Development/ political economist at the University of Stuttgart
Stuttgart, Germany
Joined February 2022
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Richard Bluhm retweeted
🧵1/ Robustness checks used to be expensive. AI has made them cheap and I think that's changing what economists are willing to claim. Here's a thread on what I'm calling "the reverse garden of forking paths".
Richard Bluhm retweeted
New research using hundreds of administrative reforms worldwide shows that cities that become regional capitals grow faster, especially where political status and market access reinforce one another. voxdev.org/topic/macroeconom…
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Evidence from Kenya’s index-based livestock insurance programme shows that satellite-triggered payouts reduce drought-induced conflict by around 25% – and prevent enough deaths to justify the programme’s subsidies on those grounds alone.
ALT The impact of drought on conflict declined as the rollout progressed
🆕 Can insurance prevent conflict between herders and farmers?
Today on VoxDev, @KaiGehring1 (@unibern) & @PaulSchaudt (@LeuvenEconomics) discuss how a livestock insurance scheme reduced drought-induced conflict in Kenya: voxdev.org/topic/agriculture…
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Our Paper "The Political Geography of Cities" is out @AEAjournals.
Here is a very nice summary by Christos Makridis on LinkedIn:
@PaulSchaudt @EconBluhm
Link to paper: aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.12…
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Unser Paper „The Political Geography of Cities“ ist im American Economic Journal: Applied Economics erschienen.
@EconBluhm, @PaulSchaudt und ich haben eine lange Reise mit dem Projekt hinter uns.
Ein Thread zur Forschung und möglichen Politikimplikationen:
1/n
Richard Bluhm retweeted
#QJE May 2026, #7, “Insuring Peace: Index-Based Livestock Insurance, Droughts, and Conflict,” by Gehring (@KaiGehring1) and Schaudt (@PaulSchaudt): doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjag005
Richard Bluhm retweeted
The State of Development Journals 2025: Quality, Acceptance Rates, Review Times, Open Access, and What’s New blogs.worldbank.org/en/impac…
Richard Bluhm retweeted
I cannot resist reposting this.... Stock market crashed indeed led to retreat on tariffs (presented, as forecast, as a major victory... The art of the deal), and a stock market jump...
But am I the only one to think that things are not rosy, that the conflict with China is going to be very damaging, and that we get at least 90 days of considerable uncertainty? Could it be that the stock market overreacted the other way today?
The usual conundrum about the interaction between economic policy and the stock market.
The stock market crash is going to put pressure on the Trump administration to retreat on tariffs (at least, de facto. I am sure the rhetoric will be triumphant).
My guess is that the retreat will be partial and messy, with more retreat against players with more bargaining power (China perhaps excepted).
But, if so, maybe the retreat means that the future may not be as bad as it might have been, and the crash may be excessive. 😊 To be monitored.
Richard Bluhm retweeted
The usual conundrum about the interaction between economic policy and the stock market.
The stock market crash is going to put pressure on the Trump administration to retreat on tariffs (at least, de facto. I am sure the rhetoric will be triumphant).
My guess is that the retreat will be partial and messy, with more retreat against players with more bargaining power (China perhaps excepted).
But, if so, maybe the retreat means that the future may not be as bad as it might have been, and the crash may be excessive. 😊 To be monitored.
Richard Bluhm retweeted
1/13 It's curious that Trump's tariff hikes are the largest since the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 widely seen as one of the worst policy blunders in US history. They were enacted at the onset of the Great Depression. A thread 🧵
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Nice to see this in print in @JUrbanEcon! How do official Chinese-funded infrastructure projects diffuse economic activity in developing countries? Strongest effects in least-developed regions and near cities. 1/2 sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Focusing for a moment on the POLICIES at play.
Voters were asked whether they supported 100 different policies, but weren't told whether the policy was from Trump or Harris.
Nearly all of Harris' policies got majority support from the public, and... 🧵
Richard Bluhm retweeted
🚨JOB OPPORTUNITIES 🚨
We are looking for an assistant professor (fixed-term) and PostDocs (1-2 yrs) for our new Political Economy of Global Development Lab with @EconBluhm @AngelikaBudjan @Uni_Stuttgart
Job Posting here: ivr.uni-stuttgart.de/en/eco/…
Please RT widely
Richard Bluhm retweeted
We had a Urban/Regional Econ workshop this week at @ifo_Institut ! Great papers, good discussions, and most importantly, a very fun crowd.
Thanks @StephanHeblich , Oliver and Sebastian for organizing it with me and all the participants who travelled to München! @CESifoNetwork – at Munich, Bavaria
Richard Bluhm retweeted
APPLY NOW for an Assistant Professor, Postdoc, or PhD position at my Chair at @uniGoettingen @wiwigoettingen , linked to our new project "Tapping innovative data sources to analyze the impact of authoritarian states on global development"; details here 👇 #econjobs
Richard Bluhm retweeted
Something doesn’t add up here: #ECB wants to continue targeting 2% inflation, but expects more often adverse supply shocks. Short thread 🧵 1/N
Richard Bluhm retweeted
I have one additional predoc opening @SIAW_HSG to work on topics in political economy, natural resources, and urbanization. Application deadline is August 10th, 2024.
Richard Bluhm retweeted
🚨JOB OPPORTUNITIES🚨
We are looking for a PhD student and assistant professor (fixed-term) for our new Political Economy of Global Development Lab @Uni_Stuttgart
Job Posting here ivr.uni-stuttgart.de/dokumen… and ivr.uni-stuttgart.de/dokumen…
Please RT widely
Richard Bluhm retweeted
In the spirit of the olden days of #EconTwitter, I thought I’d write down some notes on finishing up my first year on the tenure track (in a liberal arts setting) in economics. These will be in no particular order and kind of stream of conscious. Let’s have a convo about it! 1/N