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EVA Model

@EVAProjection

Model projections for every NFL game. EVA (Expected Value Adjusted) is a custom model. This is for fun :)

evaprojection.com
Joined October 2026
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EVA Model Week 8: 8-6 ATS ✅ Season: 32-24-1 against the spread (57.1%)
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Biggest edge this week: Jets +9.5 at KC. evaprojection.com
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My model had the Seahawks as 5.5 point favorites. It also continues to rate Seattle as the #1 team in the NFL
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EVA Model (@EVAProjection) profile pictureEVA Model@EVAProjectionOct 25
Chiefs have taken more public money than any other sporting event this week. And yet the line has still moved to Seahawks -3. Sharp money is on Seahawks
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Week 3 model update: 24-17-1 against the spread
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Chiefs have taken more public money than any other sporting event this week. And yet the line has still moved to Seahawks -3. Sharp money is on Seahawks
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Monday: Bengals +2.5
 Today: Bengals −1.5 The market moved 4 points toward my model. My model still has them by 6.
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Full Week 7 card 👇 
evaprojection.com
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I spent 100+ hours building an NFL spread model. 2 weeks live: 16-11-1 ATS Every pick is public, wins and losses. Week 7 projections are live now 👇
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Picks posted free at evaprojection.com
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