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🏆 2026 AFL Season Results 🏆
The 2026 AFL Season comes to a dramatic close, so it only makes sense to recap what it was for us on the page.
+48.66u to close the season I will more than be pleased with, especially with where that number was for the vast majority of the season. Really started moving along once all the Bye Rounds concluded in RD17. Tinkered with the way I approached betting and it really paid dividends in the back-end of the season.
Our MPP for the season was Shaun Mannagh, where we really capitalised on his midfield run in those last few weeks 🐐.
His efforts also made a strong contribution to making Geelong our Most Profitable Team throughout the season as well, earning +23u from the Cats, with some help from the likes of Jack Henry and Blicavs where we banged on massive goal prices for each of them a couple times 🐱 🔥
And finally to close, RD21 ended up being the most profitable RD for the season. We cashed out a handful of value that week, with some Goalscorers such as Blics ($3.9), Harvey Johnston ($4) and Billy Dowling ($4) all finding the big sticks for us, whilst others like Jarman Impey and Marcus Herbert racked up the pill from HB and cashed their 30+ props for us ($3.08/$5.2 respectively). 🐷 💰
I’ll leave the spreadsheet link in my Twitter bio for the next few weeks if anyone wants to see it. Has every bet tracked alongside a bunch of notes scattered there throughout the season.
Thanks to everyone for tailing and showing love to the page for yet another season! Few weeks until NBA tips off, see y’all there! ❤️ 🪙
Ty Jerome for 25+ PTS at that price not 30!
Official NBA Betting Card: 30th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.51u📈 ROI: -4.2%📊
1u - Domantas Sabonis o32.5 PR ($1.91)
1u - Ty Jerome o24.5 PTS ($2.02)
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Alrighty time to bounceback again! A few lines got bumped overnight but still love these ones despite the tick in line. Both got great matchup to dominate.
Sabonis against a NOP side with a bottom 5 paint defense and allowing the most PTS to Centers this season, sign me up.
The POR matchup for Jerome is perfectly catered for him. Allowing the most possessions that end with the PnR Ball-Handler (60% of Jerome's pts) alongside most PTS allowed in the paint (non RA, 40% of his PTS), he should have ample opportunity today.
Might have one more in store if his line drops so keep an eye out!
Official NBA Betting Card: 30th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.51u📈 ROI: -4.2%📊
1u - Domantas Sabonis o32.5 PR ($1.91)
1u - Ty Jerome o24.5 PTS ($2.02)
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Alrighty time to bounceback again! A few lines got bumped overnight but still love these ones despite the tick in line. Both got great matchup to dominate.
Sabonis against a NOP side with a bottom 5 paint defense and allowing the most PTS to Centers this season, sign me up.
The POR matchup for Jerome is perfectly catered for him. Allowing the most possessions that end with the PnR Ball-Handler (60% of Jerome's pts) alongside most PTS allowed in the paint (non RA, 40% of his PTS), he should have ample opportunity today.
Might have one more in store if his line drops so keep an eye out!
Recap:
1.25u - Wagner❌
1u - Eason ✅
1u - Reaves❌
1.5u - DP❌
(-2.88u) Season: -1.51u📉ROI: -4.2%📊
Will have to swallow this one. Might have to cool it a bit with all the plus money plays as it feels like there's been several times already where x player has hit their line but missed on the added value in the past week. If I'd played it safer, that +/- would be looking a tad different.
Toronto's great shooting overall could be reasoned for Wagner missing, whilst Clippers simply played great defense on Reaves, forcing the ball out of his hands which resulted in him also coughing the ball up 8 times. Might very well be a fade angle when targeting high usage guards.
Eason was an easy 2Q cash and DP was so heartbreaking, especially his last 3PA that touched every part of the rim before falling out, then to not see the court for the rest of the game.
Still plenty of season left. I got y'all!
