Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR) header
Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR) profile picture

Aprendiz de Economía y finanzas, fanático de la vida en el campo y admirador de las cosas simples de la vida.

Dónde me necesitan
Joined February 2010
Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)Photo by Cafeteros Chiapanecos (@JULCAOR)
"Cuando muera, mis amigos quizá escriban en mi tumba: "Aquí yace un soñador". Y mis enemigos: "Aquí yace un loco". Pero no habrá quien se atreva a estampar esta inscripción: "Aquí yace un cobarde y traidor a sus ideales"." -Ricardo Flores Magón
1
199
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
Replying to @SpillingTheBean
No reacciona John? Vamos a 3 años q no baja de $250 en bolsa anters, con sólo pensar q Brasil podía tener Café, nos hacían bajar a los $100 sin ninguna esperanza d recuperarse En estos años hemos tocado el alto histórico y creo que lo superaremos nuevamente Paciencia, ganaremos
1
1
4
866
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC LIVE FROM BRAZIL: Reporting DIRECTLY from the field @SpillingTheBean aka The Indiana Jones of Coffee can NOW CONFIRM that the MASSIVE cherry droppings from across #coffee growing regions DID RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION OF THE 2026 HARVEST SIZE with IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES of min 2M-3M bags !! Aug. 18, 2026 (SpillingTheBeans)--Brazil's 2026 final harvest size WAS SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED by cherry droppings !! Despite the multiple and ongoing efforts from the pro-bear camp to downplay the issue of the cherry droppings it remains the BIG PINK ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM as the cherry droppings were WIDELY REPORTED throughout the physical harvest from mid-May to mid/end-Aug from across arabica growing regions including Brazil's TOP #CAFE growing region of Southern Minas as well as many parts of Sao Paulo, Alta Mogiana and the Cerrado Mineiro, so 3 days into the 3000km+ Oct. 16-Nov 1, 2026 Brazil Coffee Crop Tour by @SpillingTheBean initial conclusions backed up by solid data based on crop delivery to warehouses and figures from top agronomists and producers in Southern Minas reveal that; 1-Those arguing that Brazil's 2026 #coffee harvest size was not being impacted by the VAST volumes of extremely low-quality coffee are simply NOT TELLING THE TRUTH!! The 2026 #coffee harvest in Brazil WAS REDUCED by significant % because, 2-Of the massive amount of cherry droppings, widely reported at a min average 20-30% for Southern Minas as a whole, in the BEST CASES some 8-10% of growers achieved to recover 80-90% of the coffee that fell to the ground at the peak of harvest between May and Aug BUT these same growers, besides ending with LESS physical harvest volume as 10-20% of cherry droppings COULD NOT be recovered and resulted in IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES. Furthermore these growers are now reporting that in addition to the min 30-40% of the quality losses from coffee that fell to the ground ADDITIONAL losses have been added from the many unripe and green or otherwise poor-quality beans that was caused by the highly irregular 6-8-10 months weather since flowering through the physical harvest are so bad that they do NOT MEET min export standards; 3-The cherry droppings, which by far has been the main contributing factor toward what is possibly the LOWEST QUALITY crop from Brazil in modern history, DID cause a reduction in the final harvest volume. All those in the #KC market trying to talk this off as "The harvest did not decrease" because of cherry droppings or poor quality and we are "only" talking about quality problems and delays from the rains are FLAT OUT LYING and COMPLETELY FAILING to acknowledge the BASIC TRUTH of what the reality on the ground is !! 