@LetsKeepItReal

🟠 #BREAKING DEMOSAU VIC UPPER HOUSE POLL: ONE NATION ON THE BRINK OF SEIZING THE BALANCE OF POWER IN VICTORIA 🟠 One Nation is on the brink of holding the balance of power in Victoria's upper house, and there's nothing the uniparty can do to stop it. Warren Pickering's party is sitting on a commanding 20% in DemosAU's latest poll, smashing through the 16.7% quota needed to win a seat in every one of the state's eight regions. In 2022 One Nation won a single upper house seat, and on these numbers it could walk away with eight. The Liberals would still hold the most upper house seats, but they'd fall well short of a majority, leaving One Nation as the votes Jess Wilson needs on every bill Labor and the Greens oppose. Labor is clinging to a single quota per region on 17%, while the Greens have crashed short of one altogether on 15%. And the statewide polls may be badly underestimating One Nation, because almost nobody is polling individual electorates. The only seat-level poll published so far, Roy Morgan's survey of Hastings, Morwell and Pakenham, had One Nation on 39% and leading all three, almost double its statewide figure. Secret Harbour was written off as a safe Labor seat until One Nation tore it away with an 18.6% swing, and we predict on 28 November Victoria will be another Secret Harbour, in both houses. The right bloc of One Nation and the Coalition is on 48%, and with Family First, the Libertarians, the Shooters and the DLP it reaches 56%. The left bloc of Labor, the Greens, independents and others combined is on 44%. The poll of 1,562 Victorians has a margin of error of about 2.5 points. Follow every poll on our tracker here: onenewsaustralia.com/austral… Your vote has never been more important. Find every candidate in all 88 Victorian seats and follow the election results live here: onenewsaustralia.com/victori… 🔴 Get our stories straight to your inbox before Labor's Digital Duty of Care bill buries them, subscribe to our FREE daily newsletter here: onenewsaustralia.com/support… Follow us on Facebook here: facebook.com/onenewsaustrali… And subscribe for FREE on our YouTube channel youtube.com/@onenewsaustrali… so you can watch the stories the feeds won't show you.