Economic Growth Strategist. Keynote Speaker. Media Contributor.
I help leaders understand what is changing in the economy, why it matters, and what decisions come next.
For speaking and media inquiries:
danvarroney.com/contact/?inq…
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Midterms, jobs and earnings: will this week strengthen confidence to invest and hire? Watch what employers commit to next. Families need opportunity close to home.
Bring this perspective to your next conference: danvarroney.com/contact/?inq…
Music: Kevin MacLeod, CC BY 4.0.
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An owner’s next equipment purchase can become an employee’s next opportunity. Our vote should help that investment move forward. In my Washington Examiner op-ed, I explain why America’s future belongs at the center of this election. washingtonexaminer.com/op-ed…
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Your next conference should help leaders turn economic uncertainty into better decisions about investment, hiring and growth. To discuss bringing that perspective to your audience, visit danvarroney.com.
danvarroney.com/contact/?inq…
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A stronger quarter can hide a tighter family budget. September real after-tax income fell 0.3%. Before raising rates, the Fed must weigh the investment and hiring it could discourage. Hold in December unless new evidence warrants a change. bea.gov/news/2026/personal-i…
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Your next conference should help leaders turn economic uncertainty into better decisions about investment, hiring and growth. To discuss bringing that perspective to your audience, visit danvarroney.com.
danvarroney.com/contact/?inq…
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A Fed pause is not a victory over inflation. Rates remain 3.75% to 4%. A business still has to make the loan payment work before buying equipment or adding jobs. America’s next test is turning steadier policy into productive investment. federalreserve.gov/newsevent…
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An unsold house is not necessarily an affordable house. September sales were essentially flat. Slow sales can tie up a builder’s money for the next project. The test: homes at payments families can afford. census.gov/construction/nrs/…
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Diesel bills delayed some carriers' plans for more efficient trucks. Another rate increase could make those savings harder to finance. The Fed should hold steady while assessing September's increase. My Washington Examiner argument: washingtonexaminer.com/op-ed…
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A delayed permit and unaffordable financing can stop the same housing project. Treating both as weak demand misses the cause. Washington must identify the obstacle before choosing the remedy. More homes depend on getting that right.
youtube.com/watch?v=eBtfKroM…
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Higher rates can keep a business expensive to run. The Richmond Fed says diesel bills halted some carriers' purchases of fuel-efficient trucks. Making those trucks harder to finance could delay lower costs. The Fed should hold steady.
washingtonexaminer.com/op-ed…
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Expecting inflation is not the same as having money to spend. Consumers expect prices to rise 4.7% over the next year. That is no proof of booming demand. Before raising rates, the Fed must show how tighter credit would help families afford more. sca.isr.umich.edu/
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High borrowing costs reach beyond the loan payment. They can cost a local dealer a sale and an installer a day's work. October buying conditions for major purchases fell 18%. The Fed must weigh that damage alongside inflation risk. sca.isr.umich.edu/
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A small business cannot invest the same dollar twice. When fuel bills rise, money for equipment and hiring gets squeezed. Diesel and heating-oil stocks remain 9% below their five-year average. Reliable energy gives Main Street room to grow. eia.gov/petroleum/supply/wee…
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America should aim higher than avoiding layoffs. New jobless claims of 194,000 are encouraging. But a family seeking its first paycheck needs a business ready to hire. Washington must judge economic policy by the opportunities it helps Main Street create. dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
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America cannot grow on a hiring freeze. September payrolls rose in just 2 states. Washington must unlock Main Street hiring: lower borrowing costs, speed permitting and turn investment tax incentives into expansion. Small businesses need reasons to hire, not reasons to wait.
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America cannot solve a housing shortage by making it harder to build homes.
September single-family permits fell 4.0%, and housing starts dropped 4.6%. That means fewer opportunities for families to own a home and less work for builders and small businesses.
We need affordable capital, faster permitting, and policies that encourage construction, not discourage it. Housing affordability begins with housing supply.
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America needs more homes and the small businesses that build them. September single-family permits fell 4%. That puts future work for local crews and suppliers at risk. Housing policy must help sound builders finance the next project. census.gov/construction/nrc/…
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Small business is America's hiring engine. Higher borrowing costs make the next hire harder. ADP's four-week private hiring pace slowed to 18,500 jobs a week from a revised 26,000. The Fed must protect Main Street's capacity to create jobs. mediacenter.adp.com/2026-10-…
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Congratulations to my friend @MarkHalperin on a brilliant interview with @VP. Excellent and unique questions. Highly informative.
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Builders are cutting prices. Buyer traffic is falling.
NAHB: 43% cut prices in October; buyer traffic fell to 18.
Discounts alone cannot fix housing’s cost structure. Cut approval delays and fees that put homes beyond families’ reach. My argument:
washingtonexaminer.com/op-ed…
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