4-Of the 30-40% of growers who DID manage to recover about 50-60% of the cherries that fell to the ground, again at the very most HALF of that recovered volume is not even fit for human consumption as most of this coffee was filled with mold, fungus and other ills of the effect of being on the ground in many cases for 2-3 weeks or up to a full month or more, 5-In Southern Minas, growers across the Juruaia, Muzambinho, Nova Resende to Campos Gerais and Boa Esperança regions report that in the cases of about HALF OF THE CHERRY DROPPINGS #kc growers did not even TRY TO RECOVER the lost crop, so YES WE ARE TALKING both significant and also IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES at a scale of min 2M-3M bags for the 2026 harvest !! 6-The evidence is still ALL OVER in the fields, you just have to look😏😫pix below show the “normal” nice quality received at Cooxupe warehouses that is below the “fine cup” or “specialty” grade BUT still fair good average bean quality which is EXPORTABLE but at this point makes up MAX ~30-40% of total #coffee received in Southern Minas warehouses, and to the left the BIGGER percentage of 40-50% of coffee which is the BIGGER SHARE of what is reaching warehouses and NOT EXPORTABLE because quality is SO BELOW min export standards. My haters out here and pro-bear fanatics and cry wolf and shout and yell as much as they want to but THESE FIGURES AND PIX and general harvest delivery ARE THE FACTS as of today 18. Oct, 2026, LIVE FROM SOUTHERN MINAS by yours truly @SpillingTheBean, now getting ready for 4th day of the Oct. 16-Nov 1, 2026 Brazil Coffee Crop Tour !! *Please dear #coffee friends and #KC followers, stay tuned, much MUCH more pictures, data and videos are coming up here shortly and the week of Oct 19th should be quite the rollercoaster for #KC !! *DISCLAIMER: I am NOT saying that 40-50% of the entire 2026 Brazil #coffee harvest is below export standard, but for Southern Minas we are talking about a MIN of 30% of the final volume that IS NOT EXPORTABLE and that alone will have MASSIVE negative implications for Brazil's exports in the coming 6-8 months and there is ZERO recovery for #KC coming from any other part of Brazil, nor any other producing country in the world !! The world of #coffee IS IN FULL BLOWN CRISIS and the worst of what is potentially the MOST SEVERE AND DEVASTATING El Nino in recorded history is only just starting to show in what for the world 2026-27 #coffee crop is CATASTROPHIC !!
*BREAKING #KC LIVE FROM BRAZIL: @SpillingTheBean aka The Indiana Jones of Coffee is BACK in the BRAZIL #Coffee lands in Southern Minas and after a quick 3 1/2 hour drive up from Sao Paulo after a long but trouble free journey I headed straight to the coffee fields and spend all afternoon investigating and evaluating current crop and flowering conditions !! Lots and LOTS of news and all the latest updates on the MASSIVE export deficit from the new 2026 harvest, much bigger than reported IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES from cherry drop, extreme stress conditions for the current flowering and very poor outlook for the next 2027 crop coming up shortly so please stay tuned my friends !!
6
6
1
33
4,405
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC: @SpillingTheBean is now onboard the flight to BRAZIL for the 2026 #coffee crop trip, time for truth about 2026 harvest and 2027 flowering is coming your way !!
*BREAKING #KC BRAZIL #COFFEE CROP TRIP: Very excited to announce that @SpillingTheBean aka "The Indiana Jones of Coffee" is getting ready for departure for Brazil to review the final 2026 harvest results including scale of IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES from massive cherry drops and mounting quality problems and impact on exports, as well as evaluating flowering conditions for the next 2027 crop in all key #Arabica and #Robusta growing regions. Over 3,000km crop touring overland lying ahead for the next 3 weeks, pls stay tuned for all my updates on X including LIVE streaming here, as early as this Friday, and also on; *X/Twitter; xitter.gq/SpillingTheBean *Instagram; instagram.com/spillingthebea… *Blog; spilling-the-beans.net *Facebook; facebook.com/maja.wallengren *YouTube; youtube.com/@majawallengren *TikTok; @SpillingTheBean1 *Facebook Community; facebook.com/profile.php?id=… *LinkedIn; linkedin.com/in/majawallengr…
5
3
1
36
1,292
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
Oye @AlvarezMaynez ¿me explicas por qué se abstuvieron en la votación para callarnos y censurar memes? No tomar una decisión… es tomar una decisión.
