FreeFX (@FreeFX10) header
FreeFX (@FreeFX10) profile picture

I am Francesco, I started learning about trading in 2012 and have been sharing my journey since then. I will sell you nothing and want nothing back.

Joined February 2021
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"To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate" Jesse Livermore
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Happy new year, @mommavestor ! I hope that you had a wonderful Xmas! Here is to a prosperous 2024!
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Do you agree with Robert Downey Jr here?
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It's September. Historically, this is the typical period of tumult for the $SPX and the start of the volatility swell in $VIX. It's always possible that 'this time is different' but important never to be complacent in the market
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I'm tuning into @anthonycrudele and @austinsilverfx @RealEdgeClear live on 8/30 at 12PM EST as they discuss The Ultimate Guide to Getting Funded. Set an alert to watch: bit.ly/GettingFundedAS Anthony, sei un mito!!!
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Based on a system / idea that I am building, this is a rough projection for EUR/USD (orange boxed area). It will be interesting to see how the theory works and if heading further into the 'summer doldrums' will cause stalling or more selling/buying:
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Approx. 160 pips move down from the daily highs... This is what it looks like now:
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@JStanleyFX @STA_ORG EUR/USD has entered the upper bounds of my target area, three trading days after the end of my target window... Not bad for a first test of the model:
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Checking my overnight trades, I see that DIRECTION IS NOW DOWN, HEDGE ON. Sector Timing down to 17 of 30 sectors long and that exposure is hedged. Still short NQ futures which has been very profitable. For me & my portfolio, I now go to risk off, protection mode. We'll see how far this down move goes as it plays out. No predictions. Just ridin' the trend and enjoying the ride. enjoytheride.world/hedging/
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The issue is that a correction can potentially end up being a crash but cheesecake... well.. I sure wish it could end up being a veggie once it's in my stomach!
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Coming from a common person's perspective, and hanging around the Austrian school's @mises playground, I think it is fair to not only expect but wish for market 'crashes' when markets ignore the economic reality of Main Street: buoyancy built on thin air must not be encouraged.
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The man who has predicted 20 of the last 2 market selloffs, Michael Burry, bought puts on $SPY and $QQQ worth more than $1.6 Billion which now make up more than 93% of his portfolio 👀
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Yields up, $DXY up, stonks up. You guys is nuts.
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US recession or not debate continues. News searches for 'soft landing' continue to climb, but the 2/10 (10-year - 2-year Treasury yield) and 3mth/10yr spreads have been inverted - considered a recessionary risk signal - for 57 and 41 weeks respectively....
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2% is a magical number that has magical powers. 🪄
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The Unwind Of A Volatility Trade May Cause Stocks To Fall Further The Week of August 7, 2023 mottcapitalmanagement.com/th… #stocks #stockmarket #markets #trading $aapl $spy $qqq $iwm $spx $dji
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The start of The Unwind... youtu.be/EXVi1dyFQDM Thanks to @MichaelMOTTCM for being the voice of reason...
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