Your personal Nostradamus. Multi-agent AI forecasting for future outcomes using game theory, Fermi estimation, and statistical analysis. A @SitDeck company.
Chicago, IL
Joined July 2020
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Now forecasting: How many U.S. states will have court-ordered polling-hour extensions because of disruptions during the November 3, 2026, general election?
Two or three states: 39%
Different pick? Quote this with yours.
gameout.ai/runs/2dd10314-0b8…
Now forecasting: Will California Proposition 39, which requires government-issued identification for in-person voting and identifying information for mail ballots, receive a majority of votes cast…
Our number: 12% (unlikely)
gameout.ai/runs/51282dcd-be1…
Now forecasting: Who will win New York’s gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026?
Kathy Hochul: 94%
Different pick? Quote this with yours.
gameout.ai/runs/3d71f638-4b5…
Updated: Will Apple announce a MacBook Pro with a touchscreen by October 31, 2026?
Now 46% (roughly even), down from 84%
Where do you land? Quote this with your number.
gameout.ai/runs/6b606c07-f6d…
Will senior United States and Iranian representatives hold a diplomatic meeting between October 27 and November 30, 2026?
Our number: 4% (very unlikely)
gameout.ai/runs/36939158-611…
Will the FDA publicly confirm approval of deramiocel for upper limb function in Duchenne muscular dystrophy by November 30, 2026?
Our number: 2% (very unlikely)
gameout.ai/runs/31dfac8e-e3b…
Who will win the United States Senate election in Illinois on November 3, 2026?
Juliana Stratton: 97%
gameout.ai/runs/a4b51d51-69b…
Will Anthropic make a Fable model designated version 5.2 or higher publicly available by October 31, 2026?
Our number: 1% (very unlikely)
gameout.ai/runs/c5c103f1-a71…
The calls we're most sure about right now.
Each one is dated, stays up, and gets scored when it settles. Think one of these is wrong? Quote it.
All our forecasts:
gameout.ai/our-forecasts
Now forecasting: Will California Proposition 40, the billionaire tax measure, pass in the November 3, 2026 election?
Our number: 6% (unlikely)
Where do you land? Quote this with your number.
gameout.ai/runs/c42e9c86-d58…
Now forecasting: Will Jon Ossoff win Georgia's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, including any runoff against Mike Collins on December 1, 2026?
Our number: 91% (very likely)
Where do you land? Quote this with your number.
gameout.ai/runs/c2d79b30-801…
Now forecasting: Will Katie Hobbs defeat Andy Biggs by winning Arizona’s gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026?
Our number: 84% (likely)
Taking the other side? Quote this and tell us why.
gameout.ai/runs/8c66664f-d77…
Now forecasting: Which party will hold at least 218 seats in the United States House of Representatives when the new Congress begins on January 3, 2027?
Democratic Party: 83%
Think we have the wrong favorite? Quote this and say why.
gameout.ai/runs/573199e0-c5b…
Updated: Which team will win the 2026 MLB World Series, with a winner declared by December 31…
Milwaukee Brewers: now 94%, up from 79%
Think we have the wrong favorite? Quote this and say why.
gameout.ai/runs/cfdb3b0c-ba2…
What should we forecast next?
Reply with a question about a real event: something with a date, and a public source that will settle it. We'll game out some of the best ones in public.
In GameOut, you create forecasts by chatting with an AI agent.
Its job is to define the scope and question of the forecast job with surgical precision.
As you chat, it proposes structured "Forecast Cards" that you can refine through conversation.
Once you're satisfied, click "Game it out" to launch the forecast.
That's it. Your participation ends there. The rest is automated.
About 1-3 hours and 3-4 million tokens later, your forecast is delivered.
Check out our public predictions: gameout.ai/our-forecasts
Now forecasting: Who will win the Ohio gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026?
Amy Acton: 66%
Who's your pick? Quote this and tell us why.
gameout.ai/runs/c63c8b4c-935…
New forecast: Will Apple announce a MacBook Pro with a touchscreen by October 31, 2026?
Our number: 84% (likely)
Where do you land? Quote this with your number.
gameout.ai/runs/6b606c07-f6d…
Now forecasting: Which team will win the 2026 MLB World Series, with a winner declared by December 31, 2026?
Milwaukee Brewers: 79%
Different pick? Quote this with yours.
gameout.ai/runs/cfdb3b0c-ba2…
New forecast: Will the Strait of Hormuz reach a seven-day average of at least 60 ship transits on any date from October 27 through November 30, 2026?
Our number: 1% (very unlikely)
gameout.ai/runs/d8145557-e3d…
