Ex @TheSpartanGroup | Defi Analyst & Onchain Trading Follow for daily alpha 🗼
Tokyo underground 👉
Joined July 2023
- Tweets8.3K
- Following176
- Followers39.9K
- Likes12.5K
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN IS SETTING UP A HIGHER LOW BEFORE THE $110,000 PUMP
Price is sitting near $78,000 as buyers defend the $74,000–$77,000 floor
After the recent Fed news, staying above $74,000 gives Bitcoin a chance to build a solid base
Once this sideways move ends, two big levels stand in the way:
A decisive push above $82,219 confirms a weekly trend change, while clearing the $94,256 resistance line clears the runway for a full expansion toward $110,000+
A fall back down to $62.2k is unlikely if buyers keep holding this $74k–$77k support
Watch how price acts as this base forms
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN TESTS THE $75,700 PIVOT AFTER THE FED RATE HIKE
Bitcoin is holding around $75,745 following the Federal Reserve's rate hike announcement
Two major unfilled price gaps sit directly beneath current price between $66,000 and $75,000
Failing to defend this $75.7k floor signals that the weekly high is in, opening the door for a fast downside move
If post-FOMC volatility triggers selling pressure, the market roadmap unfolds in two stages:
> Break below $75.7k -> initial flush to $72,000–$74,000 gap
> Lose $71k -> deeper drop into the $66,000–$69,000 gap
Key levels to watch:
> Resistance: $83,000 (Previous Lower High)
> Pivot Floor: $75,745 (Post-FOMC Support)
> First Target: $72,000–$74,000
> Second Target: $66,000–$69,000
The next major move depends on whether buyers can hold this $75.7k level after the Fed volatility settles
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 THE LIQUIDITY VALUATION SPREAD ON BITCOIN IS SURGING
Global fiat expansion has pushed worldwide money supply to historic peaks, yet Bitcoin remains pinned near $77,000
Money supply metrics measure the total volume of currency moving through global financial channels
When central banks flood the system with fresh capital, a portion of that excess capital naturally migrates into hard, fixed-supply assets
While daily correlation can be noisy, historical trends show that hard assets inevitably catch up whenever global liquidity surges
> Central banks expand global paper currency reserves to record levels
> Excess system liquidity begins seeking hard asset protection
> Capital flows into Bitcoin to close the valuation spread
Target expansion trajectory:
$77K -> $100K -> $120K -> $150K ATH
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN TESTS THE $75,700 PIVOT AFTER THE FED RATE HIKE
Bitcoin is holding around $75,745 following the Federal Reserve's rate hike announcement
Two major unfilled price gaps sit directly beneath current price between $66,000 and $75,000
Failing to defend this $75.7k floor signals that the weekly high is in, opening the door for a fast downside move
If post-FOMC volatility triggers selling pressure, the market roadmap unfolds in two stages:
> Break below $75.7k -> initial flush to $72,000–$74,000 gap
> Lose $71k -> deeper drop into the $66,000–$69,000 gap
Key levels to watch:
> Resistance: $83,000 (Previous Lower High)
> Pivot Floor: $75,745 (Post-FOMC Support)
> First Target: $72,000–$74,000
> Second Target: $66,000–$69,000
The next major move depends on whether buyers can hold this $75.7k level after the Fed volatility settles
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN TESTS THE $75,700 PIVOT AFTER THE FED RATE HIKE
Bitcoin is holding around $75,745 following the Federal Reserve's rate hike announcement
Two major unfilled price gaps sit directly beneath current price between $66,000 and $75,000
Failing to defend this $75.7k floor signals that the weekly high is in, opening the door for a fast downside move
If post-FOMC volatility triggers selling pressure, the market roadmap unfolds in two stages:
> Break below $75.7k -> initial flush to $72,000–$74,000 gap
