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Joined October 2023
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What did prediction markets get right and wrong on Election Day? Tune in for the season finale of the Prediction Market Desk with @HedgeyeAI and @HedgeyeDC xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/2rJqabOnL…
🚨 TODAY AT 11 AM ET
Chief Political Strategist JT Taylor @HedgeyeDC and analyst Ryan Ricci @HedgeyeAI close out The Prediction Market Desk.
JT and Ryan go through what the markets got right, what they missed, and what traders are already pricing for 2028.
Ryan Ricci retweeted
Replying to @KeithMcCullough
Having Trend and Tail levels in the “Monthly Trend and Tail” tab is quite the tool in the toolbox.✅👊
🚨 TODAY AT 11AM ET
AI Bubbles Crashing.
Join Hedgeye CEO @KeithMcCullough and Macro Analyst Ryan Ricci for a special Cyber November webcast on preparing for Quad 4, where we see risk and where we see opportunity.
Watch FREE, Live or On-Demand:
The Prediction Market Desk | Final Midterms Preview xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1XxygwWne…
🚨 We're going live in 15 minutes
The Prediction Market Desk | Final Election Preview
Hedgeye’s Chief Political Strategist JT Taylor @HedgeyeDC and Macro analyst Ryan Ricci @HedgeyeAI will read American politics through the lens of prediction markets ahead of the 2026 U.S. midterm elections.
Ryan Ricci retweeted
Replying to @KeithMcCullough
"There are no mistakes, only learning." The Macro Show Dashboard Summary today was excellent. The content via the Hedgeye Dashboard just keeps improving and helping me generate alpha. So big thank u! @KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeDJ @HedgeyeAI @Hedgeye
Do Podcasts Predict Elections? A Data-Driven Study
🔊
On the latest episode of The Prediction Market Desk, Macro analyst Ryan Ricci @HedgeyeAI walked through a study testing whether podcast sentiment predicts where prediction markets move.
The premise is that people vote with their ears long before they get to the booth, so Ricci collected 976 episodes from the top podcasters with full YouTube shows over the past year, transcribed them, and ran them through an algorithm to score sentiment back to December.
The finding is that those sentiment scores lead Kalshi and the betting markets, with Trump criticism rising sharply in early January around the Iran war and leading the odds of Democrats taking the Senate at a 0.74 correlation.
Betrayal sentiment, podcasters who were active in electing Trump now saying they felt betrayed, spiked in that same January window and again in September.
One tell for the midterms, Ricci noted, is that the races barely came up in recent weeks, which may point to independents being unmotivated heading into the vote.
To watch the full episode, click here: app.hedgeye.com/events/18853…
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Here is a question that you can only receive from @Hedgeye Macro Theme presentation or updated weekly in our Big Theme product.
What happens when the funding layer turns bearish trend?
What breaks first?
Answer: The bottom layers start going bearish trend, sub for that update
Ryan Ricci retweeted
Ryan burned through a LOT of Claude credits to help create this data series 😆 Seriously, you should check it out. You won't find this angle on the U.S. midterms anywhere else. Watch for FREE now! app.hedgeye.com/events/18853…
The Prediction Market Desk will be live with @HedgeyeDC at 11am today.
I built a new data set for the people. Ever wonder what sentiment was like for your top podcasts and how that front runs elections?
People vote with their listening hours long before they get to any booth.
Join us live now for the latest on the moves in the U.S. midterm races with JT Taylor and @HedgeyeAI
app.hedgeye.com/events/18853…
Ryan Ricci retweeted
It's 5:10AM and The Rooster @HedgeyeAI and I are cranking
The NYSE welcomes @HedgeyeAM to highlight its NYSE-Listed funds!
$HBIT | $HECA | $HEFT | $HGRO xitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1vJpPNmke…
















