Reformed crypto degenerate turned horse racing maximalist. Solving difficult problems using statistics since 1998.
The industrial North
Joined October 2023
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Another new strategy: βTested Connectionsβ - this strategy reads insider information from our proprietary whisper network.
- picks 2.1 horses per day
- median starting price 5.0
- last 7 day strike rate: 56%
Beta testers and VIPs give it a follow π
app2.eachway.ai/league/ew-a-β¦
The βValue Line Β·Β Daily double, Dominant consensus, Win and placeβ, while still new has been smashing it.
app2.eachway.ai/league/ew-a-β¦
The cryptographically sealed, public bet ledger is coming soon.
1) copy a link and give it to your AI
2) it will review the ledger independently
3) it will return an independent verdict
Introducing provably honest results for all betting strategies.
The βValue Line Β·Β Daily double, Dominant consensus, Win and placeβ, while still new has been smashing it.
app2.eachway.ai/league/ew-a-β¦
Yesterdayβs update introduced some bugs which we are ironing out now and putting checks in place to prevent them from happening again.
The bugs only affects displayed information in the UI.
All predictions are correct and without issue.
Great post
HOW BETTING SYNDICATES THINK: THE TONY BLOOM CASE
Tony Bloom, known as The Lizard, is one of the most successful professional sports bettors in the world. Through Starlizard, he built a betting operation that approaches football betting more like financial trading than traditional gambling.
More recently, a 2025 High Court case brought claims that his betting operation generated approximately Β£600 million in annual winnings.
But perhaps the most interesting part of his story is how he thinks.
In his early days, Bloom admitted that he wasn't particularly good at betting.
"Early on I was a hopeless gambler really. I liked to think that I understood the form and had a strategy but I was just guessing really."
That admission tells us a lot. Understanding football and knowing how to beat betting markets are two completely different things.
Bloom eventually realised that discipline, mathematics and a structured approach were essential.
As he once explained:
"I wanted to gamble because I enjoyed it and, therefore, I needed to do it properly in order to win."
That philosophy became the foundation of his approach.
SO, HOW DOES HE LOOK AT THE BETTING MARKET?
One of his most interesting observations concerns injuries:
"A lot of otherwise good gamblers may read too much into injuries. Sometimes the odds can get too skewed because one or two players are out. When I analyse situations, I don't want to go overboard on one side."
This is a particularly important point.
The market doesn't always react proportionally to new information. Sometimes a piece of news creates an overreaction, and that's where opportunities can emerge.
Bloom also believes in calculated aggression:
"I believe in betting aggressively. And, occasionally, to win big, you have to risk losing."
This isn't about blindly taking bigger risks. It's about being prepared to commit when the numbers justify it.
Another important part of the Starlizard philosophy is the search for value across different football markets.
Rather than focusing exclusively on the biggest competitions, the operation has historically analysed leagues around the world, including markets where bookmakers may have less information and pricing may be less efficient.
Its approach is built around developing independent odds, comparing them with the market and identifying discrepancies worth acting on.
And perhaps the most important distinction is this:
Bloom doesn't judge a bet by whether it wins or loses.
He judges whether the decision was right based on the information and probabilities available at the time.
THE BIGGEST LESSON FROM TONY BLOOM?
"At university I made myself a promise that I would become fiercely disciplined."
That discipline, combined with a willingness to question market prices, is what separates professional betting operations from ordinary punting.
The real business isn't predicting football.
It's understanding probabilities, identifying mistakes in the market and having the discipline to act when the price is right.
That's how betting syndicates think
Well you canβt win βem all.
Butβ¦
- Independent self-improving loops.
Andβ¦
- a genetic algorithm performing evolutionary search
Guarantees performance improvements over time.
Iβm fixing and rerunning the pipeline. Chelmsford location data was missing and the weather report triggered a failure which led to the entire downstream pipeline failing for Chelmsford.
Full predictions will be live soon.