259
2,931
47
12,398
111,382
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC UGANDA #COFFEE DROUGHT: Uganda's Agriculture Minustry CONFIRMS that "prolonged drought and unusually high temperatures have hit ... coffee-growing areas, including parts of Greater Masaka, Kyotera, Sembabule and Luwero." These are all part of the TOP-producing #robusta #coffee belt of central and southern Uganda home to as much as 90% of total annual production in an average crop cycle. "The weather shock has affected flowering, cherry development, bean filling, processing out-turn and coffee quality," local news reported the Agriculture Ministry as saying over the weekend. Local news and growers from across Robusta and #arabica growing regions continue to share new videos and pictures, latest here below from Lwengo district in the greater southern Masaka region. *Thanks for sharing this video @SRatiifu687 and prayers for Uganda's #coffee growers 🙏🙏🙏 *xitter.gq/SRatiifu687/status/210… *ugmirror.com/index.php/2026/…
*BREAKING #KC UGANDA DROUGHT: Massive damage to Uganda's new 2026-27 #coffee harvest is now ALSO CONFIRMED in the southern-most border region with Tanzania where #Robusta trees are "wilting" and leaving farmers without crops and income to sustain their families; -"Early this week, driving towards Mutukula border town in Kyotera District, I witnessed something that stopped me in my tracks and I felt a real sense of helplessness and worry!," write Enoth Mbeine in a heart breaking comment on LinkedIn, adding; -"Coffee gardens are wilting under the weight of a prolonged drought. As a coffee tree struggles for survival, so does the household that depends on its harvest." *The #KC market needs to take notice, the already over 6-month-long SEVERE DROUGHT coupled with EXTREME HEAT from what is one of the most powerful EL NINO's EVER to hit the world is affecting the new 2026-27 coffee crop ACROSS THE WORLD and causing IRRERVERSIBLE LOSSES from which growers will NOT BE ABLE TO RECOVER until in any meaningful way until 2029-30, and higher prices MUST BE PAID, to the pro-bears and haters out there, NO this is not about me just trying to support the farmers, but without them there would be NO #coffee to enjoy and NO #KC market to profit from !! linkedin.com/posts/enoth-mbe…
3
8
22
1,823
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC; New storms and heavy rains forecast to start hitting Vietnam's already battered top #coffee growing regions of The Central Highlands, local news report. "In the Central Highlands and Southern Vietnam, rain continues. In particular, western Dak Lak , Lam Dong, and Southern Vietnam will experience moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms," Vietnam news reported, adding "there will be heavy rain with a risk of flooding" which comes after 2-3 weeks between late August and mid-September caused significant damage to the new 2026-27 #robista crop across the Central Highlands, which already has suffered MAJOR and IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES to the new crop due to non-stop weather problems throughout the flowering and bean formation period Feb-June. *vietnam.vn/en/video-du-bao-t…
*BREAKING #KC: StoneX reports Vietnam's new 2026-27 #coffee crop is at risk from "weather extremes" and could fall 20%. "Vietnam's Coffee Outlook Clouded by Weather Extremes, Irrigation Challenges, and Emerging El Niño Risks," reads a new report published by StoneX Group Inc., a commodity broker and financial services firm. "Industry participants in several regions are now warning that production could decline by as much as 20% if adverse conditions persist into the remainder of the growing cycle." The StoneX report was dated Aug 18th but released 5 days ago, according to the Google browser. "The uncertainty comes at a time when global coffee markets remain heavily dependent on Vietnam, the world's largest robusta producer... Any meaningful reduction in Vietnamese output could quickly alter the balance of the global robusta market." The report released by StoneX, which for years has been particularly active in commercial hedging operations in #KC and other commodity markets, said the current crop conditions in Vietnam "began earlier this year when many parts of Vietnam experienced below-normal rainfall during key stages of coffee development. Rainfall from January through mid-April was reported at 10% to 40% below historical averages, while river flows and reservoir levels across several watersheds declined significantly," adding; "The resulting water shortages raised concerns about flowering uniformity, cherry retention, and bean development across major producing provinces including Dak Lak, Dak Nong, Gia Lai, and Lam Dong." The Central Highlands are home to at least 90% of Vietnam's entire national harvest in any average crop cycle, of which Gia Lai and Dak Lak provinces alone account for at least 70% of all Vietnam's coffee crop. *stonex.com/en/insights/vietn…
6
1
21
1,540
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC VIETNAM #COFFEE: Over 2-3 weeks torrential rains and extreme excess humidity is starting to show the UGLY REALTITY of growing and IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES to Vietnam's new 2026-27 #robusta harvest with SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE reported directly from #robusta growers across The Central Highlands including Dak Lak and Gia Lai. While SOME cherry drop normally can be salvaged a significant % part of cherry loss normally results in crop losses !!
