I worked out the expected value of tagging big accounts on X:
1. @elonmusk, repost worth £50k+, odds 1 in 5,000, value £10+ per post
2. @Ryanair, repost worth £500 to £5k, odds 1 in 15,000, value 3p to 33p per post
3. @Duolingo, repost worth £500 to £5k, odds 1 in 20,000, value 2p to 25p per post
4. @KFC_UKI, repost worth £50 to £500, odds 1 in 20,000, value 0.25p to 2.5p per post
5. @McDonalds, repost worth £2k to £20k, odds 1 in 25,000, value 8p to 80p per post
6. @Wendys, repost worth £1k to £15k, odds 1 in 25,000, value 4p to 60p per post
7. @nasa, repost worth £50k+, odds 1 in 50,000, value £1+ per post
8. @MrBeast, repost worth £25k+, odds 1 in 75,000, value 33p+ per post
9. @BBCSport, repost worth £5k to £50k, odds 1 in 75,000, value 7p to 67p per post
10. @X, repost worth £50k+, odds 1 in 100,000, value 50p+ per post
Total expected value of this post: about £15 and it took me 1 minute 😅
Just worked out the odds of mentioning the top 10 accounts on X and getting a reply:
1. @elonmusk 236.4m followers 1 in 5,000
2. @barackobama 119.2m 1 in 500,000
3. @realdonaldtrump 110.7m 1 in 100,000
4. @narendramodi 106.5m 1 in 500,000
5. @cristiano 106.0m 1 in 250,000
6. @rihanna 96.6m 1 in 500,000
7. @justinbieber 89.9m 1 in 500,000
8. @nasa 89.7m 1 in 50,000
9. @katyperry 85.6m 1 in 500,000
10. @taylorswift13 79.2m 1 in 1,000,000
Best shot? Weirdly, Elon.
Worst shot? Taylor Swift.
Will anyone prove me wrong?
Imagine you own a business and one of your customers constantly attacks you personally, tries to close you down, stops you from travelling, creates new laws against you and still uses your service almost daily.
Would you think they had a mental illness 😳.
Elon Musk puts up with that from the UK government and just laughs it off and takes their money lol.
A roulette wheel (proven to be completely random) has just hit
RED 8 times in a row.
Are you still backing RED…
or switching to BLACK?
0%Black
100%Red
1 votes • Final resultsYou see this all the time…
Roulette:
“Loads of reds… next one has to be black.”
Football:
“Been loads of unders lately… over 2.5 is due.”
No. It isn’t.
The wheel doesn’t remember.
The game doesn’t owe you goals.
Every spin. Every match. Independent.
But I reckon 80% of people still think like this… and it’s exactly why the bookies & casinos clean up.
It’s called the gambler’s fallacy — and once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
Drives me mad 😂
1 in 5 Brits are building their next business over a pint. Pubs aren't just serving drinks - they're serving as innovation labs. Darwin and Dickens knew it. Modern entrepreneurs are rediscovering it.
100M FXRP minted isn't the story, it's what this represents. XRP can now participate in DeFi strategies it never could before.
From 430,000 to 31.8 million crypto tokens in 5 years. Then 11.6 million collapsed in 2025 alone. When markets get flooded with solutions that solve nothing, Darwin always wins.
Base just burned their bridges with Optimism to build their own tech stack. $3.85B locked shows the confidence. When platforms prioritize independence over partnerships, the real question is: are they building for scale or control?
#ReformUK #RestoreBritain - The names are too similar.
Maybe it’s worth a rethink on the name, #RupertLowe . Something that stands apart and signals honesty and direction:
Clarity
Lucent
Candor
Aletheia
Veritas
Forge
Lumina
A strong name that is different, clear & memorable.
