the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics
Joined January 2025
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Article 6 is out.
This one is about year end.
There is something on the panels now that was not there when the index was at a record. I put it on the record today, before the tape does.
I know December feels like a year away for some of you. It is two months. And most of what will happen in them is already loading.
Santa is coming. Want to take a peek into your stocking?
Time to set the record straight again.
September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days.
October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then.
It’s October 22.
VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me.
Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it.
Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Deep Inference retweeted
wow. impressive piece of marketing.
He’s still charging $200/month and down -25% since he started and he’s basing his “trades” on purely feelings
Or
@AionAnalytics is $500/month
Each and every choice affects the likely outcome.
are you trusting this space cadet or trusting data with @AionAnalytics which doesn’t have the ability to lie?
choose your fighter.
Deep Inference retweeted
$SPY $QQQ
Thank you for 300 subscribers!!! A special shoutout all of those in the @AionAnalytics community who are supportive and @DeepInference for spreading awareness of my substack!
We are just beginning!
link is in my bio🤝🏼
Deep Inference retweeted
Code "QUANT" is done on the 31st, three days from now.
Since we put that code up, the authors have written 11 pieces of research, Community Research went live inside the terminal, and the community got much more exclusive.
A tighter community. Research stays internal.
30% off until Friday. Happy Halloween! 🎃
Deep Inference retweeted
*Checks where we bottomed*
So here’s where I land, and I want this call to be clear.
The dip buyers bought the seam. The cushion under them expires tomorrow. The next real floor on SPY is 745 next week, QQQ doesn’t have one in frame, and the liquidity tide is still going out for a few more sessions. My guess is we bottom next week, not this week, with chop in between.
Then the setup flips. Everything is beat down going into it. When strength comes back, probably late October, November is strong, December is stronger, and this is a year we get the Santa rally and the everything rally with it. I think easing floods into equities sooner than most people are positioned for.
If you’re doing well this year, congrats. If you’re not, this hasn’t been an easy tape, and you’re not alone. Either way, inside Aion we have had the data and the community to see this coming. And our research just proved itself, again.
Not financial advice. Mathematically driven models.