*BREAKING #KC: Vietnam coffee regions hit by RAGING FLASH FLOODS and widespread damage across many #robusta growing parts of TOP PRODUCING region of The Central Highlands including 2 biggest #cafe provinces of Dak Lak and Gia Lai, heavy unseasonal rains projected to last for min 1-2 weeks more and WILL HIT new 2026-27 crop already negatively affected with IRREVERSIBLE LOSSES from #ElNino drought and prolonged dryness throughout flowering and bean formation period. *MORE details from local news "Central Vietnam is forecast to face widespread heavy rain from September 10-15, raising risks of flooding, flash floods and landslides;" dtinews.dantri.com.vn/vietna… -@Thuttu4 thanks so much for sharing insight and media and @coffeevuong2k CAM ON also for all your recent contributions, what are the latest news from coffee farmers and growers now hit for the 2nd year in a row with the combination of drought and/or dryness first and then flooding, how much % coffee area in these regions are reporting excessing root rot and stress?? @20XGROUP , @feridex11 , @AlbFerracuti , @Lorozco101 , @anandpraka21865 , @collinskimanth2 comments anyone??
1
11
2
27
4,415
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC: The #coffee flowering for Brazil's next 2027 crop has been hit by wide-spread HAIL STORMS, with growers reporting new flowers being thrown to the ground in multiple parts across the TOP-Arabica region of Southern Minas, including Campos Gerais, Varginha, Tres Coracoes and Tres Pontas to Patrocinio and other parts of the Cerrado Mineiro in the BIGGEST coffee state of Minas Gerais, home to 70% of arabica coffee and about 50% of Brazil's total annual coffee production in any average crop cycle. Top agronomists and scientists from the world famous IAC, Campinas-based research institute CONFIRM the reports from growers and while no damage reports have yet been released, this WILL IMPACT flowering for the next crop, already damaged by the widespread early flowering that came at the peak of the physical harvest. "In Varginha, the intensity of the hail was sufficient to cause the collapse of a gas station canopy," said one report, while other growers told of hails as large as 2-3 cm ravaging through farms !! "In locations across southern Minas, trees fell, streets flooded, and roads were affected by a combination of heavy rain and wind." *MORE: redesocialdocafe.com.br/2026…
*BREAKING #KC #UGANDA DROUGHT: One of the WORST and most EXTREME droughts to hit Uganda in DECADES are causing "MASSIVE LOSSES" of 50%-70% of to the new 2026-27 #coffee crop across central and southern Uganda, home to aprox 90% of the total annual production, TENS of new official and private media are reporting in the last 24 hours reporting !! *My dear Uganda #coffee friends, the world of #coffee IS PRAYING for for, @janenansubuga2, @Agaba019, @regenavocado, @legaltemplates1, @YakoboMugs @AtweyorekireVi1, @wandukwawanda, @OchwoTonny, @liz_mrembo, @TheOldMan256, @Ojilong1, @Bukosakennethg, @Mwandharonald1, @judeutd2828, @NamatakaEsther , what is the latest from your #coffee regions, please share pictures, videos and/or comments ?? -MORE AT; *independent.co.ug/ugandan-fa… *monitor.co.ug/uganda/news/na… *molg.go.ug/masaka-farmers-co…
4
5
41
3,660
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
There is ZERO hopes for neither a good or big #coffee harvest in Brazil in 2026 and EVEN LESS anything remotely close to a "record" but this is NOT NEWS, what is happening is EXACTKY what I @SpillingTheBean aka The Indiana Jones of Coffee reported since my last crop trip in Aug/Sep after yet another intensive trip across coffee farms fields and wide regions across ALL of Minas Gerais with very few exemptions and it is mind-blowing that there are still people in #KC that actually believe the BS lies from the pro-bear manipulators that a record crop is somehow in the making😂🤣😅🤣🤣😂😂🤣😅😅😂🤣🤣😂😂🤣😅🤣 The world IS running out of coffee and there is ZERO realistic possibility for any real recovery of the global supply chain until 2029-2030 earliest with the bull-run at min $3-$4 expected to last until 2034-2035 with global demand booming and world consumption continuing to expand much faster that coffee growers can recover lost output !!