> Lose $71k -> deeper drop into the $66,000–$69,000 gap
Key levels to watch:
> Resistance: $83,000 (Previous Lower High)
> Pivot Floor: $75,745 (Post-FOMC Support)
> First Target: $72,000–$74,000
> Second Target: $66,000–$69,000
The next major move depends on whether buyers can hold this $75.7k level after the Fed volatility settles
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM REJECTED AT THE 50-WEEK MA
Both $BTC and $ETH are struggling to break above their 50-Week moving average ceilings as major macroeconomic catalysts unfold
Yesterday on September 15, the US Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, eliminating one of the market's biggest legislative catalysts
Today on September 16, all eyes shift to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and press conference
On September 18, the Bank of Japan delivers its policy decision, where any hawkish tilt risks unwinding currency carry trades
Sep 15: CLARITY Act Failed
Sep 16: Fed Rate Decision
Sep 18: BOJ Policy Meeting
With the 50-Week MA holding firm as overhead resistance across both assets, we could expect continued downside pressure if central banks deliver a hawkish surprise
Bulls need a full weekly close above the 50-Week MA before any sustainable recovery can take shape
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 ALTCOIN MARKET CAP BREAKS OUT OF A MULTI-YEAR DOWNTREND
The total altcoin market cap has just confirmed a breakout above its multi-month descending trendline around $200B
Last time this exact monthly breakout triggered in 2023, altcoins experienced a parabolic 9-month expansion
A matching monthly momentum crossover has just confirmed below the chart for only the second time in this cycle
Key structural levels to monitor:
> Breakout Confirmation Zone: $200B–$210B
> Initial Target: $350B
> Macro Objective: $485B+ (9-Month Parabolic Expansion Target)
If buyers maintain acceptance above the broken trendline, historical models suggest the early stages of a massive altseason rally are underway
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 ETHEREUM JUST EXECUTED A CLASSIC BEAR TRAP AT $2,500
That quick breakdown below the long-term trendline was nothing more than a false move designed to wipe out late short positions
Smart money stepped in immediately, reclaiming the $2,500 level and confirming a Busted Ascending Triangle pattern on the monthly chart
As long as price holds above this $2,500 macro trendline, the broader market structure remains pointing upward
A sustained breakout above major resistance at $4,500 would open the runway for a massive expansion toward $10,000+
Watch how $2,500 holds over the coming weekly closes
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 ETHEREUM JUST EXECUTED A CLASSIC BEAR TRAP AT $2,500
That quick breakdown below the long-term trendline was nothing more than a false move designed to wipe out late short positions
Smart money stepped in immediately, reclaiming the $2,500 level and confirming a Busted Ascending Triangle pattern on the monthly chart
As long as price holds above this $2,500 macro trendline, the broader market structure remains pointing upward
A sustained breakout above major resistance at $4,500 would open the runway for a massive expansion toward $10,000+
Watch how $2,500 holds over the coming weekly closes
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BREAKING
TRUMP'S WHALE IS ABOUT TO GET FULLY LIQUIDATED ON HIS $96.6M $ETH LONG
HE IS JUST $49 AWAY FROM LIQUIDATION, WITH $ETH AT $2,476 AND LIQUIDATION NEAR $2,427
ONE SMALL DUMP COULD COMPLETELY WIPE HIM OUT!
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BREAKING
BANK OF JAPAN WILL DUMP ¥1,000,000,000,000 IN U.S. BONDS TOMORROW AT 7:50 PM ET
THE FINAL YEN INTERVENTION HAS FAILED AND THEY ARE SELLING EVERYTHING THEY CAN IN DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO SAVE THEIR MARKET
THIS DOESN'T LOOK GOOD...
