
Sports and numbers since the mid-2000s. Live every morning, where I’ll definitely talk too much. @Stokastic
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ALT Giannis goes first. He’s number one on tonight’s slate at 22.2% to score the game’s first points in MIA @ ATL. 25.4% if the Heat win the opening tip, 14.5% if the Hawks win it, and 3.6% to hit the game’s first three. How his first points come: 59% at the rim, 20% at the free-throw line, 21% other (paint 8%, mid-range 8%, three 5%). The tip: Adebayo wins it 71% of the time.

ALT Ask The Sims, first points, Oct 28. Giannis Antetokounmpo has a 22% chance to score the game’s first points, the best on tonight’s 12-game slate in 10,000 Sims of each game. Top 7, with chance, chance if his team wins the opening tip, and fair price: Giannis (MIA @ ATL) 22.2%, 25.4%, +350. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC @ DAL) 19.1%, 25.3%, +425. Kevin Durant (HOU @ MIL) 18.9%, 23.1%, +430. Cade Cunningham (CHA @ DET) 18.4%, 22.6%, +445. Luka Doncic (LAL @ LAC) 17.9%, 23.4%, +460. Donovan Mitchell (WAS @ CLE) 17.6%, 20.1%, +470. Victor Wembanyama (SAS @ UTA) 16.6%, 19.1%, +500.

ALT Ask The Sims, first points, Oct 28. Giannis Antetokounmpo has a 22% chance to score the game’s first points, the best on tonight’s 12-game slate in 10,000 Sims of each game. Top 7, with chance, chance if his team wins the opening tip, and fair price: Giannis (MIA @ ATL) 22.2%, 25.4%, +350. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC @ DAL) 19.1%, 25.3%, +425. Kevin Durant (HOU @ MIL) 18.9%, 23.1%, +430. Cade Cunningham (CHA @ DET) 18.4%, 22.6%, +445. Luka Doncic (LAL @ LAC) 17.9%, 23.4%, +460. Donovan Mitchell (WAS @ CLE) 17.6%, 20.1%, +470. Victor Wembanyama (SAS @ UTA) 16.6%, 19.1%, +500.

ALT Ask The Sims, first points, Oct 28. Giannis Antetokounmpo has a 22% chance to score the game’s first points, the best on tonight’s 12-game slate in 10,000 Sims of each game. Top 7, with chance, chance if his team wins the opening tip, and fair price: Giannis (MIA @ ATL) 22.2%, 25.4%, +350. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC @ DAL) 19.1%, 25.3%, +425. Kevin Durant (HOU @ MIL) 18.9%, 23.1%, +430. Cade Cunningham (CHA @ DET) 18.4%, 22.6%, +445. Luka Doncic (LAL @ LAC) 17.9%, 23.4%, +460. Donovan Mitchell (WAS @ CLE) 17.6%, 20.1%, +470. Victor Wembanyama (SAS @ UTA) 16.6%, 19.1%, +500.















