Jerry C (@JerryChilds) profile picture

Good at helping others resolve differences. Libertarian advocate. Raiders, LA Kings and aviation enthusiast “Don’t cheat. DO NOT CHEAT.”

High Desert, California, USA
Joined July 2011
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Flights out of Newark - including domestic. Gonna be a cluster for the next few days due to crew rest requirements.
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A waxing crescent moon as the waves climb a 60 foot cliff in the distance.
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The lighthouse doing its job. The Kraken is approaching. It is as beautiful as it is deadly.
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Gonna get loud tonight.
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Actually heard an airliner a few minutes ago. It looks like international flights out of KSFO are departing. But thus far only those heading across the Pacific. No - they are not immediately leaving IS Airspace.
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Waves are maybe ten feet. And getting angrier.
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Intelligence escaping government control? Bernie is quite the Pol Pot guy.
A new lawsuit has been filed against leading AI companies to pause advanced AI development. Good. If AI escapes human control, we could be looking at disaster. A global financial crisis? A Chernobyl-type meltdown? Even worse? We can't wait to find out. Pause advanced AI NOW!
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Good for thought. “[T]he gangs were not fighting the system, the gangs were the system…”
The chaos in El Salvador before Bukele was never an accident, and the chaos in Haiti today is not an accident either. The media told you that the gangs were just poor boys who went bad on their own, but that story falls apart the moment you ask one simple question. Where does a poor sixteen year old boy living in a slum with no job and no money get an AK-47 and an AR-15 and a Glock and thousands of rounds of ammunition, and where does he get a brand new Toyota Hilux and motorcycles and speedboats and drones and encrypted phones and bulletproof vests and night vision goggles, and who pays his monthly salary and pays for his safe house and pays his lawyer when he is arrested and pays the police and the judge and the prison guard to look the other way, and who pays his family when he dies? A poor boy cannot afford even one bullet, so someone else is paying for all of it. That someone is the multimillionaires and the billionaires and the wealthy entities who profit from chaos, because chaos is a business and a broken country is the most profitable business in the world. When a country is in chaos its land becomes cheap so they can buy it, its gold and its drugs and its resources can be stolen without anyone asking questions, its government becomes weak so they can control it, and its people become so scared that they obey anyone who promises them a little safety. In El Salvador the gangs were not fighting the system, the gangs were the system, paid to keep the poor terrorized so the poor would never rise up and demand a better country. In Haiti it is the same story, the gangs are not independent, they are funded and armed and protected by rich families and foreign businessmen and foreign NGOs who want Haiti to stay weak so they can keep stealing its ports and its gold and its labour. And when a man like Bukele comes and says I will lock up all the gangs and end this in two years, who attacks him? It is the same people. The same billionaires who fund the gangs fund the media that calls Bukele a dictator, the same wealthy entities who arm the gangs fund the NGOs that cry human rights for murderers, the same people who profit from chaos fund the political voices that hate real help in Haiti and sabotage anyone who is actually capable of doing it. Look at the pattern and it becomes clear, when a gang kills a hundred innocent people there is silence, but when a leader kills a hundred gang members there is outrage. When a gang rapes children there is no campaign, but when Bukele locks up rapists there is a global campaign against him. That is because the media is not independent, it is owned by billionaires, the NGOs are not independent, they are funded by billionaires, and the politicians are not independent, they are bought by billionaires. They do not want Haiti saved and they did not want El Salvador saved, they want them broken, because a broken country is cheap to buy and easy to control. Bukele exposed them, he proved that gangs can be destroyed in months if you have the will, and that terrified them, because if El Salvador can be fixed then Haiti can be fixed, and if Haiti can be fixed then Africa can be fixed, and if Africa can be fixed then the billionaires lose their business. That is why they demonize Bukele, that is why they sabotage Haiti, that is why they hate any man who actually helps the poor.
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Up to 50 foot surf. Wow.