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN IS AT THE MOST IMPORTANT DECISION ZONE
Price is currently pushing into major overhead resistance around $83,000, where two major technical levels collide
Both the weekly supply zone and the 365-day moving average are sitting right at $83k, creating a massive wall for buyers to clear
This makes the upcoming weekly close one of the most critical decision points for the market
If bulls manage to break above $83k and close the week on top of that confluence, probability favors a confirmed trend reversal confirming the macro bottom is in
However, failing to clear this level could result in a sharp rejection back down toward lower support levels
All eyes are on how price handles this $83k test over the coming days
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN MAY BE TRANSITIONING FROM ACCUMULATION TO DISTRIBUTION
The multi-month accumulation phase appears complete, and weekly RSI has pushed back into overbought territory following the recent impulse move
When momentum spikes after a rapid expansion, historical cycles show that smart money often begins distributing into strength rather than starting a fresh leg higher
If price encounters heavy rejection around the $82,000 resistance zone, probability favors a structural distribution phase taking place
A rejection at $82k could set the stage for a deeper macro reset back down toward the low $50,000s to build a broader long-term base
These transitional stages are designed to give late buyers maximum confidence right before liquidity dries up
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 ETHEREUM PRINTED A BULLISH GOLDEN CROSS
$ETH just printed a daily Golden Cross after suffering a 55.6% drawdown
The last time Ethereum confirmed this exact moving average cross following a 50% crash, price expanded +97.9%
Current price action shows technical signs of repeating that historical rally
Holding above $2,400 opens a roadmap toward $3,000, $4,000, and new all-time highs
If historical momentum holds, market structure favors a multi-stage bull expansion
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 ETHEREUM SETS UP A WAVE 4 PULLBACK
$ETH is completing daily Wave 3 after an aggressive impulse surge
Market structure shows downside imbalance left behind during the rally, creating a primary Wave 4 target between $2,112 and $2,222
However, buyers may front-run that deeper zone at the 0.236 Fib near $2,324
A shallow bounce from $2,324 could push price toward the $2,784 to $2,966 target box before a deeper retrace into the $2,100 floor
Because Wave 2 was extremely sharp, Elliott Wave alternation favors a flatter, shallow consolidation for Wave 4
A daily close below $2,050 invalidates the Wave 4 pullback structure
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 EVERYONE IS BUYING THE $80K BITCOIN TRAP
$BTC is pushing into resistance, but the 10-month bear market structure hasn't flipped yet
Unless price reclaims $83,000, this entire rally remains a lower-high setup
If $83,000 holds as resistance, price shows potential for a final capitulation flush toward $50,000 in November
A clean daily close above $83,000 changes everything and confirms the real breakout
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN IS PRINTING TEXTBOOK HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN
Bitcoin is pumping, but I am still skeptical
We missed the CVDD floor, skipped the Realized Price retest, and the cycle timing just feels early
Here is how I am playing the next 60 days:
I expect price to print a Higher Low through September and October, building the right shoulder of a massive Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern
If that pullback holds above $57k support, December 1st becomes the exact date I flip 100% bullish for the real breakout into Q1
A daily close above $84k cleanly invalidates this retrace thesis early
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN TESTS THE 50-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE
$BTC is pushing directly into the 50-Week MA resistance on the weekly chart
Looking back at previous cycle transitions in 2019 and 2023, initial tests of this moving average produced a temporary rejection before the major bull expansion kicked off
If this historical setup repeats, market structure presents potential for a 10–15% pullback to retest support around $67k–$70k
Bears still have a brief window to force a temporary reset before high-timeframe momentum flips
Watching the weekly close for confirmation of this thesis
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN IS PRINTING TEXTBOOK HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN
Bitcoin is pumping, but I am still skeptical
We missed the CVDD floor, skipped the Realized Price retest, and the cycle timing just feels early
Here is how I am playing the next 60 days:
I expect price to print a Higher Low through September and October, building the right shoulder of a massive Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern
If that pullback holds above $57k support, December 1st becomes the exact date I flip 100% bullish for the real breakout into Q1
A daily close above $84k cleanly invalidates this retrace thesis early
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN IS STALLING UNDER 50-WEEK EMA RESISTANCE
$BTC just printed a weekly rejection right at the 50-Week EMA, signaling momentum weakness at major trend resistance
While bulls celebrate the relief pump, higher timeframe market structure remains heavy under this moving average cluster
Price needs a weekly close below the 21-Week EMA around $67,000 to confirm a deeper retrace toward lower target
Until $67k breaks, this move remains a choppy range retest
A clean weekly close above $82,000 invalidates the 50-Week EMA rejection setup completely
