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Sports bettor | Analyzing & adapting for long-term success | @Tails_Picks | 2024: +52.06 | 2025: +75.45 | picks earlier and tracking 👇🏻 1 un scale 🇺🇸 🇧🇷

Florida, USA
Joined February 2024
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PICKS ⚽️ 🇩🇿 Khenchela 🆚 Rouisset BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 🇨🇱 San Luis 🆚 San Marcos de Arica BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 GL today #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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HugPicks retweeted
Drogheda United vs Bohemians BTTS (-135 | 1.74) Drogheda United (Home): 
⚔️ ATTACK
• Scored in 7/7 last home games
• Avg goals scored: 1.57/game | CV: 0.464
• Avg shots/game: 11.1 | Shots per goal: 7.1
• Shots inside box: 55% of total shots 🎯 OPPONENT STRENGTH
• Avg opponent odd: 2.89 | Today’s opponent: 1.71 (facing stronger opponent than usual) 📈 xG
xG_Odds: 1.48 🛡️ DEFENSE
• Conceded in 5/7 games, avg 1.71 goals conceded | CV: 0.745
• Shots conceded/game: 11.0 total | 4.3 on target | 6.6 inside box 📋 RECORD
• BTTS in 5/7 games (71%) Bohemians (Away): 
⚔️ ATTACK
• Scored in 7/7 last away games
• Avg goals scored: 2.29/game | CV: 0.508
• Avg shots/game: 14.7 | Shots per goal: 6.4
• Shots inside box: 69% of total shots 🎯 OPPONENT STRENGTH
• Avg opponent odd: 3.01 | Today’s opponent: 4.50 (facing weaker opponent than usual) 📈 xG
xG 2.09 🛡️ DEFENSE
• Conceded in 6/7 games, avg 1.86 goals conceded | CV: 0.671
• Shots conceded/game: 10.9 total | 4.3 on target | 6.9 inside box 📋 RECORD
• BTTS in 6/7 games (86%) 
Both teams show good attacking power and also concede regularly, which makes this a classic matchup for goals from both sides. Calculated BTTS Probability: 70.4%
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Drogheda United vs Bohemians BTTS (-135 | 1.74) Drogheda United (Home): 
⚔️ ATTACK
• Scored in 7/7 last home games
• Avg goals scored: 1.57/game | CV: 0.464
• Avg shots/game: 11.1 | Shots per goal: 7.1
• Shots inside box: 55% of total shots 🎯 OPPONENT STRENGTH
• Avg opponent odd: 2.89 | Today’s opponent: 1.71 (facing stronger opponent than usual) 📈 xG
xG_Odds: 1.48 🛡️ DEFENSE
• Conceded in 5/7 games, avg 1.71 goals conceded | CV: 0.745
• Shots conceded/game: 11.0 total | 4.3 on target | 6.6 inside box 📋 RECORD
• BTTS in 5/7 games (71%) Bohemians (Away): 
⚔️ ATTACK
• Scored in 7/7 last away games
• Avg goals scored: 2.29/game | CV: 0.508
• Avg shots/game: 14.7 | Shots per goal: 6.4
• Shots inside box: 69% of total shots 🎯 OPPONENT STRENGTH
• Avg opponent odd: 3.01 | Today’s opponent: 4.50 (facing weaker opponent than usual) 📈 xG
xG 2.09 🛡️ DEFENSE
• Conceded in 6/7 games, avg 1.86 goals conceded | CV: 0.671
• Shots conceded/game: 10.9 total | 4.3 on target | 6.9 inside box 📋 RECORD
• BTTS in 6/7 games (86%) 
Both teams show good attacking power and also concede regularly, which makes this a classic matchup for goals from both sides. Calculated BTTS Probability: 70.4%
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06/30/2026 (tomorrow) Botafogo-SP vs CRB-AL BTTS (-110 | 1.91) Botafogo-SP (Home): 
Scored in 5/5 recent home games, averaging 1.20 goals per game (CV 0.333). Conceded in 5/5, averaging 1.40 goals (CV 0.350). They take 12.8 shots per game and need 10.7 shots per goal. BTTS in 5/5 (100%). CRB-AL (Away): 
Scored in 4/5 recent away games, averaging 1.60 goals per game (CV 0.637). Conceded in 5/5, averaging 2.00 goals (CV 0.447). They take 15.8 shots per game and need 9.9 shots per goal. BTTS in 4/5 (80%). 