Official NBA Betting Card: 29th Oct, 2026
Season: +1.27u📈 ROI: +4.4%📊
1u/0.25u - Franz Wagner 8+/10+REBS ($2.9/$7.25)
1u - Tari Eason o6.5 REBS ($1.87)
1u - Austin Reaves 30+ PTS ($2.1)
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Super late once again so apologies. Obviously nothing for the first set of games, but do stay posted within the next hour or so. Waiting for lineups before attacking a couple plays.
❌Sick to my stomach with this one. Plays the least mins so far in his rookie campaign (26mins), even without the star power of a couple players, and doesn't close the game. 18PTS from 4-13 shooting as well with 3ASTS.
Darryn Peterson 20+PTS/5+ASTS ❌❌
0.75u - Darryn Peterson 20+PTS ($4.1)
0.75u - Darryn Peterson 5+ ASTS ($4.75)
Both available at Bet365
Just wanted to wait on the Markkanen news before hopping onto this. Going to see a massive bump in his usage with no Markkanen and JJJ and we saw a glimpse of that in their LG vs MEM in the second half when those two mentioned didn't play at all.
33USG% and 25AST% in that second half, scoring 8PTS (3-12FGA) and 2 ASTS. Expecting fairly similar volume, as the pie will be shared by George, Ace and Peterson in that lineup.
From a matchup perspective, seems beneficial for Peterson's shot profile, with SAS allowing the 2nd highest FREQ% for pull-up jumpers, equates to 38% of Peterson's shots in general. Blowout could be imminent but I've got insanely high hopes that Peterson will see the ball in his hands a lot in this one.
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0.75u - Darryn Peterson 20+PTS ($4.1)
0.75u - Darryn Peterson 5+ ASTS ($4.75)
Both available at Bet365
Just wanted to wait on the Markkanen news before hopping onto this. Going to see a massive bump in his usage with no Markkanen and JJJ and we saw a glimpse of that in their LG vs MEM in the second half when those two mentioned didn't play at all.
33USG% and 25AST% in that second half, scoring 8PTS (3-12FGA) and 2 ASTS. Expecting fairly similar volume, as the pie will be shared by George, Ace and Peterson in that lineup.
From a matchup perspective, seems beneficial for Peterson's shot profile, with SAS allowing the 2nd highest FREQ% for pull-up jumpers, equates to 38% of Peterson's shots in general. Blowout could be imminent but I've got insanely high hopes that Peterson will see the ball in his hands a lot in this one.
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Official NBA Betting Card: 29th Oct, 2026
Season: +1.27u📈 ROI: +4.4%📊
1u/0.25u - Franz Wagner 8+/10+REBS ($2.9/$7.25)
1u - Tari Eason o6.5 REBS ($1.87)
1u - Austin Reaves 30+ PTS ($2.1)
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Super late once again so apologies. Obviously nothing for the first set of games, but do stay posted within the next hour or so. Waiting for lineups before attacking a couple plays.
Recap:
1u - Ausar ❌
1u - Collins❌
1u - Luka✅
1u - Avdija✅
1u - Grimes✅
(+0.54u) Season: +1.37u📈ROI: +4.4%📊
That DET-NYK didn't go to plan at all. Ausar heavy foul trouble along with blowout in addition to Collins simply not being in the spots we wanted him to, playing a lot as the backup five in this game.
Flip side in the Lakers-Blazers game, all comfortably hitting with no sweat at all. Bit of profit for today. Big slate tomorrow. Keen
Official NBA Betting Card: 28th Oct, 2026
Season: +0.83u📈 ROI: +3.2%📊
1u - Ausar Thompson 5+ ASTS ($2.7)
1u - John Collins o1.5 3PM ($2.1)
1u - Luka Doncic o32.5 PTS ($1.92)
1u - Quentin Grimes u14.5 PRA ($1.87)
1u - Deni Avdija 5+ ASTS ($1.77)
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A bit later than usual, just could not get up this morning for the life of me. But all of these will be widely available at their books. Looking to build from yesterday and get on a nice run from here on out. BOL!