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN IS PRINTING TEXTBOOK HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN
Bitcoin is pumping, but I am still skeptical
We missed the CVDD floor, skipped the Realized Price retest, and the cycle timing just feels early
Here is how I am playing the next 60 days:
I expect price to print a Higher Low through September and October, building the right shoulder of a massive Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern
If that pullback holds above $57k support, December 1st becomes the exact date I flip 100% bullish for the real breakout into Q1
A daily close above $84k cleanly invalidates this retrace thesis early
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BITCOIN LIQUIDATION HEATMAP IMBALANCE
CoinGlass derivatives data reveals an extreme shift in market liquidity positioning
Following the $3.3 Billion short squeeze, short liquidity above current price is almost completely cleared out
Dark purple heatmap zones sit above $80,000, leaving minimal ask liquidity remaining to trigger
Downside liquidity presents a clear structural contrast
Heavy yellow liquidation pools are concentrated across the $62,000 to $67,000 demand zone
If overhead resistance holds, market structure presents a potential scenario of a liquidity sweep toward those stacked long stops
A clean daily close above $82,000 invalidates this retrace model completely
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 DON'T BUY THE $78,000 BITCOIN TRAP
$BTC expanded into $78,000 resistance after wiping out over $3.1 Billion in short liquidations
The surge was driven by a forced liquidity squeeze as Treasury buybacks and CLARITY Act headlines pushed shorts out
Fresh leverage chased the high, converting short squeeze momentum into a crowded long trade
If higher timeframe resistance holds, market structure presents a downside scenario following a multi-level ladder:
> $70,000 FVG retest
> $67,000 structural support
> $55,000 capitulation zone
> $48,000 to $45,000 cycle floor
However, I'd like to see current key levels break to confirm this theory
A clean daily close above $82,000 invalidates the trap model completely
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 THE BITCOIN LIQUIDATION HEATMAP HAS NEVER BEEN SO ONE-SIDED
CoinGlass data shows short liquidity above current price is almost completely cleared out after the $3.3 Billion squeeze
Dark purple zones sit above $80k, leaving virtually zero short stops left to trigger
Downside liquidity tells a completely different story:
Massive bright yellow liquidation pools are stacked between $62,000 and $67,000
If resistance holds around current levels, market structure presents a high probability scenario of a liquidity sweep toward those long stops
Key high-timeframe levels breaking = confirmation
A clean daily close above $82,000 invalidates this retrace thesis completely
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 THE BITCOIN WEEKLY RSI MULTI-YEAR BREAKOUT SETUP
$BTC is testing its multi-year weekly RSI descending trendline on the high-timeframe chart
Historical cycle precedents across weekly momentum breakouts:
> 2015: Weekly RSI broke multi-year downtrend line -> +8,497% cycle expansion
> 2020: Weekly RSI broke multi-year downtrend line -> +1,509% cycle expansion
> 2023: Weekly RSI broke multi-year downtrend line -> +882% cycle expansion
If weekly RSI cleanly reclaims above 60, macro structure presents potential expansion toward the psychological $100,000 zone
Nothing is confirmed until high-timeframe candles close
A weekly RSI rejection back below 50 invalidates the breakout model
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 BITCOIN CLOSED THE LARGEST WEEKLY CANDLE SINCE MARCH 2023
$BTC just closed a +23.56% weekly candle, gaining $14,800 in seven days
This is Bitcoin's largest single-week move since the banking crisis in March 2023
Comparing the two macro events:
> March 2023: Bank failures drove a 27% weekly flight into Bitcoin
> August 2026: Treasury bond buybacks and a $3.3B short squeeze fueled the move
Weekly candles of this size reset market structure across higher timeframes
Watching how spot volume absorbs a $14,800 weekly range gives us the baseline for Q4
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BREAKING
TRUMP'S INSIDER MADE $20M IN 7 DAYS FROM THE BIGGEST SHORT LIQUIDATION IN CRYPTO HISTORY
HE IS NOW HOLDING $100M IN 40X $BTC AND $ETH LONGS
$0 PROFITS TAKEN
DOES HE KNOW SOMETHING OR LARGE LIQUIDATION SOON?
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨BREAKING
EXPECT VOLATILE SCHEDULE NEXT WEEK
MONDAY -> BOJ INFLATION DATA
TUSEDAY -> EMERGENCY FOMC ANNOUNCEMENT
WEDNESDAY -> FED LIQUIDITY INJECTION ($2.1B)
THURSDAY -> US ECONOMIC FORUM
FRIDAY -> FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH SPEECH
POSITION ACCORDINGLY!
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 THE 365-DAY BITCOIN CYCLE COUNTDOWN
Consensus is treating the current 200-Day EMA rally as a new bull market, ignoring the 4-year cycle duration clock
Across previous cycles, bear market capitulations follow a strict multi-year rhythm:
> 2013 Top ($1,240): 365-day red box capitulation to the 2015 bottom
> 2017 Top ($19k): 365-day red box capitulation to the 2018 bottom
> 2021 Top ($69k): 365-day red box capitulation to the Nov 2022 bottom ($15.5k)
> 2025 Top ($126k): 365-day red box capitulation running through October 2026
Sellers have approximately 60 days left to complete the historical 365-day bear market window
Here is what happens next:
This 60-day window is where sellers must force the final liquidity sweep into the $49k 350-Week MA floor
Once October passes, the red capitulation box closes and the green macro expansion phase begins toward the 2029 Cycle Top ($200k+)
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 WHAT ACTUALLY CAUSED BITCOIN TO EXPLODE TO $70k?