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the pH of the vagina is so acidic it can completely dissolve $1.25T in market capitalization
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I love a few miles inland. And I can still hear the surf in the early morning. I do love this time of year. The tempest and the kraken. The wind and the rain. It knocks out roads and power. But it’s beautiful.
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The modern word is that I know what this flight is, its origin and destination. I also know it’s humid up at 38k because of the contrail. The access to information today is simply amazing
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The wind setting in.. I frequently think of “The Wind and the Rain” - sung by Feste at the end of the truly amazingly brilliant Twelfth Night. We don’t need to view rain as bad. I love the rain.
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Heading in a couple of months to some medical appointments for me and the Boy. Over 500 miles. Better to drive it or fly it? The airport is 150 miles away. And we would skip Harris Ranch BUT… Legit can make Renu Nakorn with flying.
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Quite the lovely sunset.
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Anyone get the sense that the situation in Venezuela was a prelude? China is also being cut off from oil. It is their response in the coming weeks that leaves me most interested.
The United States says economic warfare is crippling the Islamic Republic so effectively that a full-scale military offensive is unnecessary. Marco Rubio said the sanctions campaign and naval blockade are inflicting “extraordinary” economic pain that is intensifying every day. “We don’t need to conduct military strikes if we’re achieving the same objective through economic means and economic pressure.” The numbers support his assessment. The Islamic Republic loaded no crude or condensate onto tankers throughout September, the first full month without loadings since modern tracking began. No new cargo has been loaded since approximately August 25, while tankers filled since mid-July remain trapped inside the blockade zone. Iranian oil stored at sea outside the blockade has fallen from nearly 89 million barrels in July to zero. Another 43 million barrels remain stranded inside the restricted area. Without functioning export routes, production has reportedly fallen from pre-war levels of approximately 3.3–3.6 million barrels per day to around 2 million or less. CENTCOM estimates the blockade has already prevented more than $25 billion in crude exports. Because Chinese buyers normally pay weeks after receiving shipments, the regime is still collecting delayed revenue from earlier deliveries. If the blockade holds, however, its crude and condensate income could approach zero by mid-December. This is succeeding where conventional sanctions repeatedly failed. Sanctions could be circumvented through shell companies, falsified documents, ship-to-ship transfers and shadow fleets. The physical blockade prevents tankers from leaving Iranian ports and transporting oil through the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. The Islamic Republic has also failed to sustain the global energy crisis it expected would force the United States to retreat. Other Persian Gulf producers have increased exports, regional oil flows have recovered and Brent has fallen toward $90 after recently approaching $118. The regime is losing its oil revenue while the international market adapts around it. The United States is now expanding the pressure beyond maritime routes. Task Force Iron Gate is targeting weapons, dual-use technology, sanctioned materials and illicit revenue moving across Iran’s land borders and the Caspian Sea. It is not a physical ground blockade, but it is designed to disrupt the alternative routes the Islamic Republic needs to finance itself and rebuild its missile, drone and military capabilities. This does not eliminate the risk of escalation. A regime losing its primary source of foreign currency could retaliate through shipping attacks, cyber operations, proxies or direct military action. But launching a wider offensive while the existing strategy is steadily draining the regime’s revenue would create enormous military, economic and political risks before the blockade has reached its full effect. The strategy is working because it forces the Islamic Republic to absorb compounding damage while denying it the oil shock, American casualties and regional chaos it needs to fracture the coalition against it. The Islamic Republic expected energy disruption to become its ultimate weapon. The United States is turning the regime’s dependence on energy exports into the weapon being used against it.
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Happy Veteran’s Day to all of my brothers and sisters out there.
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Some monstrous surf gonna hit on Saturday in NorCal. Gonna be loud.
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My baby girl turns 20 tomorrow. She is a rock. And a rock star.
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Replying to @nypost
Van Halen tat and Good Conduct Medal.
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