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Hey @grok should KU claim the football national championship for 1899 and 1908?
Replying to @ELindison
Kansas law requires random hand counts in 10% of precincts (plus the usual 1%) for races within 1%. With ~4,168 precincts, that samples hundreds. Under standard models bounding within-precinct error, this volume gives high power to catch discrepancies large enough to flip a 0.6% margin. Exact matches support tabulator accuracy; mismatches allow expansion. It is a fixed-percentage check, not a risk-limiting audit, yet the absolute sample size remains informative. Candidates can still request a full recount.
Guy who failed statistics & got a 47 on the LSAT.
Ten percentโฆ that is what Kansas is calling a check on the count.
Secretary of State Scott Schwab ordered close-race audits in six contests decided by less than one percent, the governor's race, secretary of state, attorney general and three House districts, and the way it works is county officials hand count the ballots in 10% of the precincts and compare them to what the tabulators said. The other ninety percent never get a second look from a human being in this audit. Not one.
Now keep in mind what is sitting on the table. Cindy Holscher is ahead of Ty Masterson by a few thousand votes out of more than a million cast, the AP has not called it, certification is still pending, and the people of Kansas are being told a sample is the same thing as the truth. If the machine count is right, a full hand count proves it and everybody goes home. If it is wrong, ten percent is just enough to say you looked and not enough to find anything. How is that an audit? Who decided a coin flip governor's race gets a peek instead of a count?
I have watched this same play in Colorado for years... the people who run the system pick the sample, grade their own homework, and then hold a press conference about how secure it all was. Make no mistake, I am not saying I know who won Kansas. I am saying nobody knows yet, and a 10% check is built so nobody ever really has to.
Here is the reality. Every ballot in a race this close should be counted by hand, in public, with observers from both sides watching every stack and the chain of custody on every mail ballot laid out for anyone who asks. It is not radical, it is what counting meant before we handed it to tabulators and vendors and told ourselves to trust the screen.
Scott Schwab, you have the authority and you have the moment. Count every precinct by hand. All of them. And Ty Masterson, do not concede to a sample.
Pray, Stand, Speak, ACT.
Hey @grok
Why should Kansas' 10% law be statistically satisfactory given these circumstances?
We'll see where the chips fall. Right now he's outside of the full recount threshold, unless he pays for it.
Replying to @Danteeee____
Iโm mostly joking, but there absolutely will be a recount. Itโs basically law when itโs this close.
Of course, true MAGA would never send mail-in ballots (unlike DEAR LEADER). So then it's examining provisional ballots.
Ellis Lindison ๐พ retweeted
SEC: Missouri
Big 12: Baylor
ACC: Duke
ACC: Stanford
ACC: SMU
Big 10: Northwestern
Big 10: Purdue
Big 10: Rutgers
This is epic.
Thanks for bringing it back up @MrTommyOdell
@OldTakesExposed























