
Work: CRE Broker for development sites+Paving Contractor+DataScience. Interests: Finance, econ, pop culture, health. #HottyToddy/#Clemson #Braves #Falcons #Heat
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Joined December 2022
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Yeah … not at all sketchy that the “anti data center” psyop + Jensen getting ousted is happening around the same time.
We need to wake tf up. Our adversaries are winning right now and making us look foolish. It will be the greatest shame in human history if we don’t fight this.
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Fast food recession is here
I've had about a dozen conversations with a variety of people this afternoon at the Restaurant Finance and Development Conference in Vegas today. They represent franchisees, PE firms, lenders, consultants, etc. They did not paint a positive picture about the environment for fast-food franchises.
Here's what they're saying:
* The lending environment is brutal. It's difficult for franchisees in a lot of brands to get financing, even some historically strong brands. But many franchisees took out loans 5-6 years ago and it is now coming due. That is a crucial factor in the wave of recent bankruptcy filings. I spoke with one lender who said that legacy fast-food franchises are too difficult right now, and emerging chains are too hit or miss.
* Many franchisees are as a result turning to merchant cash advance loans, which are awful. I spoke with an attorney who tells his franchisee clients that he'll fire them as clients if they do that. "Just shut your doors now." Use of advance financing has taken off this year. I had not seen it in restaurant bankruptcies before last year at all.
* There is a sense that the fast-food market will likely remain weak for some time, which is something I've said for a while. There are a lot of things working against the business right now: Consumer pressure because of inflation, weak population growth, soaring use of GLP-1 medications, etc. Unless something happens to stir consumer spending in a way we can't see right now, the environment for fast-food franchises will remain difficult for some time.
I've come to this event almost every year it's been held for the past two decades. Bleakest I've seen it since the Great Recession.
Land Artist retweeted
YouTube is now the most-watched TV distributor in America, and it’s pulling away, per WSJ.
YouTube’s share of all US TV viewing time has climbed to about 14%, up from roughly 9% at the end of 2023, per Nielsen data charted by The Wall Street Journal.
That puts it ahead of every traditional media giant, including Disney, NBCUniversal and Fox, and well ahead of Netflix at about 8%.
I would love for this to be @americanhousing’s first deal in GA/Atlanta metro. It’s a perfect location to test this product in a walkable town center.
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Land Artist retweeted
Canva is laying off 22% of its workforce which is 1271 employees, and this is what their CEO said.
We need more founders like thissss.
Land Artist retweeted
I nearly fell out of my chair when one of our portfolio founders shared this stat with me today:
Cargill, the largest American private company, does $164B in annual revenue 🤯
Housing market just keeps getting rougher and rougher.
For those in the industry: hang in there, be consistently present, and understand the data.
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