Official NBA Betting Card: 28th Oct, 2026
Season: +0.83u📈 ROI: +3.2%📊
1u - Ausar Thompson 5+ ASTS ($2.7)
1u - John Collins o1.5 3PM ($2.1)
1u - Luka Doncic o32.5 PTS ($1.92)
1u - Quentin Grimes u14.5 PRA ($1.87)
1u - Deni Avdija 5+ ASTS ($1.77)
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A bit later than usual, just could not get up this morning for the life of me. But all of these will be widely available at their books. Looking to build from yesterday and get on a nice run from here on out. BOL!
Recap:
1u - AD ✅
1u - James ❌
1u - Mitchell✅
1u - Kuz ($2.6)✅
(+2.51u) Season: +0.83u📈ROI: +3.2%📊
Back in the winners circle for profit for the season. AD and Mitchell easy cashes, whilst Kuz makes us sweat for one last board for some time. Think Sion will be a massive hit spot for ASTS if both White and Schroeder are inactive.
Official NBA Betting Card: 27th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.68u📈 ROI: -7.6%📊
1u - Anthony Davis o24.5 PA ($1.96)
1u - Sion James 4+ ASTS ($2.9)
1u - Ajay Mitchell 20+ PA ($1.95)
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Few in store for today, expect a couple more closer to gametimes. Despite CHA running a lineup with both Reid and Diabate/Kalkbrenner, still expect AD to feast and find plenty of usage in this one, especially with no AJ still.
Sion's touches and passes have gone up dramatically over the L2 games, and I could see that sticking, with him running more sets as the initiator, something that was spoken about from their staff during pre-season.
Finally with Mitchell, OKC will be without a few of their key rotation guys in JDub, Wallace and Chet. Will play second-fiddle behind SGA and think that the minutes should still be plentiful even on the second leg of a b2b because of their outs.
✅ Made that hell more sweatier than it had to be, with 6REBS halfway through the 3Q, but clears with a couple mins remaining.
Kyle Kuzma 7+ REBS ✅
1u - Kyle Kuzma 7+ REBS ($2.6 SB)
Can also take o5.5 REBS at $1.9
Willing to risk it playing his 7+ instead of just his regular line here. Trailing only Kel'el Ware to lead the team in DREB% (Ware 20%/Kuz 18.9%), believe that's where Kuzma can snag some rebounds in what looks to be another fast-paced game as the Bucks take on the Pacers.
Cleared 7+ in 2/3 games so far this season, averaging 9RPG from 12.7 chances. Looking at other forwards so far vs Indy with similar DREB%, most have been able to hit this line with ease below are some forwards with their season avg DREB% along with the rebounds gathered vs Indy:
Randle: 19.8%, vs IND 24MINS, 7REBS, 12 chances
Washington: 15.1%, vs IND 33MINS, 13REBS, 14 chances
Flagg: 18.9%, vs IND 17MINS, 5REBS, 9 chances
Books are projecting this to be a close outing with Pacers on the second leg of a b2b (3.5 spread). Kuz should see 30+MINS.
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1u - Kyle Kuzma 7+ REBS ($2.6 SB)
Can also take o5.5 REBS at $1.9
Willing to risk it playing his 7+ instead of just his regular line here. Trailing only Kel'el Ware to lead the team in DREB% (Ware 20%/Kuz 18.9%), believe that's where Kuzma can snag some rebounds in what looks to be another fast-paced game as the Bucks take on the Pacers.
Cleared 7+ in 2/3 games so far this season, averaging 9RPG from 12.7 chances. Looking at other forwards so far vs Indy with similar DREB%, most have been able to hit this line with ease below are some forwards with their season avg DREB% along with the rebounds gathered vs Indy:
Randle: 19.8%, vs IND 24MINS, 7REBS, 12 chances
Washington: 15.1%, vs IND 33MINS, 13REBS, 14 chances
Flagg: 18.9%, vs IND 17MINS, 5REBS, 9 chances
Books are projecting this to be a close outing with Pacers on the second leg of a b2b (3.5 spread). Kuz should see 30+MINS.