Both teams show good attacking power and also concede regularly, which makes this a classic matchup for goals from both sides. Calculated BTTS Probability: 69.0%
Offered Odds: -110 (1.91) → Solid value! Expect BTTS in this Série B clash. #SerieB #BettingTips
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HugPicks retweeted
06/30/2026 (tomorrow) Botafogo-SP vs CRB-AL BTTS (-110 | 1.91) Botafogo-SP (Home): 
Scored in 5/5 recent home games, averaging 1.20 goals per game (CV 0.333). Conceded in 5/5, averaging 1.40 goals (CV 0.350). They take 12.8 shots per game and need 10.7 shots per goal. BTTS in 5/5 (100%). CRB-AL (Away): 
Scored in 4/5 recent away games, averaging 1.60 goals per game (CV 0.637). Conceded in 5/5, averaging 2.00 goals (CV 0.447). They take 15.8 shots per game and need 9.9 shots per goal. BTTS in 4/5 (80%). 
Both teams show good attacking power and also concede regularly, which makes this a classic matchup for goals from both sides. Calculated BTTS Probability: 69.0%
Offered Odds: -110 (1.91) → Solid value! Expect BTTS in this Série B clash. #SerieB #BettingTips
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Vamooooos caralho!!
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United Nordic vs OddEvol BTTS ( -143 | 1.70 ) ✅
United Nordic vs OddEvol BTTS ( -143 | 1.70 ) United Nordic (Home): In their last 5 home games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +162 (2.62). They scored in 5/5 matches — strong attacking consistency. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.65) and need 8.7 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.84). BTTS in 4/5. OddEvol (Away): In their last 5 away games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +163 (2.63). They scored in 5/5 matches. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.42) and need 8.1 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.63). BTTS in 4/5. Calculated BTTS Probability: 80% Offered Odds: -143 (1.70) → +13.2% Edge (Value Bet!) ⚽ #BTTS #BettingTips
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HugPicks retweeted
United Nordic vs OddEvol BTTS ( -143 | 1.70 ) United Nordic (Home): In their last 5 home games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +162 (2.62). They scored in 5/5 matches — strong attacking consistency. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.65) and need 8.7 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.84). BTTS in 4/5. OddEvol (Away): In their last 5 away games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +163 (2.63). They scored in 5/5 matches. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.42) and need 8.1 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.63). BTTS in 4/5. Calculated BTTS Probability: 80% Offered Odds: -143 (1.70) → +13.2% Edge (Value Bet!) ⚽ #BTTS #BettingTips
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United Nordic vs OddEvol BTTS ( -143 | 1.70 ) United Nordic (Home): In their last 5 home games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +162 (2.62). They scored in 5/5 matches — strong attacking consistency. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.65) and need 8.7 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.84). BTTS in 4/5. OddEvol (Away): In their last 5 away games, they faced opponents with average betting odds of +163 (2.63). They scored in 5/5 matches. They average 1.80 goals per game (CV 0.42) and need 8.1 shots per goal. They conceded an average of 1.60 goals (CV 0.63). BTTS in 4/5. Calculated BTTS Probability: 80% Offered Odds: -143 (1.70) → +13.2% Edge (Value Bet!) ⚽ #BTTS #BettingTips
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🇩🇿 Khenchela 🆚 Rouisset BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 Khenchela (Home) • Scored in 5/6 recent home games • Conceded in 5/6 home games • BTTS in 4/6 recent home matches • 2+ goals in 4/6 home games (xG 1.48) Strong attacking home record but defensively vulnerable. Rouisset (Away) • BTTS in 5/5 recent away games • Conceded 2+ goals in 4/5 of those matches • xG 1.16 on the road Khenchela creates good chances at home and regularly concedes, while Rouisset has a perfect recent BTTS record away and consistently allows multiple goals. This matchup combines home attacking strength with away defensive fragility. both teams scoring is very likely. Solid value at -110/1.91.
