Insights on Security Dynamics & Militancy from the Afghanistan-Pakistan Region.
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Perspectives | Understanding the Crisis in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Three Weeks That Reshaped the Province
One report counted 556 violence-linked deaths in KP in the third quarter; that is 39 percent of Pakistan's total.
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Perspectives | Understanding the Crisis in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Three Weeks That Reshaped the Province
In 22 days, a province went from a protest march to being run from Islamabad. How? Out Wednesday.
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Perspectives | Nowhere Left to Go: Afghan Refugees Between an American Retreat and an Iranian War
Only five Afghans have been admitted to the U.S. since October 2025. More than 1,100 remain stranded at a camp in Qatar.
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Perspectives | Nowhere Left to Go: Afghan Refugees Between an American Retreat and an Iranian War
Washington once airlifted its Afghan allies to safety. What is it offering them now? Out Monday.
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Pakistan Security Monitor, Oct 12-18: Parliament ratified KP governor's rule; Balochistan saw abductions of police recruits and a commissioner.
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Strategic Messaging | October 2026 (Vol. 3, Issue 1): Militant Media Intelligence Assessment
The TTP claimed 334 attacks in September, down from 406 in August. Its claims also reached South Punjab, interior Sindh and Balochistan.
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For over a year, the TTP and AQIS were moving closer. Now they are in open confrontation. Our October Strategic Messaging militant media intelligence assessment issue tracks the fallout across militant media. Out later this week.
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The BLF's new all-female unit is built to fight repeatedly, not to die in one attack. Its stated targets: the Pakistani army and "patriarchal social structures" in Baloch society.
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The Baloch insurgency has a new kind of fighting force. Our next Strategic Messaging piece, "Karima's Heirs," looks at what it signals for the conflict. Out Wednesday.
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Sept 28-Oct 4: Pakistan struck militant camps in Afghanistan's Kunar and Helmand; government-PTI talks deadlocked as PTI's long march began.
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This week at The Durand Dispatch: 2 new pieces on a police boycott in Bannu and a contest over militant authority. A thread.
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Strategic Messaging Spotlight: A Contest Over Authority
The TTP faces legitimacy challenges from Jamaat-ul-Ahrar and a recruitment push from ISKP.
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Pakistan's militant groups are now fighting over who holds rightful authority. A 29-page ruling against the TTP chief, an ISKP defection campaign and a rare appeal for unity. Our new Strategic Messaging Spotlight:
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Sept Kohat mosque bombing: soon after, the Pakistani Taliban Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, & Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent disowned it.
What the fallout reveals about jihadist rivalries in Pakistan & the collapse of Pakistan-Afghanistan ties, in @ConversationUS w/ Saif Tahir:
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Pakistan's militant groups are not only fighting the state. They are fighting each other over who holds rightful authority. Our Strategic Messaging Spotlight is out later this week.
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On Aug 25, police in Bannu boycotted duty after transfer orders spiraled into a province-wide standoff. Our new piece on what it reveals about KP's police force is live now: duranddispatch.com/the-bannu…
Security in Afghanistan and Pakistan moves fast. Our Security Monitor gives you a daily roundup of militancy, counterterrorism ops, border security, and policy developments. Free Observer members get full access, plus a Monday bulletin. duranddispatch.com/security-…
Mahrang Baloch was a Nobel Peace Prize nominee. Now she is serving a life sentence, convicted in a closed trial held inside the jail where she was detained. Our new Perspectives piece asks what her removal means for the movement she built, and who leads it next.
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