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Official NBA Betting Card: 27th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.68u📈 ROI: -7.6%📊
1u - Anthony Davis o24.5 PA ($1.96)
1u - Sion James 4+ ASTS ($2.9)
1u - Ajay Mitchell 20+ PA ($1.95)
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Few in store for today, expect a couple more closer to gametimes. Despite CHA running a lineup with both Reid and Diabate/Kalkbrenner, still expect AD to feast and find plenty of usage in this one, especially with no AJ still.
Sion's touches and passes have gone up dramatically over the L2 games, and I could see that sticking, with him running more sets as the initiator, something that was spoken about from their staff during pre-season.
Finally with Mitchell, OKC will be without a few of their key rotation guys in JDub, Wallace and Chet. Will play second-fiddle behind SGA and think that the minutes should still be plentiful even on the second leg of a b2b because of their outs.
Recap:
1u - Luka ✅
1u - Ant ✅
1u - Sharpe❌
1.25u - KAT❌
1u - Jerome✅
1u - Acuff❌
(-0.53u) Season: -1.68u📉ROI: -7.6%📊
Felt as though it could've been a real good day. Unfortunate on KAT and Acuff missing. KAT found multiple teammates via open backdoors that got fouled before having possession of it and finishes with 4ASTS.
For what was looking like a more efficient night for Acuff, shoots 2-10 in the last Q to finish on 22PTS. Do want to keep finding these +money plays, think in the long run we'll get good returns for some. Till tomorrow.
Official NBA Betting Card: 26th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.15u📈 ROI: -8.4%📊
1u - Luka Doncic o31.5 PTS ($1.84)
1u - Anthony Edward u27.5 PTS ($1.88)
1u - Day'Ron Sharpe o0.5 DD ($3.35)
1u/0.25u -Karl Anthony-Towns 5+/7+ASTS ($3.35/$9.5)
1u - Ty Jerome 30+PA ($2)
0.75u/0.25u - Darius Acuff Jr 25+/30+ PTS ($3.6/$8.5)
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Nice quiet win yesterday, looking to get back on the saddle today with a number of plays. Think KAT especially is a nice get back spot for him to facilitate moe, after a couple games in a row where opposing sides have placed their big on Hart, thus making him more of the initiator.
Official NBA Betting Card: 26th Oct, 2026
Season: -1.15u📈 ROI: -8.4%📊
1u - Luka Doncic o31.5 PTS ($1.84)
1u - Anthony Edward u27.5 PTS ($1.88)
1u - Day'Ron Sharpe o0.5 DD ($3.35)
1u/0.25u -Karl Anthony-Towns 5+/7+ASTS ($3.35/$9.5)
1u - Ty Jerome 30+PA ($2)
0.75u/0.25u - Darius Acuff Jr 25+/30+ PTS ($3.6/$8.5)
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Nice quiet win yesterday, looking to get back on the saddle today with a number of plays. Think KAT especially is a nice get back spot for him to facilitate moe, after a couple games in a row where opposing sides have placed their big on Hart, thus making him more of the initiator.
✅Nice easy cashout, and ends up with 3ASTS as well through 3 quarters if anyone decided to go that route. quiet 1-0 day.
Khaman Maluach 10+ RA✅
1u - Khaman Maluach 10+ RA ($1.89 B365)
Don't mind his 10+REBS at +money. Starts in 10MINS
No Oso so should expect a greater share of minutes Maluach here in a game he should dominate the glass. Does get involved in some handoff actions above the break and didn't mind his assists props (2+/3+ ASTS for $3/$10.5), but don't think its as a luxurious angle as much as that POR matchup they had, as I expect GSW to hedge higher on PnR, rather than the deep drop coverage.
Led the team's REB% in their LG by a fair margin with 15.4% and posted 6REBS, 1AST in 17MINS, in a game they got dominated on the glass by. As mentioned prior, this should be a far better rebounding mathcup against a more undersized Warriors side and one that's missing majority of their starpower in this one.
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1u - Khaman Maluach 10+ RA ($1.89 B365)
Don't mind his 10+REBS at +money. Starts in 10MINS
No Oso so should expect a greater share of minutes Maluach here in a game he should dominate the glass. Does get involved in some handoff actions above the break and didn't mind his assists props (2+/3+ ASTS for $3/$10.5), but don't think its as a luxurious angle as much as that POR matchup they had, as I expect GSW to hedge higher on PnR, rather than the deep drop coverage.