PICKS ⚽️ 🇩🇿 Khenchela 🆚 Rouisset BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 🇨🇱 San Luis 🆚 San Marcos de Arica BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 GL today #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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🤣
Joao Fonseca, a nice guy.. but the most overrated player in the last couple of years?
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Picks ⚽️ 🇵🇪 UCV Moquegua 🆚 Universitario de Deportes BTTS Yes → -115 | 1.87 🇧🇷 São Paulo 🆚 Botafogo BTTS Yes → -123 | 1.81 🇧🇷 Mirassol 🆚 Fluminense BTTS Yes → -119 | 1.84 GL today #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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Daily Recap São Paulo 🆚 Botafogo BTTS Yes (-123 / 1.81) ✅ UCV Moquegua 🆚 Universitario de Deportes BTTS Yes (-115 / 1.87) ❌ Mirassol 🆚 Fluminense BTTS Yes (-119 / 1.84) ❌ Total Profit: -1.19 units
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🇮🇪 Derry City 🆚 St. Patrick’s Athletic BTTS Yes → -110 | 1.91 Derry City (Home) • Scored in 7/8 home games • Strong attacking numbers: 16.6 shots per game, xG 2.01 • Conceded in 7/8 home games (xGA 0.97) • BTTS in 6/8 home matches St. Patrick’s Athletic (Away) • Scored in 5/6 recent away games • Creating good chances: 14 shots per game, xG 1.73 • Conceded in their last 4/4 away games • BTTS in 3/3 most recent away matches Derry City is highly offensive at home with excellent xG, but struggles to keep clean sheets. St. Patrick’s Athletic has been consistently scoring away and is on a strong BTTS run on the road. Both teams show clear attacking intent and defensive weaknesses, making this a very likely spot for goals at both ends. Strong value at -110 / 1.91. GL today 🔥 #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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Bang ‼️ Deportes Recoleta vs Cobreloa BTTS -125 | 1.80 ✅
🇨🇱 Deportes Recoleta 🆚 Cobreloa
BTTS Yes → -125 | 1.80 Recoleta (Home)
• Playing at home and need points to stay promotion race
• Scored in 5/6 home games (83%)
• Concede in 4/6 home games (67%)
• xG 1.72 / xGA 1.59 — strong attacking output but leaky defense Cobreloa (Away)
• League leaders, competitive on the road
• Scored in 4/5 away games (Xg 1.22)
• Concede in 4/5 away games (Xga 1.82)
• High BTTS rate away (80%) 
Both teams show defensive fragility lately (Recoleta concede 1.67 at home, Cobreloa 1.80 away). xG suggests ~2.9-3.0 expected goals. Recent form favors an open game with goals at both ends. Strong value at -125 / 1.80 GL today 🔥 #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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🇨🇱 Deportes Recoleta 🆚 Cobreloa
BTTS Yes → -125 | 1.80 Recoleta (Home)
• Playing at home and need points to stay promotion race
• Scored in 5/6 home games (83%)
• Concede in 4/6 home games (67%)
• xG 1.72 / xGA 1.59 — strong attacking output but leaky defense Cobreloa (Away)
• League leaders, competitive on the road
• Scored in 4/5 away games (Xg 1.22)
• Concede in 4/5 away games (Xga 1.82)
• High BTTS rate away (80%) 
Both teams show defensive fragility lately (Recoleta concede 1.67 at home, Cobreloa 1.80 away). xG suggests ~2.9-3.0 expected goals. Recent form favors an open game with goals at both ends. Strong value at -125 / 1.80 GL today 🔥 #BettingPicks #BTTS #FootballBetting #SoccerTips
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