Your source for professional disc golf statistics, data visualizations, and predictive tournament modeling. Powered by StatMando data.
Joined April 2022
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📢In collaboration with @Disc_Golf_Doug, I am excited to share a new predictive model for disc golf, the Competitive Disc Golf Simulation Model (C-DGSM)!
📈Check out our methods infographic.
🔮C-DGSM's first predictions will be posted tomorrow for the LWS Open at Idlewild.
@UDiscApp roughly 10,000 match play rounds will be scored from October to April for New England Team Challenge. 70 teams and 1,750 players will play at least one match per month. Please add match play scoring. If you build it, they will come.
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Is @PDGA membership this conservative? Or do the anti-trans survey results reflect some response bias towards the more conservative members?
Calling on the PDGA to assess response rates by state or other demographics to assess whether the survey is representative of membership.
For FPO players sitting outside the top 50 in @DiscGolfProTour points, here are your chances at GMC playoff spot based on points at season's end:
130 points: 2% chance
135 points: 34% chance
140 points: 87% chance
145 points: 98% chance
@statmando
For MPO players sitting outside the top 100 in @DiscGolfProTour points, a final season points total exceeding 41.5 gives you a 52% chance of clinching a GMC playoff spot.
44.75+ points: 75% chance
46.13+ points: 90% chance
49+ points: 99% chance
@statmando
🔮Who will qualify for the @DiscGolfProTour Championship?
📊Using my Disc Golf Simulation Model, we simulated 1,000 season-end scenarios to assess the probabilities of Tour Championship qualification for every FPO competitor.
@golden_eagle08 @ObscureSports @statmando
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Statistical model likes Kristin Tattar's odds to jump from her current #6 spot (quarterfinal bye) into the third spot (semi-final bye). Valerie Mandujano and Ohn Scoggins will also look to secure one of four semi-final byes (70% and 37% likelihood, respectively).
(2/4)
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🔮MPO predictions are up for the 2022 Ledgestone Insurance Open!
🥇@sockibomb13 is your favorite, with a projected score of 23-under par and 21.7% winning odds.
❓Who's your pick to win?
🧮 @Disc_Golf_Doug stats co-lead
💾 Historical scoring data: @statmando
📸 @PDGA, LIS Open
⚔️If the 2022 season were one (long) tournament, Paige Pierce would be leading Catrina Allen by 6 strokes after the European Open. It's been back-and-forth all year.
Pierce: 2,705 strokes
Allen: 2,711 strokes
💾Hole scoring data from @statmando
Don't forget to vote in the PDGA elections!
Hey there.
Have you voted in the #PDGAElections yet?
You have six days.
Info ➡️ PDGA.com/Elections
#discgolf #growthesport
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🤯After the 16th hole of the European Open Round 3, Paige Pierce and Catrina Allen were tied at exactly 2,635 strokes on the year.*
After Hole 18:
Paige Pierce: 2,642 strokes
Catrina Allen: 2,644 strokes
* In tournaments they both attended.
Hole scores provided by @statmando
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🥏Chandler Kramer (-19) sits in 3rd place heading into the final day at the European Open.
Disc Golf Simulation Model pre-tournament predictions: Kramer was more likely to miss the cut (7.34% chance) than to make final day lead card (2.89%).
DGSM is powered by @statmando data.
🔥Paul McBeth and Eagle McMahon are playing historic golf.
Highest ever Major event rating: 1074 (McBeth @ 2019 Worlds)
Paul and Eagle event rating at European Open: 1079
A 1058+ rated round tomorrow puts them at the highest rated Major performance. Ever.
Data: @statmando
⚔️Ricky Wysocki has a 34-stroke lead over Paul McBeth in the Very Real and Legitimate DGStatMan 2022 Season-Long Tournament™️
🥏McBeth last led during DDO Rd 1 and is working to claw back some strokes at the European Open.
💾Hole scores by @statmando
@sockibomb13 @Paul_McBeth
🇫🇮Eveliina Salonen shoots a 4-under Round 2 at the European Open. She enters the weekend in 1st place with an 8 stroke lead.
🔥Her round is currently rated at 1028. That is tied for the 6th best round in FPO Major history.
💾Historical ratings from @statmando.
@InnovaDiscs
Calculated.
A skip on the pond and safe on the green, it's all coming up McBeth in round 1 @OpenDiscGolf.
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Cool stuff from @Disc_Golf_Doug. Predicts players’ scores for each hole of the European Open based on their recent performance on similar holes (eg short wooded Par 3s, long open Par 4s).
Time for a European Major again! Ricky has the best chance of winning, but there are a lot of other players who have the skill and experience to challenge. Paul will be fighting to get his 5th European Open Major win.
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🦅Eagle McMahon is back for the European Open!
📊 Eagle is elite on open and mixed holes (ranked #3 & #1). He is the 40th-ranked player in the woods, losing an average of 0.057 strokes per hole to competitors.
🧮 @Disc_Golf_Doug stats co-lead
💾 Hole scores: @statmando
📸 @PDGA
📊Ricky Wysocki (@sockibomb13) is your favorite for the 2022 European Open! He is modeled as the winner in 24.8% of the 10,000 simulations.
🇪🇺 Europeans have a 14.5% chance to win!
‼️Model is unaware of Eagle McMahon's shoulder injury.
💾Historical ratings data from @statmando
🦖Ricky Wysocki is a threat on every. single. hole.
📊 @sockibomb13 finishes Top 3 on wooded, open, AND mixed holes, averaging 0.134+ fewer strokes than his competitors on each hole.
🧮 @Disc_Golf_Doug stats co-lead
💾 Hole scores: @statmando
📸 @PDGA
