Retired Fixed Income Arbitrage Trader & Bond Mkt Warrior. Content is not advice, views are mine. "They're panicking out there right now, I can feel it" - BRV
Jupiter / Palm Beach FL
Joined July 2012
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If the Fed jacked rates 50 Basis points, it's like an admission of guilt, yeah we screwed up and didn't go 25 in October, and instead gave you more lip service.
Astonishing they still haven't learned their lesson!
#FOMC #FederalReserve #Rates @federalreserve
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Well, Gold is hunting a lower valuation!
Dec Futures now $3,872
#Gold having a very Ugly experience!
The Bull case folks (AKA Central Banks are buying, you should too) have gotten hammered here.
Question now is, has it broken down or has it temporarily overshot the support level (+/- $4,000) just above where it is sitting. BTD folks may have been averaging down while others may have dumped it back out. If it gets comfortable here, it could hunt lower......
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JMO, with today's CPI print, the Fed should have tightened again in October (0.4% M/M). They are offsides yet again.
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Outstanding point!
Nasdaq Dec E-mini Futures are $27,017 right now down $408 point from the HOD $27,425.
Tech is recovering today... that doesn't mean the selling is over
Right before the 2000 dot-com crash, the S&P rallied 12% to reclaim its previous highs...
Those who went max long because “the internet is the future” were right, but still lost 50% over the next 2 years.
To make sure every last bull stayed in (and then got wiped out), we had 3 separate 20% bear market rallies...
Only after everyone was fully shaken out did we bottom in 2002.
It then took ~14 years just to break even on a nominal basis...
And by that point, most developed PTSD and were too scarred to participate in the next bull run.
Lesson: Don't participate in historically overvalued markets, especially not when that overvaluation coincides with the biggest supply crisis in human history
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Charts can be such good tools!
S&P E-Mini 500 Futures hit a low of $7,322.50 which seems to fill the void down to that $7,300
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Less Borrowing, less spending, could translate to help ease rates and inflation
For all the forward-looking concern about fate of data centers, reality is already with us: data center project cancellations in 3Q alone were almost larger than entirety of 2025 and 2024 combined
@BairdStrategas
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You see it all around you
Good Investing gone bad
And usually it's too late when you, realize what you had
And my mind goes back to a girl I left some years ago
$GPUS
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Inquiring minds want to know, where is the electricity to power these coming from.......
BREAKING: Alphabet, $GOOGL, Meta, $META, Microsoft, $MSFT, Amazon, $AMZN, and Oracle, $ORCL, have now disclosed a record $3.3 trillion in future spending commitments.
These are off-balance-sheet commitments covering data-center spending, future equipment purchases, leases, and other obligations.
$GOOGL accounts for the largest amount at $1.06 trillion, with its disclosed commitments surging nearly +700% over the last year.
$META follows at $866 billion, with nearly half tied to data-center leases that have not yet commenced and payment periods extending up to 30 years.
Meanwhile, Microsoft, $MSFT, has $593 billion in commitments, followed by Amazon, $AMZN, at $453 billion, and Oracle, $ORCL, at $322 billion.
The AI infrastructure buildout is creating an unprecedented pipeline of future financial obligations.
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