Led the team's REB% in their LG by a fair margin with 15.4% and posted 6REBS, 1AST in 17MINS, in a game they got dominated on the glass by. As mentioned prior, this should be a far better rebounding mathcup against a more undersized Warriors side and one that's missing majority of their starpower in this one.
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Recap:
0.5u - Giddey❌
1u - Kyrie ✅
1u - Moose ❌
1u - Johnson❌
1u - Missi VOID
1.25u - Hachimura ❌
1u - Reid ❌
(-3.7u) Season: -2.04u📉ROI: -16%📊
Big blow today. Blowout in the ATL-CHA game really hindered it. Knew there was a risk playing 3 overs in one game but still did it. We get Missi voided at least to stop a bit of the bleeding.
Unsure if any plays will be out for tomorrow's slate. Will be out and about for the rest of the day and no lines are out for the games as of yet.
Official NBA Betting Card: 24th Oct, 2026
Season: +1.66u📈 ROI%: 27.9%📊
1u - Kyrie Irving 20+ PTS ($2.05)
1u - Moussa Diabate o0.5 DD ($3.26)
1u - Jalen Johnson o37.5 PRA ($1.83)
1u - Yves Missi 10+ REBS ($2.5)
1u/0.25u - Rui Hachimura 7+REBS/o0.5 DD ($2.55/$9.25)
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We're back with a handful of plays for the day. Expect one or two more throughout the day. Do really love the card have in stock today. Looking to bounce back!
❌ Forgot that they call this the National Blowout Association. Hornets really shot themselves in the foot shooting terribly in general. Naz had plenty of opportunities, but teammates poor shooting and a bunch of TOVs blows this game out. This and the other two plays all dead in the water from this game.
Naz Reid 5+ ASTS ❌
1u - Naz Reid 5+ ASTS ($3.35 B365)
Can also take his o3.5 ASTS line
Price has ballooned back out and I've been going back and forth on having 3 plays in the same game, but I loved what I saw from Naz in his first game vs BKN.
40 front court touches in his LG, 2nd most on the team, trailing just Miller's 41. Coach Lee spoke about it all pre-season how he wants to use Naz's unique versatility to cover all grounds on both offense and defense. His playmaking was just one aspect that looked great in their last game: 7ASTS off 10 potential finds.
Seemed to have a great connection with Moussa finding him for easy buckets, whether that was working in the PnR, or driving and dishing it to him in the dunker's spot. Believe that can be one avenue in this game to where he can find some assists. That's not to mention the numerous kick-outs he saw on the perimeter either. We saw the likes of Franz and Paolo find WCJ so many times when ORL versed ATL just a couple days ago for nice dump-offs or lobs. Think there can be some replication of that with Naz, who like Franz and Paolo, can utilise his size and/or strength to create advantages.
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1u - Naz Reid 5+ ASTS ($3.35 B365)
Can also take his o3.5 ASTS line
Price has ballooned back out and I've been going back and forth on having 3 plays in the same game, but I loved what I saw from Naz in his first game vs BKN.
40 front court touches in his LG, 2nd most on the team, trailing just Miller's 41. Coach Lee spoke about it all pre-season how he wants to use Naz's unique versatility to cover all grounds on both offense and defense. His playmaking was just one aspect that looked great in their last game: 7ASTS off 10 potential finds.
Seemed to have a great connection with Moussa finding him for easy buckets, whether that was working in the PnR, or driving and dishing it to him in the dunker's spot. Believe that can be one avenue in this game to where he can find some assists. That's not to mention the numerous kick-outs he saw on the perimeter either. We saw the likes of Franz and Paolo find WCJ so many times when ORL versed ATL just a couple days ago for nice dump-offs or lobs. Think there can be some replication of that with Naz, who like Franz and Paolo, can utilise his size and/or strength to create advantages.
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