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Joined October 2023
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Guidance was a beat and raise and the mgt team guide for their first positive adj EBITDA quarter in Q4
Massive Milestone
Semis-analysis says we’re just getting started
Citrini says we’re at the top
Both owned by the same guy… talk about hedging your bets
We’re past the mid-terms
Yields have fallen from 5.3% to 4.8%
Oil is well below $100
So why aren’t stocks reacting positively?
The market is repricing earnings
I’m expecting $12-14 in S&P 500 earnings revisions over the next 1-2 months from analysts
The S&P is basically every job site.
Five guys doing all the work while everybody else holds a shovel
AppLovin bought back approximately 1.21% of its total shares outstanding during Q3 2026
That is a 4.75% annualised rate
Mgt is really taking advantage of this dip
$APP
Classic Applovin $APP
Generate a ton of cash and give it all back to shareholders
The board also approved another $3.2B in share buybacks
Q4 guidance is also a massive beat!!!
Revenue: $2.38B vs $2.25B
Adj EBITDA: $2B vs $1.88B
$APP
This is insane!!!
Current analysts forecast Anthropic to generate $118B in free cash flow by 2030
Based on the present value of FCF, including cash and net debt
My fair value for $ANT is $92 based on 14.5B shares outstanding
market cap = $92 x 14.5B
market cap = $1.33T
Gina Hinojosa is looking like Texas’ newest governor
Here is her stance on data centre
- If companies ask for no subsidies, promise a ton of union jobs, and guarantee that water and electricity costs won't rise/plus add supply, data centers can be built under her governorship