Everyone is staring at the green candle
The real move started in U.S. Treasury bonds
The Treasury just doubled its long-term bond buyback program
> Old maximum: $2 Billion per operation
> New maximum: At least $4 Billion
> Targets: 10-to-20 and 20-to-30 year Treasuries
> Window: September 9 through November 4
The macro domino chain reaction:
Treasury expands long-term bond buybacks
> 10-year and 30-year yields fall sharply
> Risk assets ignite
> $65.4k jumps to $69.7k, gaining $2,000+ in 60 seconds
> $746 Million in BTC shorts get wiped out in one minute
To be clear: this is NOT Fed QE or money printing
Treasury is buying back existing bonds to support debt market liquidity
The bond market moved first, and Bitcoin followed
Watch September 9 through November 4 closely
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 THE BITCOIN 200-DAY EMA & MACRO SQUEEZE CONFLUENCE
$BTC has pushed into its 200-Day EMA resistance with daily RSI hitting its highest level since November 2024
Connecting today's macro catalysts and technical structure:
> Macro Driver: U.S. Treasury expanded bond buybacks to $4 Billion per operation, pulling yields down and triggering a $746 Million short squeeze to $69.7k
> Technical Target: Price cleared range highs to fill the June dump imbalance, targeting June's monthly high ($74k) and the 2025 Yearly Low ($74.4k)
> Multi-Cycle Comp: Reclaiming the 200-day moving average late in a bear market mirrors the 2022 bottom formation before a higher-low consolidation
While this momentum expansion is constructive, extreme daily RSI readings into major EMA resistance require prudent risk management
Here is what happens next:
Tapping $74k–$74.4k completes the buy-side liquidity sweep before price tests $67k support on a healthy retrace
A daily close back below $67k invalidates the breakout setup, while accepting above $74.4k opens the path to $78k–$82k
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
🚨 THE 2022 vs 2026 BOTTOM FORMATION FRACTAL
Consensus is split between an immediate bull breakout and a violent 25% capitulation sweep
Comparing the 2022 bottom structure with current 2026 price action provides a clear roadmap:
> 2022 Cycle: Initial range high test led to a shallow retrace that held above previous cycle lows
> 2026 Cycle: Retracing from the $68k–$70k high can still establish a higher low above $57k–$58k
Targeting an extreme $49k flush late in the cycle seems consensus, but market structure dictates execution
Here is what happens next:
The 2022 fractal is validated only if $BTC re-enters the range and displays clear 4H/1D momentum exhaustion
If price fails to accept back into the range, the fractal invalidates, opening the final $49k liquidity sweep
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Tokyo 🗼 retweeted
🚨 BTC PERFECTLY FOLLOWS MY ROADMAP
$BTC is tracing the exact macro liquidity script I've outlined in my earlier roadmap
The short-term relief push toward $69k is currently in progress, capturing liquidity right beneath moving average resistance
This price action matches the primary multi-month capitulation framework:
> Phase 1: Short-term relief push tests resistance at $67k–$69k
> Phase 2: Breakdown below $57k support triggers the final $49k capitulation sweep in Q4
> Phase 3: Multi-month base building across $49k–$55k ahead of macro expansion
I'm monitoring price action around the $69k level before positioning
A daily close back above $72k invalidates the $49k capitulation setup
Save this and bookmark it. We grade this roadmap in Q4.
🚨BITCOIN 3D MACRO ROADMAP
Bitcoin's daily chart is establishing the final multi-month liquidity sweep before its broader macro expansion
The technical framework from current levels:
> Phase 1: Short-term relief push tests $69k resistance
>Phase 2: Breakdown below $57k support triggers the final $49k capitulation sweep in Q4
> Phase 3: Consolidation and accumulation building across the $49k–$55k floor
> Phase 4: Structural reclaim of $72k launching price toward the $82.8k+ macro target in 2027
The move to $69k could lure late buyers into the market right before the key support level breaks
The sweep to $49k clears remaining leverage, opening the primary macro accumulation base
Here is my execution plan:
I am monitoring the $49k–$55k range for potential long-term spot accumulation
A daily close back above $72k invalidates the $49k capitulation setup
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated