📊What to Expect from NFP?
Analysts estimate an increase of 170,000 new non-farm payroll jobs for January, a sharp decline from the 256,000 in December 2024. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1%, while average hourly earnings growth is anticipated to be +0.3% on a monthly basis.
📈 Will the S&P 500 Maintain Its Positive Trend?
The S&P 500 closed at 6,083.57 points on February 6, up by 0.36%. This positive trend has been supported by expectations of a slowdown in labor market growth, potentially giving the Fed room to cut rates in the coming months. Investors will also closely watch wage growth: an increase above +0.4% monthly could reinforce the notion of an aggressive Fed, creating downward pressure on stocks.
Trump has announced new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, causing turmoil in financial markets 💸. Starting tomorrow, goods from Canada and Mexico will be subject to a 25% tariff, while those from China will face a 10% duty. Global stock markets are declining 📷, with the Nikkei, Kospi, and Taiex dropping. The dollar is strengthening 📷Canadian dollar and Mexican peso hit historic lows; even cryptocurrencies are struggling 📷.
These tariffs could increase prices 📷, reduce purchasing power, and accelerate inflation 📷. Canada and Mexico are responding with , while China might do the same. Analysts predict a decrease in U.S. GDP 📷 and potential recessions for Canada and Mexico.
Economic and geopolitical uncertainty is growing 📷, with Wall Street poised for fluctuations. The Fed must manage inflation without stifling growth. Investors will need to be cautious, preparing for changes in global supply chains 📷.
#TrumpTariffs #Canada #Mexico #China #FinancialMarkets
Last week, the US financial markets 🇺🇸 were dominated by key events. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%, Powell hinted at possible cuts in 2025. The US GDP grew by 2.1% in Q4 2024, below expectations. The quarterly results of the big tech companies showed contrasts: Microsoft 📷<📈e; white-space: inherit; overflow-wrap: break-word; min-width: 0px;"> +2.1%, Tesla 📷 +3.2%, Meta 📷 +6.5%.
To watch this week:
Alphabet (Feb 4): Focus on Google's advertising revenues and cloud business.
Amazon (Feb 6): AWS results and holiday e-commerce sales.
On Friday, Feb 7, eyes on the Non-Farm Payrolls: expected 180,000 new jobs, unemployment at 3.7%, wage growth +4.2% YoY.
#FinancialMarkets #FederalReserve #GDP #BigTech #Alphabet #Amazon #NonFarmPayrolls #Investments #USEconomy
gianluca retweeted
In RICH DADs PROPHECY-2013 I warned the buggiest stock market crash in history was coming. That crash will be in February 2025.
Good news because in a crash everything goes on sale. Cars and houses on sale now.
Better news billions will leave the stock and bond markets and rush into Bitcoin.
Bitcoin will boom, boom, boom.
Get on board while you can.
Get out of fake and into crypto, as well as gold and silver.
Even one Satoshi will make you rich, while millions lose everything.
Take care
RICH DADS PROPHECY coming true.
Today was a day where in ES we played ping pong between levels 5845 and 5910 📊📷. I decided to go Long at 01:00 PM when it seemed like the institutions had finished setting traps for the day 📷📷. I waited for this move all day 📷. Tomorrow there's the CPI, and I predict wider movements 📷
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) stands out for its strategic relevance.
It represents the primary tool for measuring inflation used by the Fed.
The PCE is not just an indicator but a beacon for the Fed's monetary policies in 2025.
For market participants, understanding its implications is crucial for making informed and strategic decisions.
With the advent of the new Trump administration on January 20, we anticipate a significant impact on economic dynamics. Proposed policies could exert inflationary pressures, challenging the Fed's ability to manage the economy through the planned rate cuts.
#FederalReserve #PCE #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy #Trading #Investments #Economy #Trump2025
Next week, all eyes will be on inflation and employment data, which could further guide the Federal Reserve's decisions.
The first moves of the new U.S. government will be crucial. The proposed economic policies could significantly impact market sentiment.
Volatility may continue to be a constant in the weeks ahead, but with it also come opportunities for those who know how to navigate intelligently and cautiously!
#WallStreet #StockMarkets #USAEconomy #Investments #Trump #Volatility #Finance
Nvidia January 2025: From Project Digits to Project Cosmos, automotive and robotics. These innovations will revolutionize AI in 2025. #Nvidia #AI #TechInnovation #Automotive #Robotics
gianluca retweeted
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger call Bitcoin “rat droppings.”
What do I think?
Buffett and Munger are very old, very rich men. Why should I care what they think about Bitcoin?
Most importantly I’d “What do you think about Bitcoin?”
I agree with Buffett and Munger when they advise all investors “To know, study, and understand what you invest in.”
I like, study and listen to people smarter than me…. When it comes to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin, real estate, gold, and silver have made me very rich and I plan on getting richer.
What’s your plan?
Happy New Year
gianluca retweeted
Happy New Year!
I wish you love and harmony and a prosperous 2025.
I'm back trading live on YouTube on the 6th January 2025.
Yours sincerely,
Tom ❤️
In 2025, #AI will be ubiquitous, transforming sectors like healthcare, manufacturing, and finance. But with great power comes great responsibility: ethics, privacy, and security are the challenges to tackle. #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #Innovation
"Nel 2025, l'#AI sarà onnipresente, trasformando settori come sanità, manifattura e finanza. Ma con grandi poteri arrivano grandi responsabilità: etica, privacy e sicurezza sono le sfide da affrontare. #IntelligenzaArtificiale #Tecnologia #Innovazione
gianluca retweeted
The BEST NEWS is: America may have 12 more years of financial prosperity: 4-years of Donald Trump 8-years of JD Vance….but do not take a break…. Do not believe the academic liberal-left will go on vacation. They want The Donald and JD dead.
I want them alive. Please stay awake and let’s give thanks for people like Donald and JD who will risk their lives for our freedoms.
In 1972 I returned to America and was greetedx with rotten eggs and spit on by Woodstock generation hippies and peaceniks such as salad mouth Kamala Harris, Tampon Tim, Bernie Sanders, Nancy Pelisi, and AOC.
Our most important job is to make sure these Marxists stay away from honest people like you and me.
Take care. God bless America.
gianluca retweeted
Yay Trump wins: He now faces his toughest job…. a global economy that is collapsing. Glad he won for he is the best….possibly the only person who is prepared for the economic world and wars that lie ahead.
Pray for a great man….possibly the greatest President of all time.
gianluca retweeted
Many day traders fail, because they arent thinking like day traders. Only 3 things matter intraday: 1) The next intraday level to buy/sell 2) How To Manage It 3) What the intraday trend is/where it flips. Everything else is for swing traders, investors, economists & will cost you












