP idea, and more below ⤵️
The more I look at Week 8 the more I actually do like the following
CAR/GB over 47.5
ATL/TB over 44.5
NE -7.5
SEA -3
This week’s games look great to bet on and I can’t wait to dive into props 🔥
Opening lines for NFL Week 8 and my first gut feels and tummy tingles
(My opinion is in parentheses)👇
CAR @ GB -3.5 47.5 (I like over 47.5)
BAL @ BUF -3 52.5 (BUF -3)
TEN @ CIN -10 47.5 (under 47.5)
IND @ JAX -7.5 46.5 (over 46.5)
MIN @ DET -3 46.5 (MIN +3)
LV @ NYJ -1.5 44.5 (LV +1.5)
ARI @ DAL -6.5 52.5 (under 52.5)
CLE @ PIT -3.5 39.5 (under 39.5)
ATL @ TB -1.5 44.5 (over 44.5)
LAC @ LAR -7.5 45.5 (LAR -7.5)
NE @ MIA +7.5 44.5 (NE -7.5)
KC @ DEN +1.5 42.5 (KC -1.5)
PHI @ WAS -3.5 41.5 (over 41.5)
CHI @ SEA -3, 46.5 (SEA -3)
Morning ☕️
Oh, ok. Model sweep 🧹 😂
Onto Thursday Night Football 🏈
Replying to @DFSnDONUTS
yeahhh the model likes yada yada yada
But I am sitting here just thinking about the state of betting on NFL games, and I figure whatever we think will happen in primetime, we can just bet the opposite lol
+4.5 sounds right; straight up with the upset sounds better
Idk if I have the stones, and that's my own problem. Either way, prepare for volatility with Tanner McKee and the walking wounded hosting the Cowboys on TNF
Mitch Carl 🍩 retweeted
I did it again for the @DFSnDONUTS discord ✅ +3556 touchdown parlay
I just keep cashing 🤷♂️💰
yeahhh the model likes yada yada yada
But I am sitting here just thinking about the state of betting on NFL games, and I figure whatever we think will happen in primetime, we can just bet the opposite lol
+4.5 sounds right; straight up with the upset sounds better
Idk if I have the stones, and that's my own problem. Either way, prepare for volatility with Tanner McKee and the walking wounded hosting the Cowboys on TNF
Mitch Carl 🍩 retweeted
MNF 10k Simulation: Cowboys vs Eagles
Here is tonight's 10,000 simulation for Monday Night Football featuring the Cowboys and Eagles. Model has tagged the Cowboys with 62.9% win probability.
🏈 Monday Night Football Parlay Pieces
• Dak Prescott 22+ Pass Completions | 6/6 Games
• Javonte Williams 2+ Receptions | 6/6 Games
• Jake Ferguson 2+ Receptions | 6/6 Games
• Ryan Flournoy 20+ Rec Yds | 6/6 Games
• George Pickens 40+ Rec Yds | 5/5 Games
A lot of consistency on the Cowboys side of this board.
Question to my betting fam, and totally curious what side of the line in the sand they're on for this Q
With tracking % public tickets vs. % public money on game lines using stateside books like BetMGM, DK, etc.
Do you think it's a viable option to do the same with prediction apps, or are there landmines hidden in that approach?
Opening lines for NFL Week 8 and my first gut feels and tummy tingles
(My opinion is in parentheses)👇
CAR @ GB -3.5 47.5 (I like over 47.5)
BAL @ BUF -3 52.5 (BUF -3)
TEN @ CIN -10 47.5 (under 47.5)
IND @ JAX -7.5 46.5 (over 46.5)
MIN @ DET -3 46.5 (MIN +3)
LV @ NYJ -1.5 44.5 (LV +1.5)
ARI @ DAL -6.5 52.5 (under 52.5)
CLE @ PIT -3.5 39.5 (under 39.5)
ATL @ TB -1.5 44.5 (over 44.5)
LAC @ LAR -7.5 45.5 (LAR -7.5)
NE @ MIA +7.5 44.5 (NE -7.5)
KC @ DEN +1.5 42.5 (KC -1.5)
PHI @ WAS -3.5 41.5 (over 41.5)
CHI @ SEA -3, 46.5 (SEA -3)



