Replying to @SpillingTheBean
No record crop from Brazil this year?
2
2
19
1,586
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
😂😎😌
889
7,488
131
28,124
336,898
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
This 50-minute lecture by Jeff Bezos will teach you more about business than a 2-year MBA program. Bookmark it and give it 50 minutes today, no matter what.
33
383
5
1,418
278,692
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
Perdón por mi opinión de extrema derecha, pero a mí sí me gusta que las y los niños sepan sumar, restar y multiplicar.
172
1,318
27
8,999
74,477
Historia que se ha visto miles de veces. Reciben poder, pierden la cabeza pensando que ellos son el poder..... Hasta que los decapitan. Que bonito video. Ojalá lo vean todos los servidores públicos para que pongan los pies sobre la tierra. El carnicero de ayer es la res de Hoy!
Marx Arriaga ha sido destituido de la Dirección General de Materiales Educativos de la SEP.
115
Más de 60 familias de la ruta del Café en Tapachula , Chiapas sin luz desde hace 4 dias. Reportan el fallo al 071 #CFE y les niegan que exista tal fallo. Alimentos y medicinas de han hechado a perder por la falta de Atención de @CFEmx @CFE_Contigo
176
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
JCA coffee stocks held in Japan fell to 2.1m bags in Nov (-5.9% MoM, -16.4% vs 5Y avg). Stocks remain notably low, although the decline broadly follows seasonal Oct-Nov patterns - when Brazil is in off-season & other origins are just starting to harvest.
2
4
17
1,277
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
*BREAKING #KC: Arabica #coffee CONTINUES TO RALLY now 7 days into 2026 with active March up a full 9c/lv at intraday high of $3.8285 and still holding on to most gains in late session which again holds sufficiently good trade volume with over 26K contracts for the 2 front months and CONFIRMING the market is WELL AWARE of massive and growing supply deficit problems about to start the real ugly face about to start in earnest with last global stocks at max abut 12M bags in importing ports and covering LESS THAN 1 MONTH worth of world demand !!
*ARABICA #COFFEE is BACK in RALLY MOOD just a few days into the new year and FAST moving back up closing in on the $4-mark, with #KC up near 15c/lb and active March holding on to near all gains to settle up an impressive 14.50 cents at $3.7385, which is all the MORE impressive considering SOLID VOLUME as trade was covering short positions and the ghost-left over mood from the expired Dec contract finally bled out, leaving REAL #KC PRICES indicator with trade volume WELL OVER the 45K-mark for the first 2 front months, the first trading day in at least 4-6 weeks where total volume has been eve remotely close to CONFIRM prices direction, which clearly confirms a market WELL AWARE that there is an already massive supply DEFICIT which is fast growing EVEN BIGGER with one of the SMALLEST crops in Brazil in at least 10 years underway for 2026, Vietnam's new 2025-26 harvest coming not only 1-2 months delayed but SHARLY below expectations and Colombia's ongoing 2025-26 crop set to suffer a drop of min 30-35% from last year while weather trouble continue across near ALL producing countries in the world !! Accept these hard truth and WEEP my friends in the trade, it's high time to correct the 50+ years of ZERO price increase in the coffee market, because THE WORLD IS RUNNING OUT OF COFFEE !!
8
5
34
4,983
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
Una pregunta, qué ha hecho @CitlaHM por México? Por las mujeres? Por alguien?
250
247
19
1,704
45,128
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
😌👇🏼
107
6,872
63
21,821
217,436
¿Sí o no?
877
1,082
79
6,375
138,011
Cafeteros Chiapanecos retweeted
LA IZQUIERDA RETROCEDE LA LIBERTAD AVANZA VLLC!
5,947
32,520
1,972
193,511
6,698,530